Realized P&L (7d)
-$700
Unrealized P&L
-$461
Hit rate
45.8%
Resolved (7d)
115
Trades (7d)
2,096
127,519 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$44.1K
$3.04M lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$2.76K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 01:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 297 days
Categories
Other
65% 40% +$7,857
Politics
15% 51% +$6,588
Sports
15% 45% +$5,035
Tech
2% 42% +$1,145
Crypto
2% 34% -$191
Pop-Culture
0% 62% +$940
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 521 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -554 -$281 90¢ $-495 -$215 05-12 11:31
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -467 -$267 72¢ $-334 -$67 10-30 18:36
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -394 -$236 72¢ $-282 -$46 10-30 12:52
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +891 $226 29¢ $254 +$28 10-30 14:01
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +308 $246 80¢ $248 +$2 10-31 20:18
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +203 $161 90¢ $183 +$22 10-31 21:04
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +1,091 $147 16¢ $169 +$22 10-31 01:32
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +201 $166 83¢ $167 +$1 10-31 21:04
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes -628 -$242 20¢ $-122 +$120 10-31 14:41
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +151 $77 68¢ $103 +$25 11-01 09:58
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +124 $98 68¢ $85 -$13 11-01 22:09
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +299 $82 24¢ $70 -$12 10-30 15:30
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +300 $63 16¢ $50 -$14 10-03 06:39
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +39 $106 100¢ $39 -$67 11-01 10:12
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +41 $26 80¢ $33 +$6 11-02 00:33
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes -718 -$177 4¢ $-29 +$148 07-30 16:25
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +120 $1 17¢ $20 +$19 10-31 08:36
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? Yes +299 $29 5¢ $14 -$15 07-25 03:35
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? Yes +219 $16 6¢ $14 -$2 11-01 20:54
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +100 $13 14¢ $14 +$0 07-24 10:49
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +80 $11 12¢ $10 -$1 08-28 23:52
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? No -10 -$8 90¢ $-9 -$1 09-03 15:36
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes -288 -$21 2¢ $-6 +$15 07-26 14:53
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +178 $2 2¢ $4 +$2 07-19 00:09
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +48 -$54 6¢ $3 +$57 06-18 01:31
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +1,071 $328 0¢ $3 -$325 11-01 12:41
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 09-29 14:36
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1 -$6 94¢ $1 +$7 06-09 02:46
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +1 $48 100¢ $1 -$47 10-31 20:23
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +299 $110 0¢ $1 -$109 11-01 17:20