Honest-Cufflink 0x40c234…77b2fc
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$43
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
130
Trades
13,773
lifetime
Volume
$66.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$239
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 06:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
43% 45% +$11
Politics
32% 46% $-36
Sports
21% 51% $-12
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
1% 0% $-7
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $55 46¢ $41 $-14 07-16 16:03
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $50 44¢ $36 $-14 07-15 17:25
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +40 $34 86¢ $34 $-0 06-25 22:48
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +40 $22 52¢ $21 $-1 07-02 19:32
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No -20 $-20 99¢ $-20 +$0 07-18 23:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +20 $18 78¢ $16 $-2 06-18 15:44
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +40 $17 30¢ $12 $-5 07-04 10:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-10 78¢ $-12 $-1 07-10 23:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-7 68¢ $-10 $-3 06-14 22:05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-8 91¢ $-9 $-1 06-02 15:28
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +10 $6 60¢ $6 +$0 07-14 07:13
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +40 $5 14¢ $5 +$0 07-01 09:22
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $5 18¢ $5 +$0 07-16 01:29
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +10 $5 36¢ $4 $-2 06-01 20:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $3 16¢ $3 +$0 06-14 22:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +10 $2 20¢ $2 $-0 07-03 20:41
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -10 $-2 18¢ $-2 +$0 06-27 04:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes -8 $-13 15¢ $-1 +$12 07-19 20:02