Frivolous-Charm 0xed1948…09cb5e
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$237
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
83.2%
Resolved
7
Trades
3,202
lifetime
Volume
$65.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$1.82K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-09 18:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
73% 67% $-236
Other
27% 0% $-1
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -750 $-735 98¢ $-737 $-2 06-07 05:04
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No -434 $-429 99¢ $-429 $-1 06-08 07:58
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +250 $230 96¢ $239 +$9 05-31 21:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +200 $173 82¢ $163 $-10 06-09 21:44
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +68 $56 95¢ $65 +$9 05-31 23:02
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +45 $26 100¢ $45 +$19 06-07 19:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +60 $42 64¢ $38 $-4 06-09 17:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +60 $41 62¢ $38 $-3 06-08 09:03
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +60 $36 55¢ $33 $-3 06-07 22:40
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +60 $29 46¢ $27 $-2 06-07 22:01
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 $-0 06-09 11:14
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires? No +40 $3 5¢ $2 $-1 06-09 23:40
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes +20 $2 2¢ $0 $-1 06-08 21:22
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1 $1 26¢ $0 $-1 06-09 21:49