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whale hot
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Realized P&L
+$19.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$159
Hit rate
60.9%
Resolved
7,072
Trades
128,035
lifetime
Volume
$3.05M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 01:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 304 days
Categories
Other
65% 40% +$7,807
Politics
15% 49% +$5,130
Sports
15% 46% +$5,105
Tech
2% 42% +$1,145
Crypto
2% 34% -$191
Pop-Culture
0% 60% +$739
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 521 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -554 -$281 92¢ $-507 -$226 05-12 11:31
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +201 $166 84¢ $169 +$3 10-31 21:04
Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats? Yes +272 $103 57¢ $155 +$52 11-08 10:52
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +299 $82 22¢ $67 -$15 10-30 15:30
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? Yes +299 $114 20¢ $58 -$56 10-29 21:21
Will no Israeli government be formed after the 2026 Knesset election? Yes +164 $84 33¢ $54 -$30 11-05 20:41
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +300 $63 16¢ $50 -$14 10-03 06:39
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +570 $108 8¢ $43 -$65 11-02 13:59
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? No +116 $50 36¢ $42 -$8 11-01 08:18
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting? No +106 $45 34¢ $37 -$8 10-31 17:53
US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026? Yes +289 $71 10¢ $30 -$41 11-03 12:38
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -30 -$46 92¢ $-28 +$18 11-03 18:40
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +578 $86 4¢ $25 -$61 11-05 13:07
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes -718 -$177 3¢ $-20 +$157 07-30 16:25
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +120 $1 16¢ $19 +$18 10-31 08:36
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes -587 -$207 3¢ $-16 +$191 11-04 04:34
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +111 $43 14¢ $15 -$28 10-31 13:15
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +100 $13 15¢ $15 +$2 07-24 10:49
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? Yes -890 -$38 2¢ $-14 +$24 11-04 09:26
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? Yes +106 $45 12¢ $13 -$31 10-10 12:17
Tusk out by December 31? Yes +300 $27 4¢ $13 -$14 11-02 06:46
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? Yes +133 $73 10¢ $13 -$60 11-05 13:54
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? Yes +299 $29 4¢ $12 -$17 07-25 03:35
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +80 $11 12¢ $10 -$1 08-28 23:52
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? No -10 -$8 94¢ $-9 -$2 09-03 15:36
X banned in any European country by December 31? Yes -70 -$19 11¢ $-8 +$11 08-04 00:10
Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14? Yes +196 $10 2¢ $4 -$6 11-03 11:25
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +178 $2 2¢ $3 +$1 07-19 00:09
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +48 -$54 7¢ $3 +$57 06-18 01:31
Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? Yes +57 $11 4¢ $3 -$9 10-03 02:15