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whale cold
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$2.64K
Unrealized P&L
-$437
Hit rate
41.5%
Resolved (30d)
451
Trades (30d)
5,006
127,848 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$100.1K
$3.05M lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$2.44K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 09:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 299 days
Categories
Other
65% 40% +$7,692
Politics
15% 51% +$6,141
Sports
15% 45% +$5,102
Tech
2% 42% +$1,145
Crypto
2% 34% -$191
Pop-Culture
0% 60% +$739
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 521 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -554 -$281 90¢ $-495 -$215 05-12 11:31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -394 -$236 76¢ $-301 -$66 10-30 12:52
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +237 $198 91¢ $215 +$17 11-02 18:32
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +297 $175 70¢ $209 +$34 11-02 19:16
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +735 $187 24¢ $173 -$14 11-03 06:39
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +201 $166 84¢ $168 +$2 10-31 21:04
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +1,091 $147 14¢ $147 $0 10-31 01:32
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -154 -$29 76¢ $-118 -$89 11-03 04:58
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +124 $98 78¢ $97 -$1 11-01 22:09
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? Yes +299 $114 28¢ $84 -$30 10-29 21:21
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes -341 -$175 23¢ $-78 +$96 11-03 03:57
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +299 $82 22¢ $67 -$15 10-30 15:30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? No +128 $49 44¢ $57 +$8 11-02 12:53
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +300 $63 16¢ $50 -$14 10-03 06:39
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +39 $106 100¢ $39 -$67 11-01 10:12
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +41 $26 76¢ $31 +$5 11-02 00:33
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes -718 -$177 4¢ $-26 +$151 07-30 16:25
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +120 $1 16¢ $20 +$19 10-31 08:36
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? Yes +299 $29 5¢ $16 -$13 07-25 03:35
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +100 $13 14¢ $14 +$0 07-24 10:49
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +80 $11 12¢ $10 -$1 08-28 23:52
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? No -10 -$8 94¢ $-9 -$2 09-03 15:36
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes -288 -$21 2¢ $-5 +$16 07-26 14:53
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +178 $2 3¢ $5 +$2 07-19 00:09
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +48 -$54 7¢ $3 +$58 06-18 01:31
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 09-29 14:36
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +984 $328 0¢ $1 -$327 11-02 13:48
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1 -$6 93¢ $1 +$7 06-09 02:46
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-27 09:55
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +0 $1 92¢ $0 -$1 09-22 01:16