(anonymous) 0xf040b3…90d11f
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
92.6%
Resolved
7
Trades
11,755
lifetime
Volume
$45.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.13K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 06-30 08:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Crypto
47% — —
Politics
26% 67% $-27
Other
21% 100% +$36
Sports
6% 0% $-19
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +115 $106 92¢ $106 +$0 06-28 11:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +107 $100 95¢ $102 +$2 06-16 10:53
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +113 $86 83¢ $93 +$8 05-31 16:31
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -90 $-89 100¢ $-90 $-1 06-13 07:57
Kurds declare independence from Iran? No -88 $-87 100¢ $-88 $-1 06-15 17:48
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? No -74 $-73 96¢ $-71 +$2 06-29 22:23
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +71 $67 96¢ $68 +$2 06-01 22:06
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +70 $65 94¢ $66 +$1 06-14 12:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -61 $-45 86¢ $-53 $-8 06-11 15:34
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? No -46 $-46 100¢ $-46 $-0 06-15 13:23
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +38 $30 84¢ $32 +$2 06-25 21:46
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30? No -27 $-27 100¢ $-27 $-0 06-21 18:42
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +27 $25 90¢ $24 $-1 06-19 21:55
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +27 $20 86¢ $24 +$4 05-28 22:26
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +24 $20 86¢ $21 +$1 06-29 16:48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +23 $20 90¢ $21 +$0 06-26 14:28
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 06-27 19:23
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +22 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 06-26 04:48
OPEC dissolves in 2026? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 $-0 06-26 16:23
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 $-0 06-26 12:16
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? No +21 $19 94¢ $20 +$0 06-18 13:40
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +20 $17 87¢ $17 +$0 06-25 13:54
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +18 $15 86¢ $15 +$0 06-17 17:00
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 +$0 06-15 18:40
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 +$0 06-21 00:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +12 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 06-10 21:08
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 06-13 14:22
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 06-01 21:22
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 +$0 05-29 11:10
Trump out as President before 2027? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 $-0 06-17 04:17