Frivolous-Charm 0xed1948…09cb5e
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$237
Unrealized P&L
-$94
Hit rate
83.2%
Resolved
7
Trades
7,184
lifetime
Volume
$140.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$2.62K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-21 18:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
60% 67% $-236
Other
35% 0% $-1
Tech
4% — —
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,013 $788 99¢ $1.0K +$214 07-06 20:45
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +360 $230 66¢ $240 +$9 07-15 18:57
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +268 $126 64¢ $173 +$47 07-14 16:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -263 $-128 55¢ $-143 $-15 07-20 17:39
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +202 $95 66¢ $133 +$39 07-21 04:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +160 $120 82¢ $132 +$12 07-10 10:23
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +118 $92 82¢ $97 +$5 07-02 01:50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +120 $92 74¢ $89 $-3 06-12 12:52
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +95 $79 80¢ $77 $-3 06-30 07:19
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +74 $68 92¢ $68 +$0 06-29 17:43
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +60 $49 86¢ $52 +$3 06-12 09:08
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +141 $56 36¢ $50 $-6 07-07 19:35
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +60 $49 82¢ $49 +$1 07-09 13:51
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +41 $37 90¢ $37 $-0 06-25 02:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +126 $25 28¢ $35 +$10 07-21 17:58
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +88 $32 34¢ $30 $-2 07-18 21:08
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +27 $25 97¢ $26 +$1 07-01 11:58
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +38 $21 60¢ $23 +$2 06-24 16:13
X banned in any European country by December 31? No +26 $17 86¢ $22 +$5 06-16 08:53
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +26 $19 78¢ $21 +$2 06-16 15:10
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +60 $32 30¢ $18 $-14 06-26 13:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,295 $422 1¢ $15 $-407 07-04 03:49
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +40 $20 34¢ $14 $-6 07-13 23:27
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +19 $10 70¢ $14 +$3 07-06 17:14
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +15 $-8 88¢ $13 +$21 07-15 01:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $10 36¢ $11 +$1 07-20 09:06
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +33 $24 34¢ $11 $-12 06-30 21:14
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +12 $9 88¢ $11 +$1 06-12 20:53
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +11 $8 89¢ $10 +$2 06-30 19:38
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +20 $13 46¢ $9 $-4 06-20 22:43