(anonymous) 0xf040b3…90d11f
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$40
Hit rate
92.6%
Resolved
7
Trades
11,962
lifetime
Volume
$49.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.91K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 07-22 01:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Crypto
44% — —
Politics
27% 67% $-27
Other
23% 100% +$36
Sports
5% 0% $-19
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +116 $111 95¢ $111 +$0 07-09 02:57
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +115 $111 94¢ $108 $-2 07-09 02:48
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +119 $105 90¢ $107 +$2 07-12 10:51
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +115 $106 92¢ $106 +$1 06-28 11:57
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +111 $106 94¢ $105 $-1 07-13 18:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +107 $100 96¢ $103 +$3 06-16 10:53
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +105 $100 96¢ $101 +$1 07-22 00:45
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +104 $97 95¢ $99 +$2 07-22 00:53
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +111 $101 90¢ $99 $-2 07-16 22:35
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +113 $86 84¢ $94 +$8 05-31 16:31
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +101 $91 92¢ $93 +$2 07-21 07:18
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government? No -88 $-87 99¢ $-87 +$0 07-12 13:37
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +85 $80 92¢ $79 $-1 07-12 18:58
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? Yes +75 $71 95¢ $71 +$0 07-16 22:51
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +71 $67 96¢ $68 +$1 06-01 22:06
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +70 $65 95¢ $67 +$2 06-14 12:28
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? No -72 $-72 86¢ $-62 +$10 07-03 05:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -61 $-45 72¢ $-44 +$1 06-11 15:34
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -41 $-41 93¢ $-38 +$2 07-06 02:02
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +44 $35 86¢ $38 +$3 07-08 00:50
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +27 $25 96¢ $25 +$0 06-19 21:55
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +27 $25 95¢ $25 +$0 07-08 18:32
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +27 $25 94¢ $25 +$0 07-09 22:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +28 $25 90¢ $25 $-0 07-07 18:22
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +29 $25 85¢ $25 $-0 07-20 00:15
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +27 $20 88¢ $24 +$4 05-28 22:26
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +24 $20 88¢ $21 +$1 06-29 16:48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +23 $20 90¢ $21 +$0 06-26 14:28
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +22 $20 96¢ $21 +$0 06-26 04:48
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +21 $20 97¢ $20 +$0 07-14 20:48