Honest-Cufflink 0x40c234…77b2fc
whale bot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$272
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
63.4%
Resolved (30d)
433
Trades (30d)
855
20,337 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$4.98K
$111.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$864
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 04:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 302 days
Categories
Other
55% 52% +$1,192
Politics
26% 57% +$416
Sports
14% 48% -$754
Crypto
4% 61% +$259
Tech
1% 65% +$45
Pop-Culture
0% 71% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +160 $79 40¢ $65 -$15 11-02 02:20
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +80 $31 74¢ $59 +$28 09-24 14:21
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +74 $33 69¢ $51 +$18 10-26 23:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +70 $47 66¢ $46 -$1 10-29 03:32
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +60 $44 74¢ $44 $0 10-29 01:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +68 $43 64¢ $43 +$0 10-22 01:52
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +60 $31 60¢ $36 +$6 11-01 00:47
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +40 $33 86¢ $34 +$1 10-19 19:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +40 $31 80¢ $32 +$0 10-30 12:57
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +764 $153 4¢ $31 -$122 10-19 09:00
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -31 -$26 96¢ $-30 -$4 07-15 07:10
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $23 74¢ $29 +$6 10-22 06:26
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +40 $23 74¢ $29 +$6 10-22 02:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30 -$19 96¢ $-29 -$10 07-10 23:46
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $21 62¢ $25 +$4 11-01 03:55
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +30 $16 72¢ $22 +$6 10-31 22:19
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $17 72¢ $22 +$5 10-31 22:18
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +51 -$19 42¢ $22 +$41 10-30 00:18
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +30 $21 72¢ $21 +$0 11-02 04:43
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +30 $18 68¢ $20 +$2 10-29 23:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +30 $16 66¢ $20 +$4 09-26 17:38
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $18 94¢ $19 +$1 10-30 01:29
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 10-30 01:29
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$0 10-18 04:10
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +80 $26 22¢ $17 -$9 10-30 11:37
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +20 $14 84¢ $17 +$3 09-26 00:52
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +20 $17 84¢ $17 $0 10-29 23:11
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +30 $13 56¢ $17 +$3 10-23 16:40
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +20 $10 82¢ $16 +$6 08-14 16:04
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +20 $16 81¢ $16 $0 10-18 04:41