Realized P&L
+$37
Unrealized P&L
+$76
Hit rate
79.1%
Resolved
10
Trades
1,072
lifetime
Volume
$39.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$838
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 18:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
86% 56% +$28
Politics
13% 100% +$8
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -510 $-478 95¢ $-482 $-4 06-11 16:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +281 $156 84¢ $236 +$80 06-30 18:27
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -100 $-84 84¢ $-84 $-0 06-21 06:13
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +30 $25 83¢ $25 +$0 06-25 08:19
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-11 +$0 06-21 12:19