Honest-Cufflink 0x40c234…77b2fc
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$43
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
130
Trades
12,096
lifetime
Volume
$57.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$244
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
40% 45% +$11
Politics
33% 46% $-36
Sports
24% 51% $-12
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
1% 0% $-7
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +40 $35 88¢ $35 +$0 06-09 17:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $19 68¢ $20 +$1 06-08 22:41
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -18 $-18 96¢ $-18 +$0 06-09 19:28
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$0 06-08 09:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No -20 $-15 75¢ $-15 $-0 06-09 13:29
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +20 $13 66¢ $13 $-0 06-07 20:46
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +20 $14 64¢ $13 $-1 06-08 14:50
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +20 $12 62¢ $12 +$0 06-08 13:58
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +20 $12 62¢ $12 +$0 06-08 23:43
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +10 $7 100¢ $10 +$3 06-04 20:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +10 $7 84¢ $8 +$1 06-02 01:55
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-8 82¢ $-8 $-0 06-02 15:28
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +10 $8 78¢ $8 +$0 06-08 10:34
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -10 $-9 76¢ $-8 +$1 06-02 14:49
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +20 $7 36¢ $7 +$0 06-08 10:50
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +10 $7 70¢ $7 +$0 06-09 20:58
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +10 $7 70¢ $7 +$0 06-07 20:43
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes -30 $-8 22¢ $-6 +$1 06-09 07:55
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +10 $5 54¢ $5 +$0 06-01 20:01
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +10 $5 53¢ $5 +$0 06-02 19:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +20 $5 25¢ $5 $-0 06-09 11:44
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +3 $2 52¢ $2 +$0 06-05 00:01
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +10 $2 9¢ $1 $-1 06-09 14:52