Reasonable-Withdrawal 0x8d971b…8afbd8
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Realized P&L
+$591
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
52.3%
Resolved
521
Trades
5,255
lifetime
Volume
$12.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$185
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-26 05:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Other
96% 8% +$986
Sports
3% 4% -$345
Politics
0% 0% -$31
Crypto
0% 0% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +1,444 $62 6¢ $94 +$32 10-26 05:53
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes +425 $35 11¢ $47 +$12 10-23 13:49
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +200 $27 14¢ $27 +$0 08-28 10:02
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? Yes +1,630 $72 0¢ $7 -$66 10-18 12:30
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $3 3¢ $6 +$3 06-15 11:33
Will TSG Hoffenheim be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $2 +$0 08-06 08:22
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +200 $3 1¢ $2 -$2 09-12 06:29
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +300 $2 0¢ $1 -$2 06-14 12:10
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +400 $3 0¢ $1 -$3 06-14 12:09