Realized P&L
+$21.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$113
Hit rate
61.4%
Resolved
6,879
Trades
125,819
lifetime
Volume
$3.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$2.48K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 12:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 293 days
Categories
Other
65% 41% +$8,581
Sports
15% 45% +$5,046
Politics
15% 51% +$6,593
Tech
2% 39% +$941
Crypto
2% 34% -$191
Pop-Culture
0% 62% +$940
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 521 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -554 -$281 88¢ $-487 -$206 05-12 11:31
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -482 -$273 66¢ $-321 -$47 10-27 21:58
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -394 -$230 66¢ $-262 -$32 10-27 19:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +257 $42 98¢ $251 +$210 10-28 05:33
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes -628 -$248 29¢ $-182 +$66 06-27 08:17
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +154 $136 74¢ $113 -$23 10-20 19:17
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +934 $130 12¢ $107 -$23 10-08 04:32
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +299 $149 34¢ $100 -$49 10-27 23:49
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B GamerLegion +159 $77 52¢ $82 +$5 10-28 04:41
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +300 $75 27¢ $81 +$6 10-28 11:35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +200 $41 34¢ $67 +$26 10-28 00:17
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? No +1,140 $161 6¢ $63 -$98 10-28 11:40
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +300 $84 20¢ $62 -$23 10-03 06:27
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +300 $63 16¢ $50 -$14 10-03 06:39
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 Yes +300 $30 16¢ $46 +$16 10-20 14:45
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +300 $30 10¢ $28 -$2 10-03 07:31
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -31 -$50 92¢ $-28 +$22 10-20 23:06
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? No +368 $61 8¢ $28 -$34 10-28 13:28
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes -718 -$177 3¢ $-23 +$153 07-30 16:25
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +534 $133 4¢ $19 -$114 10-28 11:50
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? Yes +220 $15 7¢ $15 +$1 10-28 08:55
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? Yes +299 $29 5¢ $14 -$15 07-25 03:35
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +100 $13 12¢ $12 $0 07-24 10:49
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +80 $11 14¢ $11 $0 08-28 23:52
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? No -10 -$8 85¢ $-8 -$1 09-03 15:36
Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Daniel Merida Aguilar +80 $20 8¢ $6 -$14 10-25 19:54
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes -288 -$21 1¢ $-4 +$17 07-26 14:53
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +48 -$54 8¢ $4 +$58 06-18 01:31
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +178 $2 2¢ $4 +$1 07-19 00:09
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 09-29 14:36