Honest-Cufflink 0x40c234…77b2fc Create alert
whale bot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$297
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
64.4%
Resolved (30d)
437
Trades (30d)
864
20,364 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$5.05K
$111.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$885
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 00:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 303 days
Categories
Other
55% 52% +$1,208
Politics
26% 57% +$423
Sports
14% 48% -$754
Crypto
4% 61% +$259
Tech
1% 65% +$45
Pop-Culture
0% 71% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +170 $83 39¢ $67 -$17 11-03 00:44
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +80 $31 72¢ $58 +$27 09-24 14:21
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +74 $33 64¢ $48 +$14 10-26 23:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +70 $47 66¢ $47 $0 10-29 03:32
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +60 $44 72¢ $44 -$1 10-29 01:13
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027 Yes +68 $43 63¢ $43 $0 10-22 01:52
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +40 $33 86¢ $35 +$2 10-19 19:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +40 $31 84¢ $33 +$2 10-30 12:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +30 $16 100¢ $30 +$14 09-26 17:38
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $23 74¢ $30 +$7 10-22 06:26
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +40 $23 74¢ $30 +$6 10-22 02:37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +30 $7 99¢ $30 +$23 11-02 17:55
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -31 -$26 96¢ $-30 -$4 07-15 07:10
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $24 74¢ $29 +$5 11-02 18:48
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +40 $23 72¢ $29 +$6 11-02 18:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30 -$19 96¢ $-29 -$9 07-10 23:46
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +764 $153 3¢ $25 -$128 10-19 09:00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +51 -$19 45¢ $23 +$42 10-30 00:18
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +30 $21 76¢ $23 +$1 11-02 04:43
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +30 $18 70¢ $21 +$3 10-29 23:42
Nets vs. Knicks Knicks +20 $13 100¢ $20 +$7 11-03 02:33
Hawks vs. Pacers Hawks +20 $16 100¢ $20 +$4 11-03 02:31
Bucks vs. Timberwolves Timberwolves +20 $16 100¢ $20 +$4 11-03 02:35
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 10-30 01:29
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 10-30 01:29
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +30 $12 62¢ $18 +$6 11-02 20:44
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +20 $17 87¢ $17 +$0 10-18 04:10
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$0 10-29 23:11
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +80 $26 22¢ $17 -$9 10-30 11:37
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +30 $13 56¢ $17 +$4 10-23 16:40