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whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$6.20K
Unrealized P&L
+$272
Hit rate
53.4%
Resolved (90d)
1,554
Trades (90d)
18,228
127,898 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$305.1K
$3.05M lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.79K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 00:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 301 days
Categories
Other
65% 40% +$7,632
Politics
15% 50% +$5,248
Sports
15% 45% +$5,102
Tech
2% 42% +$1,145
Crypto
2% 34% -$191
Pop-Culture
0% 60% +$739
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 521 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -554 -$281 92¢ $-507 -$226 05-12 11:31
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? No +493 -$19 99¢ $490 +$509 11-04 03:25
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +201 $166 84¢ $168 +$2 10-31 21:04
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +124 $97 83¢ $103 +$5 11-03 12:52
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +1,091 $147 8¢ $87 -$60 10-31 01:32
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? Yes +299 $114 29¢ $85 -$29 10-29 21:21
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +299 $82 20¢ $61 -$21 10-30 15:30
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +300 $63 16¢ $50 -$14 10-03 06:39
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? Yes — +299 $88 12¢ $34 -$53 10-29 02:28
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -30 -$46 92¢ $-28 +$18 11-03 18:40
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? Yes -890 -$38 3¢ $-27 +$11 11-04 09:26
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes -587 -$207 4¢ $-26 +$180 11-04 04:34
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +120 $1 16¢ $20 +$19 10-31 08:36
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes -718 -$177 3¢ $-19 +$157 07-30 16:25
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? Yes +299 $29 5¢ $16 -$13 07-25 03:35
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +100 $13 15¢ $15 +$2 07-24 10:49
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? Yes +106 $45 14¢ $14 -$30 10-10 12:17
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +80 $11 12¢ $10 -$1 08-28 23:52
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? No -10 -$8 88¢ $-9 -$1 09-03 15:36
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? No +276 $248 2¢ $6 -$243 11-04 15:37
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes -288 -$21 1¢ $-4 +$17 07-26 14:53
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +48 -$54 7¢ $4 +$58 06-18 01:31
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +178 $2 2¢ $3 +$1 07-19 00:09
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 09-29 14:36
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1 -$6 93¢ $1 +$7 06-09 02:46
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-27 09:55
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +1 $5 62¢ $1 -$5 11-03 00:39
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +1 -$5 62¢ $1 +$5 11-03 13:07
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +1 $24 96¢ $1 -$24 11-02 23:41
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +0 $1 94¢ $0 -$1 09-22 01:16