Honest-Cufflink 0x40c234…77b2fc
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$43
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
130
Trades
12,961
lifetime
Volume
$62.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$366
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
41% 45% +$11
Politics
33% 46% $-36
Sports
23% 51% $-12
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
1% 0% $-7
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +45 $24 99¢ $44 +$20 06-26 03:38
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +40 $34 86¢ $35 +$0 06-25 22:48
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -34 $-32 100¢ $-34 $-2 06-13 00:28
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +40 $16 80¢ $32 +$16 06-30 13:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No -20 $-15 100¢ $-20 $-5 06-09 13:29
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +20 $17 100¢ $20 +$3 06-22 13:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 +$0 06-18 15:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $13 84¢ $17 +$4 06-22 17:19
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +20 $14 80¢ $16 +$2 06-17 05:00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +30 $14 42¢ $13 $-2 06-28 17:53
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-17 00:38
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-17 06:52
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -10 $-9 100¢ $-10 $-1 06-02 14:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -10 $-2 100¢ $-10 $-8 06-18 20:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -10 $-8 100¢ $-10 $-2 06-11 20:04
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-24 20:25
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +10 $7 94¢ $9 +$2 06-11 04:34
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $7 92¢ $9 +$2 06-20 13:16
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-8 88¢ $-9 $-1 06-02 15:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +60 $5 14¢ $8 +$3 06-24 14:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-7 37¢ $-6 +$2 06-14 22:05
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +10 $5 45¢ $4 $-1 06-01 20:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $3 19¢ $4 +$1 06-14 22:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +20 $4 18¢ $4 $-1 06-25 06:53
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +3 $2 80¢ $3 +$1 06-05 00:01
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -10 $-2 20¢ $-2 +$0 06-27 04:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +40 $25 0¢ $0 $-25 06-18 20:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +10 $5 1¢ $0 $-5 06-24 20:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +20 $3 0¢ $0 $-3 06-16 13:40
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +10 $2 1¢ $0 $-2 06-09 14:52