Honest-Cufflink 0x40c234…77b2fc Create alert
whale bot hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.42K
Unrealized P&L
+$27
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
6,150
Trades
20,699
lifetime
Volume
$113.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$941
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 306 days
Categories
Other
55% 52% +$1,260
Politics
27% 57% +$662
Sports
14% 48% -$815
Crypto
4% 61% +$259
Tech
1% 65% +$45
Pop-Culture
0% 71% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +159 $78 41¢ $65 -$14 11-03 22:18
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026? Yes +60 $22 100¢ $60 +$38 11-05 20:05
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +90 $38 66¢ $60 +$21 11-04 19:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +70 $47 80¢ $56 +$9 10-29 03:32
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +50 $49 99¢ $50 +$0 11-06 19:21
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $35 99¢ $49 +$14 11-05 01:11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +68 $43 72¢ $49 +$5 10-22 01:52
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +74 $33 54¢ $39 +$6 10-26 23:03
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 9m? Yes +40 $32 87¢ $35 +$2 11-06 08:02
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +40 $31 76¢ $31 -$1 11-04 18:47
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -31 -$26 96¢ $-30 -$4 07-15 07:10
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +30 $26 98¢ $30 +$4 11-05 01:11
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +30 $5 98¢ $30 +$24 11-04 18:15
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +50 $25 57¢ $29 +$4 11-05 20:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30 -$19 95¢ $-29 -$9 07-10 23:46
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +40 $27 70¢ $28 +$1 11-04 15:58
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +40 $26 68¢ $27 +$1 11-04 16:40
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +51 -$19 48¢ $25 +$44 10-30 00:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +30 $21 80¢ $24 +$3 11-06 19:11
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +30 $23 79¢ $24 +$0 11-05 05:14
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +764 $153 3¢ $19 -$133 10-19 09:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +20 $18 96¢ $19 +$1 11-04 16:28
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m? No +20 $13 88¢ $18 +$5 11-06 19:23
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +20 $16 88¢ $18 +$1 10-18 04:41
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +20 $14 88¢ $18 +$4 09-26 00:52
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$0 11-06 19:34
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31? No +20 $17 84¢ $17 $0 11-06 19:54
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +20 $15 84¢ $17 +$2 11-03 16:38
Will "Drummer Boy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 9m? Yes +20 $17 82¢ $16 -$1 11-06 04:06
Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? Yes +20 $17 76¢ $15 -$2 11-01 07:31