Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$53
Hit rate
17.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,506
lifetime
Volume
$4.50K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$128
2 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-30 19:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
93% 100% +$1
Sports
6% 0% $-2
Crypto
0%
Politics
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes -601 $-150 17¢ $-102 +$48 06-30 19:01
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? Yes +249 $21 10¢ $26 +$5 06-17 19:58