Honest-Cufflink 0x40c234…77b2fc
whale bot hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.03K
Unrealized P&L
+$107
Hit rate
65.6%
Resolved
5,838
Trades
19,997
lifetime
Volume
$109.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$829
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 08:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 296 days
Categories
Other
55% 52% +$1,173
Politics
26% 57% +$476
Sports
14% 48% -$812
Crypto
4% 60% +$144
Tech
1% 65% +$45
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? Yes +95 -$22 84¢ $80 +$102 10-24 15:30
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +80 $31 74¢ $60 +$28 09-24 14:21
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +74 $33 72¢ $53 +$20 10-26 23:03
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +122 $16 42¢ $52 +$36 10-08 17:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +140 $71 37¢ $51 -$20 10-15 17:33
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +764 $153 6¢ $50 -$103 10-19 09:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +68 $43 60¢ $41 -$2 10-22 01:52
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $37 74¢ $37 $0 09-23 01:20
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -31 -$26 96¢ $-30 -$4 07-15 07:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30 -$19 95¢ $-29 -$9 07-10 23:46
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $23 66¢ $27 +$4 10-22 06:26
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +40 $23 66¢ $27 +$3 10-22 02:37
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +30 $19 88¢ $26 +$8 10-03 07:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $19 72¢ $22 +$3 10-18 05:33
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +30 $18 70¢ $21 +$3 10-21 20:07
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? Yes +20 $0 100¢ $20 +$19 10-22 06:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +30 $16 60¢ $18 +$3 09-26 17:38
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $7 84¢ $17 +$10 10-22 16:49
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +20 $10 84¢ $17 +$7 08-14 16:04
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? No +20 $11 82¢ $16 +$6 10-18 06:07
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +20 $14 79¢ $16 +$2 09-26 00:52
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +20 $16 77¢ $15 -$1 10-18 04:41
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +30 $13 48¢ $14 +$1 10-23 16:40
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +20 $12 70¢ $14 +$2 09-29 17:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -15 -$7 92¢ $-14 -$7 06-14 22:05
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +20 $14 68¢ $14 $0 10-22 01:10
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $14 68¢ $14 $0 10-22 00:25
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +30 $16 44¢ $13 -$3 09-28 05:10
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -16 -$12 76¢ $-12 -$1 08-15 15:45
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +20 $11 58¢ $12 +$1 10-18 00:50