KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
open
Total volume
$211,981
Trades
1,366
Unique wallets
469
Liquidity
$17,724
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-03
last 07-26 15:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+93.5¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $100
vs crowd: 7% YES on $107.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $31 | $2.0K | $1.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $51 | — | +$51 |
| 🐟 Fish | 52 | $174 | $13.6K | $13.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 393 | $6.8K | $85.1K | $78.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $100 | — | +$100 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $73 | $1.1K | $988 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 48 | $556 | $16.1K | $15.5K |
| Median | 34 | $341 | $6.3K | $6.0K |
| Below median | 27 | $150 | $5.6K | $5.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $112 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $133 | $133 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $12 | $675 | $663 |
| unranked | 326 | $5.7K | $69.2K | $63.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low-Rosemary 0xb2ef…90e2 | Yes | +1,350 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-23 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xeefc…ecd5 | Yes | +985 | $78 | $78 | 2 | 07-25 05:33 |
| Plush-Virus 0x9577…8050 | Yes | +975 | $78 | $78 | 2 | 07-25 05:32 |
| Spiffy-Pita 0x9f22…2184 | Yes | +948 | $75 | $75 | 2 | 07-25 05:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x24e4…e545 | Yes | +945 | $74 | $74 | 2 | 07-25 05:43 |
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | +783 | $721 | $1,331 | 26 | 07-23 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c25…ef77 | No | +500 | $460 | $460 | 1 | 07-25 05:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x081a…dffe | No | +495 | $455 | $455 | 1 | 07-25 05:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9bc…e39e | No | +485 | $447 | $447 | 1 | 07-25 05:33 |
| Meek-Realization 0xe2d0…50a1 | No | +482 | $444 | $444 | 1 | 07-25 05:44 |
| Treasured-Cenotaph-Steeple 0x4c73…0eaa | No | +480 | $442 | $442 | 1 | 07-25 05:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xe528…d97f | No | +473 | $436 | $436 | 1 | 07-25 05:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc64…b08f | No | +472 | $435 | $435 | 1 | 07-25 05:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xa658…104d | No | +466 | $429 | $429 | 1 | 07-25 05:41 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +355 | $330 | $415 | 5 | 07-25 03:37 |
| Advanced-Petitioner 0x2e62…b22e | Yes | +299 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-25 03:35 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +289 | $273 | $273 | 3 | 07-23 11:40 |
| Separate-Beef 0xe31b…5f28 | Yes | +143 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-19 11:21 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +120 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 06-16 07:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | +104 | $97 | $97 | 17 | 07-22 00:53 |
| Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | +101 | $93 | $111 | 2 | 07-24 21:26 |
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 06-30 10:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xdea9…e079 | No | +99 | $94 | $94 | 3 | 07-25 03:37 |
| 0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3 0x9925…baa3 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-03 15:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x11c1…6db8 | No | +53 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-22 00:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d61…17cf | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-23 11:40 |
| Secret-Editorial 0xe3de…78dd | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-20 14:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x9992…69ef | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-22 00:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x54d0…5fda | No | +49 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 07-23 11:40 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +41 | $39 | $39 | 6 | 07-24 21:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +38 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 07-01 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +38 | $3 | $3 | 6 | 06-16 07:08 |
| Limp-Interconnection 0x4b74…e8d7 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-25 03:37 |
| True-Adaptation 0x0013…3c30 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-18 21:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +15 | $14 | $32 | 5 | 07-23 13:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf5a6…ffa5 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-25 07:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e89…cab7 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-23 09:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x4752…cb8b | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-23 08:31 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 07-23 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $4 | 22 | 07-24 07:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | +7 | $0 | $3 | 24 | 07-26 15:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | +6 | $6 | $16 | 9 | 07-23 11:44 |
| Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | +5 | $5 | $24 | 5 | 07-22 00:53 |
| Black-University 0x0044…cb2c | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-23 09:31 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-11 10:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 15:03:25 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xa7f5d9… |
| 07-26 15:03:25 | (anonymous) 0x9cdd…df3e | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0xa7f5d9… |
| 07-25 22:21:30 | (anonymous) 0x5215…5840 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x5a2131… |
| 07-25 22:21:30 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5a2131… |
| 07-25 07:49:10 | (anonymous) 0xf5a6…ffa5 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x2174c6… |
| 07-25 07:49:10 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2174c6… |
| 07-25 07:01:33 | (anonymous) 0x92c2…6ecd | Yes | SELL | 465 | 8¢ | $36 | 0x93940e… |
| 07-25 07:01:33 | Knowledgeable-Mocha 0xaf51…29bb | No | SELL | 465 | 92¢ | $429 | 0x93940e… |
| 07-25 07:01:16 | (anonymous) 0x92c2…6ecd | Yes | SELL | 470 | 8¢ | $36 | 0x437194… |
| 07-25 07:01:16 | Grown-Cofactor 0x092b…0049 | No | SELL | 470 | 92¢ | $434 | 0x437194… |
| 07-25 07:00:51 | (anonymous) 0x1658…7ea2 | Yes | SELL | 470 | 8¢ | $36 | 0xa3daed… |
| 07-25 07:00:51 | (anonymous) 0xa13b…c9ef | No | SELL | 470 | 92¢ | $434 | 0xa3daed… |
| 07-25 07:00:34 | (anonymous) 0x1658…7ea2 | Yes | SELL | 460 | 8¢ | $35 | 0x456887… |
| 07-25 07:00:34 | Lighthearted-Tourist 0x147c…74f9 | No | SELL | 460 | 92¢ | $425 | 0x456887… |
| 07-25 06:11:28 | (anonymous) 0xaaa5…ed0a | No | SELL | 360 | 91¢ | $329 | 0x0dd997… |
| 07-25 06:11:28 | (anonymous) 0xa21c…c1c7 | No | SELL | 399 | 91¢ | $365 | 0x0dd997… |
| 07-25 06:11:28 | (anonymous) 0x421c…5cb0 | Yes | SELL | 759 | 8¢ | $65 | 0x0dd997… |
| 07-25 06:11:27 | (anonymous) 0xed8e…21f9 | No | SELL | 392 | 92¢ | $359 | 0x8add0e… |
| 07-25 06:11:27 | (anonymous) 0x4167…390b | No | SELL | 367 | 92¢ | $336 | 0x8add0e… |
| 07-25 06:11:27 | (anonymous) 0x50b3…6291 | Yes | SELL | 759 | 8¢ | $65 | 0x8add0e… |
| 07-25 06:05:07 | (anonymous) 0x9d44…f334 | Yes | SELL | 699 | 8¢ | $55 | 0x67e9ca… |
| 07-25 06:05:07 | (anonymous) 0x680a…4501 | No | SELL | 346 | 92¢ | $319 | 0x67e9ca… |
| 07-25 06:05:07 | (anonymous) 0xe109…6849 | No | SELL | 353 | 92¢ | $325 | 0x67e9ca… |
| 07-25 06:05:06 | (anonymous) 0x298e…1480 | No | SELL | 310 | 92¢ | $286 | 0xdd1845… |
| 07-25 06:05:06 | (anonymous) 0x26e7…012f | No | SELL | 389 | 92¢ | $358 | 0xdd1845… |
| 07-25 06:05:06 | (anonymous) 0xed7f…590c | Yes | SELL | 699 | 8¢ | $55 | 0xdd1845… |
| 07-25 05:47:39 | (anonymous) 0x5692…689d | Yes | SELL | 836 | 8¢ | $66 | 0xc1e020… |
| 07-25 05:47:39 | (anonymous) 0x252e…a30a | No | SELL | 474 | 92¢ | $437 | 0xc1e020… |
| 07-25 05:47:39 | (anonymous) 0xc97b…6487 | No | SELL | 362 | 92¢ | $333 | 0xc1e020… |
| 07-25 05:47:22 | (anonymous) 0x3037…7b07 | No | SELL | 405 | 92¢ | $373 | 0xff6d62… |
| 07-25 05:47:22 | (anonymous) 0x1ad4…8ef1 | Yes | SELL | 836 | 8¢ | $66 | 0xff6d62… |
| 07-25 05:47:22 | (anonymous) 0x76f3…f978 | No | SELL | 431 | 92¢ | $397 | 0xff6d62… |
| 07-25 05:44:42 | Spiffy-Pita 0x9f22…2184 | Yes | BUY | 482 | 8¢ | $38 | 0xaa9593… |
| 07-25 05:44:42 | Meek-Realization 0xe2d0…50a1 | No | BUY | 482 | 92¢ | $444 | 0xaa9593… |
| 07-25 05:43:16 | (anonymous) 0xe528…d97f | No | BUY | 473 | 92¢ | $436 | 0x147e13… |
| 07-25 05:43:16 | (anonymous) 0x24e4…e545 | Yes | BUY | 473 | 8¢ | $37 | 0x147e13… |
| 07-25 05:42:36 | (anonymous) 0xfc64…b08f | No | BUY | 472 | 92¢ | $435 | 0x58f388… |
| 07-25 05:42:36 | (anonymous) 0x24e4…e545 | Yes | BUY | 472 | 8¢ | $37 | 0x58f388… |
| 07-25 05:41:01 | (anonymous) 0xa658…104d | No | BUY | 466 | 92¢ | $429 | 0x63a80a… |
| 07-25 05:41:01 | Spiffy-Pita 0x9f22…2184 | Yes | BUY | 466 | 8¢ | $37 | 0x63a80a… |
| 07-25 05:38:36 | Edible-Pants 0x7d84…44f8 | Yes | SELL | 900 | 8¢ | $71 | 0x9a26b9… |
| 07-25 05:38:36 | (anonymous) 0xf931…934f | No | SELL | 435 | 92¢ | $401 | 0x9a26b9… |
| 07-25 05:38:36 | (anonymous) 0xe881…072b | No | SELL | 465 | 92¢ | $428 | 0x9a26b9… |
| 07-25 05:38:25 | (anonymous) 0x1be9…4139 | No | SELL | 455 | 92¢ | $419 | 0x8958df… |
| 07-25 05:38:25 | United-Wampum 0x720c…6e1e | Yes | SELL | 900 | 8¢ | $71 | 0x8958df… |
| 07-25 05:38:25 | (anonymous) 0xc22b…cb87 | No | SELL | 445 | 92¢ | $410 | 0x8958df… |
| 07-25 05:37:49 | Triangular-Composite 0x926d…1ad0 | No | SELL | 470 | 92¢ | $434 | 0xc348b1… |
| 07-25 05:37:49 | Feisty-Carbohydrate 0xba43…88d1 | Yes | SELL | 470 | 8¢ | $36 | 0xc348b1… |
| 07-25 05:37:42 | Feisty-Carbohydrate 0xba43…88d1 | Yes | SELL | 465 | 8¢ | $35 | 0xfbf562… |
| 07-25 05:37:42 | Frugal-Roar 0xef99…b732 | No | SELL | 465 | 92¢ | $430 | 0xfbf562… |
| 07-25 05:37:34 | Knowledgeable-Sofa 0x4587…4bf7 | No | SELL | 470 | 92¢ | $434 | 0xc3489c… |
| 07-25 05:37:34 | (anonymous) 0x36a8…c229 | Yes | SELL | 470 | 8¢ | $36 | 0xc3489c… |
| 07-25 05:37:27 | (anonymous) 0x36a8…c229 | Yes | SELL | 465 | 8¢ | $35 | 0x6d1acc… |
| 07-25 05:37:27 | (anonymous) 0x706c…a1ba | No | SELL | 465 | 92¢ | $430 | 0x6d1acc… |
| 07-25 05:37:15 | (anonymous) 0x7c65…9ac2 | No | SELL | 475 | 92¢ | $437 | 0x3fd6db… |
| 07-25 05:37:15 | Super-Habit 0x81c2…97bc | No | SELL | 485 | 92¢ | $447 | 0x3fd6db… |
| 07-25 05:37:15 | Nice-Almond 0x41f0…de02 | Yes | SELL | 960 | 8¢ | $76 | 0x3fd6db… |
| 07-25 05:37:06 | (anonymous) 0xc4bd…c475 | No | SELL | 495 | 92¢ | $456 | 0x60cc6a… |
| 07-25 05:37:06 | Gaseous-Skullcap 0xc14d…3f2b | Yes | SELL | 960 | 8¢ | $76 | 0x60cc6a… |
| 07-25 05:37:06 | (anonymous) 0xeca8…10c2 | No | SELL | 465 | 92¢ | $428 | 0x60cc6a… |
| 07-25 05:36:13 | (anonymous) 0xb094…3235 | No | SELL | 356 | 92¢ | $328 | 0xa640b0… |
| 07-25 05:36:13 | (anonymous) 0xe14e…af61 | Yes | SELL | 749 | 8¢ | $59 | 0x5565ef… |
| 07-25 05:36:13 | (anonymous) 0x594b…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 749 | 8¢ | $59 | 0xa640b0… |
| 07-25 05:36:13 | (anonymous) 0x9d12…7e0d | No | SELL | 338 | 92¢ | $311 | 0x5565ef… |
| 07-25 05:36:13 | (anonymous) 0x41b6…dec7 | No | SELL | 393 | 92¢ | $362 | 0xa640b0… |
| 07-25 05:36:13 | (anonymous) 0xae72…c8c2 | No | SELL | 411 | 92¢ | $379 | 0x5565ef… |
| 07-25 05:35:03 | Radiant-Lottery 0xced7…a2b4 | Yes | SELL | 460 | 8¢ | $36 | 0x61b3d9… |
| 07-25 05:35:03 | (anonymous) 0xac71…12f2 | No | SELL | 460 | 92¢ | $424 | 0x61b3d9… |
| 07-25 05:34:30 | Impressive-Candidate 0x3af5…d0aa | No | SELL | 475 | 92¢ | $437 | 0x5e9155… |
| 07-25 05:34:30 | Radiant-Lottery 0xced7…a2b4 | Yes | SELL | 475 | 8¢ | $38 | 0x5e9155… |
| 07-25 05:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xb9bc…e39e | No | BUY | 485 | 92¢ | $447 | 0x5abba8… |
| 07-25 05:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xeefc…ecd5 | Yes | BUY | 485 | 8¢ | $38 | 0x5abba8… |
| 07-25 05:33:25 | (anonymous) 0xeefc…ecd5 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 8¢ | $40 | 0x04a9e9… |
| 07-25 05:33:25 | (anonymous) 0x5c25…ef77 | No | BUY | 500 | 92¢ | $460 | 0x04a9e9… |
| 07-25 05:32:34 | (anonymous) 0x081a…dffe | No | BUY | 495 | 92¢ | $455 | 0x62b3a2… |
| 07-25 05:32:34 | Plush-Virus 0x9577…8050 | Yes | BUY | 495 | 8¢ | $40 | 0x62b3a2… |
| 07-25 05:32:07 | Plush-Virus 0x9577…8050 | Yes | BUY | 480 | 8¢ | $38 | 0xa6e0b5… |
| 07-25 05:32:07 | Treasured-Cenotaph-Steeple 0x4c73…0eaa | No | BUY | 480 | 92¢ | $442 | 0xa6e0b5… |
| 07-25 03:51:12 | (anonymous) 0x594b…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 393 | 8¢ | $31 | 0x672c16… |
| 07-25 03:51:12 | (anonymous) 0x41b6…dec7 | No | BUY | 393 | 92¢ | $362 | 0x672c16… |
| 07-25 03:51:03 | (anonymous) 0xb094…3235 | No | BUY | 356 | 92¢ | $328 | 0xbe8a29… |
| 07-25 03:51:03 | (anonymous) 0x594b…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 356 | 8¢ | $28 | 0xbe8a29… |
| 07-25 03:50:36 | (anonymous) 0xe14e…af61 | Yes | BUY | 338 | 8¢ | $27 | 0x6af2ad… |
| 07-25 03:50:36 | (anonymous) 0x9d12…7e0d | No | BUY | 338 | 92¢ | $311 | 0x6af2ad… |
| 07-25 03:50:36 | (anonymous) 0xae72…c8c2 | No | BUY | 411 | 92¢ | $379 | 0xc29862… |
| 07-25 03:50:36 | (anonymous) 0xe14e…af61 | Yes | BUY | 411 | 8¢ | $32 | 0xc29862… |
| 07-25 03:46:31 | Wiry-Barge 0xdc47…bc8d | No | SELL | 539 | 92¢ | $499 | 0x18a34e… |
| 07-25 03:46:31 | Linear-Kitty 0x9ff6…db7f | No | SELL | 431 | 92¢ | $399 | 0x18a34e… |
| 07-25 03:46:31 | (anonymous) 0xac19…af53 | Yes | SELL | 970 | 8¢ | $73 | 0x18a34e… |
| 07-25 03:46:09 | (anonymous) 0x4855…d1d9 | No | SELL | 591 | 92¢ | $547 | 0x97f29c… |
| 07-25 03:46:09 | (anonymous) 0x2307…1d17 | No | SELL | 379 | 92¢ | $351 | 0x97f29c… |
| 07-25 03:46:09 | Buttery-Mesenchyme 0xcefa…6d71 | Yes | SELL | 970 | 8¢ | $73 | 0x97f29c… |
| 07-25 03:45:27 | (anonymous) 0x76f3…f978 | No | BUY | 431 | 92¢ | $398 | 0x6323bd… |
| 07-25 03:45:27 | (anonymous) 0x1ad4…8ef1 | Yes | BUY | 431 | 8¢ | $33 | 0x6323bd… |
| 07-25 03:45:18 | (anonymous) 0x3037…7b07 | No | BUY | 405 | 92¢ | $374 | 0x5892d6… |
| 07-25 03:45:18 | (anonymous) 0x1ad4…8ef1 | Yes | BUY | 405 | 8¢ | $31 | 0x5892d6… |
| 07-25 03:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x5692…689d | Yes | BUY | 362 | 8¢ | $28 | 0x14fcad… |
| 07-25 03:44:40 | (anonymous) 0xc97b…6487 | No | BUY | 362 | 92¢ | $334 | 0x14fcad… |
| 07-25 03:44:36 | (anonymous) 0x252e…a30a | No | BUY | 474 | 92¢ | $438 | 0xde9ceb… |
| 07-25 03:44:36 | (anonymous) 0x5692…689d | Yes | BUY | 474 | 8¢ | $36 | 0xde9ceb… |