Low-Rosemary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.29K

Unrealized P&L

-$449

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$36.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$207

Open exposure

$769

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 10-27 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Politics

43% 30% +$3,377

Other

34% 47% +$3,129

Sports

18% 45% +$3,544

Tech

5% 12% -$689

Crypto

2% 0% -$68

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,010	$644	18¢	$362	-$283	10-21 06:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+284	$68	48¢	$136	+$68	10-27 17:05
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	+515	$123	22¢	$111	-$12	10-21 06:13
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	+1,752	$147	5¢	$83	-$64	09-14 09:35
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	Yes	+1,350	$100	5¢	$65	-$35	07-23 11:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+383	$134	3¢	$11	-$123	09-09 13:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	3	$5.7K	3,751	3,751	+0	No	+$1,721	08-19 05:48
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	6	$3.2K	2,240	2,240	+0	Yes	+$485	05-16 03:29
iran closes its airspace by june 15	2	$2.2K	1,931	1,931	+0	Yes	+$1,650	06-08 04:49
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$1.6K	983	983	+0	Yes	+$381	04-05 10:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$928	04-08 20:11
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	2	$815	516	516	+0	No	+$155	07-26 11:44
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	3	$814	52,808	0	+52,808	No	-$814	08-16 09:40
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$798	3,990	0	+3,990	Sean Strickland	+$3,192	05-06 06:18
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$705	440	440	+0	Yes	+$105	06-25 11:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$682	411	411	+0	No	+$82	06-21 18:40
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	2	$644	2,010	0	+2,010	open	—	10-21 06:10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$567	4,648	4,648	+0	open	—	06-25 04:05
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	4	$533	942	427	+515	open	—	10-21 06:13
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	2	$505	317	317	+0	Yes	+$105	04-05 14:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$500	985	0	+985	No	-$500	05-21 11:24
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	3	$500	1,064	0	+1,064	Yes	-$500	08-06 20:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$495	866	0	+866	Yes	+$371	04-23 06:46
ufc avagae say1 2026 07 25	2	$450	916	0	+916	Abubakar Vagaev	+$12	07-25 16:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$442	270	270	+0	No	+$59	04-22 17:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$400	1,176	588	+588	Yes	+$588	04-07 20:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$387	307	307	+0	Yes	+$19	04-29 09:07
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	2	$383	400	386	+14	Yes	-$2	04-12 16:54
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	2	$381	661	661	+0	No	-$19	07-23 18:06
ufc ism1 axe 2026 07 25	2	$379	542	542	+0	Axel Sola	-$21	07-25 14:40
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$321	629	0	+629	Ciryl Gane	+$308	06-08 19:24
ufc dus3 msaid 2026 07 25	1	$300	469	0	+469	Muhammad Said	-$300	07-25 14:36
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Rodolfo Vieira (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$300	714	0	+714	Rodolfo Vieira	-$300	09-22 20:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	1	$300	846	0	+846	Yes	+$546	10-05 16:15
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	1	$300	526	0	+526	Joshua Van	+$226	09-17 18:18
ufc ram10 ste14 2026 07 25	1	$300	496	0	+496	Ramazan Temirov	-$300	07-25 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 17:05:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	284	24¢	$68	0xf98041…
10-24 20:13:54	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x8d421d…
10-24 17:28:06	Will Azamat Murzakanov win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xb42777…
10-23 07:34:57	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	62¢	$153	0x80c0e3…
10-21 06:13:45	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	236	21¢	$50	0xe1be9b…
10-21 06:10:38	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	903	16¢	$144	0x1c9b2a…
10-19 13:30:27	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	279	28¢	$78	0x8f9d30…
10-19 11:30:06	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x1c58fd…
10-19 07:27:48	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xab0403…
10-19 04:37:53	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe61377…
10-19 04:37:53	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x714b9f…
10-19 04:37:53	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4d5e46…
10-19 04:37:53	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x29e039…
10-17 19:57:57	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x57dd07…
10-17 16:15:06	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x4d4396…
10-05 16:15:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	846	35¢	$300	0xf7ed85…
10-05 16:12:52	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	833	9¢	$75	0x6571ba…
09-27 02:31:39	ufc rao rau2 2026 09 26	Raul Rosas Jr.	SELL	294	15¢	$43	0xd904ff…
09-27 02:30:26	ufc rao rau2 2026 09 26	Raul Rosas Jr.	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x91d58f…
09-24 07:42:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	411	26¢	$107	0x0669b9…
09-22 20:31:53	UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Rodolfo Vieira (Middleweight, Main Card)	Robert Bryczek	BUY	714	42¢	$300	0x94ec7c…
09-17 18:18:33	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	526	57¢	$300	0x3427a4…
09-17 18:15:45	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	484	17¢	$82	0xffbacb…
09-16 16:30:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?	Yes	BUY	521	38¢	$200	0xf79c2a…
09-16 16:21:18	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,107	45¢	$500	0x41c095…
09-16 16:20:56	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	265	19¢	$51	0x88e610…
09-14 09:35:42	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,752	7¢	$122	0x34e8df…
09-10 09:18:48	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,724	4¢	$75	0x22e750…
09-09 13:58:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0xfcaf7c…
09-09 13:48:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	383	35¢	$134	0x27061c…
09-05 21:18:15	UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)	Farés Ziam	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0xd7a1d0…
09-05 20:42:03	UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Nursulton Ruziboev	BUY	571	35¢	$200	0x8628cc…
09-05 20:17:24	UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Main Card)	Punahele Soriano	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xee19a1…
09-05 19:49:03	UFC Fight Night: Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Prelims)	Trevor Peek	BUY	341	8¢	$27	0x9f10c0…
09-05 18:41:03	UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)	Morgan Charrière	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x8db77e…
09-05 18:25:15	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	249	53¢	$133	0xf7dc1c…
09-05 18:02:25	ufc mbukau oum 2026 09 05	Modestas Bukauskas	BUY	484	31¢	$150	0x94beb7…
09-05 17:30:19	UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca (Featherweight, Prelims)	Nathaniel Wood	BUY	423	71¢	$300	0xa6c998…
09-05 17:29:18	UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)	Morgan Charrière	BUY	417	36¢	$150	0x347a17…
08-31 18:32:10	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	1,051	7¢	$76	0x41fb73…
08-31 18:31:52	will wti reach 100 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	551	18¢	$100	0x2e7e03…
08-31 18:31:13	will wti reach 95 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	684	35¢	$237	0x5de203…
08-28 15:32:15	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Song Yadong	BUY	535	17¢	$91	0x10894a…
08-28 15:31:43	boxing itauma hrgovi 2026 08 29	Filip Hrgovic	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x78957a…
08-24 13:31:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	Yes	BUY	523	13¢	$68	0x39f42c…
08-24 13:31:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	BUY	717	41¢	$294	0x01ab4b…
08-19 05:48:16	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	SELL	3,751	99¢	$3,721	0xa9875e…
08-18 18:34:55	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	1,774	56¢	$1,000	0xc683e5…
08-18 13:43:15	Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	1,498	4¢	$54	0x95e10b…
08-18 06:21:18	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	1,978	51¢	$1,000	0xded916…
08-17 14:43:15	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	427	48¢	$205	0xa07531…
08-16 09:40:57	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	49,623	1¢	$661	0x2c37d8…
08-14 07:40:31	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	2,143	2¢	$45	0x256178…
08-14 07:38:51	Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	1,077	6¢	$70	0xdb70e2…
08-06 20:07:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xee89c6…
08-01 19:13:03	ufc dan7 uro 2026 08 01	Daniel Rodriguez	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x625477…
08-01 18:20:18	ufc mar12 ale15 2026 08 01 tybura win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	957	10¢	$100	0xf0423c…
07-31 12:22:35	ufc mjanic ngugno 2026 08 01	Milos Janicic	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x6f8dd5…
07-31 08:31:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x63c084…
07-29 06:24:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,064	11¢	$117	0x112966…
07-26 11:44:46	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	516	94¢	$485	0x5d776b…
07-25 18:00:07	ufc ram10 ste14 2026 07 25	Steve Erceg	BUY	496	60¢	$300	0x0489a0…
07-25 16:55:19	ufc riz tfortu 2026 07 25	Tyrell Fortune	BUY	570	11¢	$65	0x2df6b4…
07-25 16:23:22	ufc avagae say1 2026 07 25	Saygid Izagakhmaev	BUY	455	33¢	$150	0xdd3d9d…
07-25 16:03:24	ufc avagae say1 2026 07 25	Abubakar Vagaev	BUY	462	65¢	$300	0x94fd63…
07-25 15:42:18	ufc tho4 val7 2026 07 25 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0xa866a7…
07-25 14:41:49	ufc ism1 axe 2026 07 25 go the distance	No	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x4c265c…
07-25 14:40:45	ufc ism1 axe 2026 07 25	Ismael Bonfim	SELL	542	33¢	$179	0xdf352a…
07-25 14:36:13	ufc dus3 msaid 2026 07 25	Dustin Jacoby	BUY	469	64¢	$300	0x7b8f7c…
07-25 14:32:51	ufc san1 sam2 2026 07 25	Santiago Ponzinibbio	BUY	568	19¢	$108	0x304584…
07-25 14:28:54	ufc ism1 axe 2026 07 25	Ismael Bonfim	BUY	542	37¢	$200	0xc696a0…
07-24 16:06:04	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	516	64¢	$330	0x6f36f9…
07-24 15:56:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	1,829	4¢	$81	0x44a731…
07-23 18:50:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	1,829	7¢	$128	0xc4fcea…
07-23 18:06:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	661	27¢	$181	0x371b14…
07-23 11:44:21	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	373	54¢	$200	0x33b8db…
07-23 11:40:04	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,350	7¢	$100	0x0ca510…
07-23 11:34:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0xdde83b…
07-22 18:05:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0x0c9713…
07-22 18:02:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	661	30¢	$200	0x79e829…
07-22 08:39:52	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,724	6¢	$100	0x26bb74…
07-22 08:24:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	BUY	462	38¢	$175	0xe4b9d3…
07-03 13:03:43	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	1,382	15¢	$205	0x5221a8…
07-03 11:30:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	370	7¢	$26	0x7c4cd2…
07-03 11:30:22	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	SELL	630	12¢	$76	0x143e71…
07-02 12:33:01	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	308	48¢	$148	0x914777…
06-27 18:31:22	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x9160c6…
06-27 18:30:41	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Rafael Fiziev	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x18ac49…
06-25 11:39:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	440	92¢	$405	0x364675…
06-25 04:05:49	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,648	4¢	$186	0x50ca87…
06-22 10:11:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	440	68¢	$300	0x0e1573…
06-21 18:51:20	trump renames strait of hormuz to strait of trump by june 30	Yes	BUY	902	2¢	$17	0x6977cc…
06-21 18:40:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	411	93¢	$382	0x2181bd…
06-20 11:37:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xeb1c54…
06-15 13:44:09	trump renames strait of hormuz to strait of trump by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,046	3¢	$30	0x40a12b…
06-15 13:43:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0x99e045…
06-12 06:18:45	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	Yes	SELL	562	3¢	$17	0xb7d7a1…
06-12 06:18:25	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	306	7¢	$22	0x0602bc…
06-12 06:18:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	701	4¢	$28	0x7537c4…
06-10 10:02:27	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 gaethje win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	299	17¢	$50	0x5f3c8c…