Reasonable-Withdrawal 0x8d971b…8afbd8 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$474
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
51.8%
Resolved
527
Trades
5,279
lifetime
Volume
$13.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$236
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-04 12:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
96% 7% +$872
Sports
3% 4% -$345
Politics
0% 0% -$34
Crypto
0% 0% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027? Yes +340 $80 22¢ $75 -$5 11-04 10:56
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes +617 $49 9¢ $56 +$6 10-31 16:26
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +1,544 $65 2¢ $39 -$27 11-04 12:33
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +200 $27 12¢ $25 -$2 08-28 10:02
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? Yes +405 $32 5¢ $22 -$10 10-23 09:54
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $3 5¢ $11 +$8 06-15 11:33
Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? Yes +40 $4 14¢ $5 +$1 09-23 15:47
Will TSG Hoffenheim be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $2 $0 08-06 08:22
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? Yes +21 $0 4¢ $1 +$1 10-02 08:12
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +300 $2 0¢ $1 -$2 06-14 12:10
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +400 $3 0¢ $1 -$3 06-14 12:09