Realized P&L
+$37
Unrealized P&L
+$111
Hit rate
79.1%
Resolved
10
Trades
1,076
lifetime
Volume
$40.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$860
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-20 18:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
87% 56% +$28
Politics
13% 100% +$8
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -510 $-478 96¢ $-487 $-9 06-11 16:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -219 $-290 86¢ $-190 +$100 07-09 22:27
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +124 $103 85¢ $105 +$2 07-20 18:32
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -100 $-84 66¢ $-66 +$17 06-21 06:13
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-11 +$0 06-21 12:19