Realized P&L
+$1.62K
Unrealized P&L
+$113
Hit rate
63.4%
Resolved
181
Trades
85,584
lifetime
Volume
$2.11M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$279
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
62% 41% +$1,675
Sports
19% 37% $-79
Politics
14% 100% +$20
Crypto
3%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 727 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -299 $-124 36¢ $-109 +$15 06-21 19:53
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes -288 $-97 30¢ $-87 +$10 07-17 16:29
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -252 $-105 20¢ $-49 +$56 06-18 01:31
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes -71 $-31 26¢ $-19 +$12 06-27 08:17
X banned in any European country by December 31? Yes -49 $-13 15¢ $-7 +$6 06-25 06:34
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +178 $2 $7 +$4 07-19 00:09
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +1 $-4 84¢ $1 +$5 06-12 08:15
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +0 $-6 80¢ $0 +$6 06-09 02:46
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +0 $1 16¢ $0 $-1 06-19 19:31