Honest-Cufflink 0x40c234…77b2fc
whale bot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$285
Unrealized P&L
-$37
Hit rate
77.8%
Resolved (7d)
157
Trades (7d)
325
20,238 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.88K
$110.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$806
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 14:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 300 days
Categories
Other
55% 52% +$1,180
Politics
26% 57% +$487
Sports
14% 48% -$792
Crypto
4% 61% +$257
Tech
1% 65% +$45
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +80 $31 74¢ $59 +$27 09-24 14:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +140 $71 42¢ $59 -$12 10-15 17:33
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +74 $33 70¢ $52 +$18 10-26 23:03
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027 Yes +68 $43 64¢ $43 +$0 10-22 01:52
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +60 $44 72¢ $43 -$1 10-29 01:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +70 $47 56¢ $40 -$7 10-29 03:32
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +40 $33 84¢ $33 +$1 10-19 19:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +40 $31 80¢ $32 +$0 10-30 12:57
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +764 $153 4¢ $31 -$122 10-19 09:00
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -31 -$26 96¢ $-30 -$4 07-15 07:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30 -$19 96¢ $-29 -$9 07-10 23:46
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +40 $23 72¢ $29 +$5 10-22 02:37
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $23 70¢ $28 +$5 10-22 06:26
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +51 -$19 48¢ $25 +$44 10-30 00:18
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +40 $20 52¢ $21 +$0 10-30 17:50
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +30 $20 68¢ $20 $0 10-30 22:37
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +30 $18 62¢ $19 +$1 10-29 23:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +30 $16 62¢ $19 +$3 09-26 17:38
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 10-30 01:29
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 10-30 01:29
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$0 10-29 23:11
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +20 $17 84¢ $17 $0 10-18 04:10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +16 $5 99¢ $16 +$11 10-30 19:57
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +30 $13 55¢ $16 +$3 10-23 16:40
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +20 $10 82¢ $16 +$6 08-14 16:04
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +20 $16 81¢ $16 $0 10-18 04:41
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +20 $14 80¢ $16 +$2 09-26 00:52
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +80 $26 20¢ $16 -$10 10-30 11:37
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $14 74¢ $15 +$1 10-22 00:25
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +20 $14 74¢ $15 +$1 10-22 01:10