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whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$19.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
60.9%
Resolved
7,075
Trades
128,043
lifetime
Volume
$3.05M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.43K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 15:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 305 days
Categories
Other
65% 40% +$7,747
Politics
15% 50% +$5,207
Sports
15% 46% +$5,105
Tech
2% 42% +$1,145
Crypto
2% 34% -$191
Pop-Culture
0% 55% +$729
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 521 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -554 -$281 94¢ $-520 -$239 05-12 11:31
Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats? Yes +272 $103 64¢ $173 +$70 11-08 10:52
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +120 $95 94¢ $112 +$17 11-09 12:01
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +570 $108 17¢ $97 -$11 11-02 13:59
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +299 $82 22¢ $64 -$18 10-30 15:30
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? Yes +299 $114 18¢ $55 -$59 10-29 21:21
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +300 $63 16¢ $50 -$14 10-03 06:39
Will no Israeli government be formed after the 2026 Knesset election? Yes +164 $84 29¢ $47 -$37 11-05 20:41
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? No +116 $50 37¢ $43 -$8 11-01 08:18
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting? No +106 $45 40¢ $42 -$3 10-31 17:53
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -30 -$46 91¢ $-28 +$18 11-03 18:40
US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026? Yes +289 $71 10¢ $27 -$44 11-03 12:38
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes -718 -$177 3¢ $-20 +$157 07-30 16:25
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +100 $13 15¢ $15 +$2 07-24 10:49
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +111 $43 13¢ $14 -$29 10-31 13:15
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? Yes +133 $73 11¢ $14 -$59 11-05 13:54
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? Yes +106 $45 12¢ $13 -$31 10-10 12:17
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes -628 -$208 2¢ $-13 +$195 11-09 08:22
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? Yes +299 $29 4¢ $12 -$17 07-25 03:35
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? Yes -890 -$38 1¢ $-12 +$26 11-04 09:26
Tusk out by December 31? Yes +300 $27 4¢ $10 -$17 11-02 06:46
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +80 $11 12¢ $10 -$1 08-28 23:52
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? No -10 -$8 95¢ $-10 -$2 09-03 15:36
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +120 $1 6¢ $8 +$7 10-31 08:36
X banned in any European country by December 31? Yes -70 -$19 11¢ $-8 +$11 08-04 00:10
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +178 $2 2¢ $3 +$1 07-19 00:09
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +48 -$54 6¢ $3 +$57 06-18 01:31
Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? Yes +57 $11 4¢ $3 -$9 10-03 02:15
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 09-29 14:36
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $1 14¢ $2 +$0 10-29 08:56