Frivolous-Charm 0xed1948…09cb5e
whale bot hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.86K
Unrealized P&L
+$38
Hit rate
69.6%
Resolved
909
Trades
11,756
lifetime
Volume
$211.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$1.25K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-29 17:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 192 days
Categories
Politics
57% 59% +$3,442
Other
37% 60% +$276
Tech
3% 59% +$1
Sports
2% 57% +$155
Crypto
0% 38% -$11
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -374 -$303 66¢ $-249 +$54 09-27 07:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $71 88¢ $177 +$106 08-05 07:49
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +160 $111 90¢ $143 +$32 09-29 09:19
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -156 -$143 86¢ $-134 +$9 07-24 04:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +160 $129 80¢ $129 $0 09-19 22:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +120 $50 68¢ $81 +$31 09-06 21:00
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +80 $66 72¢ $58 -$8 07-12 11:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +120 $72 32¢ $39 -$33 09-08 21:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +160 $43 20¢ $31 -$12 08-31 18:17
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 No +32 $21 84¢ $27 +$6 07-13 18:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +200 $211 12¢ $23 -$188 09-09 07:41
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +24 $11 91¢ $22 +$11 09-14 22:11
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +80 $17 28¢ $22 +$5 07-12 21:39
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +25 $3 86¢ $22 +$18 10-24 21:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +160 $21 11¢ $17 -$4 09-07 11:00
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +18 -$34 90¢ $16 +$51 07-26 03:33
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +94 $21 15¢ $14 -$7 09-10 16:28
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $16 29¢ $12 -$4 07-01 12:53
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +9 -$13 90¢ $8 +$21 07-06 00:20
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +40 $15 15¢ $6 -$9 07-01 11:46
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 Yes +32 $10 16¢ $5 -$4 06-28 17:11
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +5 $0 92¢ $5 +$5 07-30 23:55
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +4 $2 94¢ $4 +$1 08-20 14:49
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +3 $3 80¢ $3 $0 09-07 19:17
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +24 $26 9¢ $2 -$24 09-10 16:27
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 05-12 10:55
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +18 $20 10¢ $2 -$18 09-10 18:46
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? Yes +40 $16 3¢ $1 -$15 09-08 02:02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$2 98¢ $1 +$3 07-13 03:49
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +1 -$8 96¢ $1 +$9 09-20 03:00