Realized P&L
+$1.62K
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
63.4%
Resolved
181
Trades
80,349
lifetime
Volume
$1.88M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$989
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
61% 41% +$1,675
Sports
19% 37% $-79
Politics
14% 100% +$20
Crypto
4%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 4931 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays +699 $398 55¢ $381 $-16 06-10 01:04
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? Yes -260 $-256 100¢ $-259 $-4 05-30 11:10
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -281 $-205 76¢ $-212 $-7 05-31 19:24
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox +66 $27 46¢ $30 +$3 06-09 12:45
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -64 $-32 40¢ $-26 +$6 06-01 21:32
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -108 $-39 24¢ $-25 +$13 06-10 03:02
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Yes +24 $-1 99¢ $24 +$25 06-09 07:28
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +300 $12 $14 +$2 05-31 21:04
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? No +856 $111 $12 $-100 06-09 13:09
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? No -1,199 $-14 $-2 +$12 05-30 21:22
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? No +402 $26 $1 $-25 06-04 21:54
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +1 $-0 74¢ $1 +$1 06-07 02:30
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? No +394 $-30 $1 +$31 06-07 11:40
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $-11 100¢ $1 +$12 06-09 03:10
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +0 $-6 76¢ $0 +$6 06-09 02:46
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +1 $-6 26¢ $0 +$6 06-09 20:28
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? No -50 $-6 $-0 +$6 05-31 00:02
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-06 11:41