Advanced-Petitioner 0x2e62ed…00b22e Create alert
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$6.31K
Unrealized P&L
-$54
Hit rate
53.2%
Resolved (90d)
1,529
Trades (90d)
18,057
127,916 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$302.4K
$3.05M lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.69K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 20:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 301 days
Categories
Other
65% 40% +$7,704
Politics
15% 49% +$5,130
Sports
15% 45% +$5,102
Tech
2% 42% +$1,145
Crypto
2% 34% -$191
Pop-Culture
0% 60% +$739
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 521 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -554 -$281 92¢ $-507 -$226 05-12 11:31
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +201 $166 84¢ $169 +$3 10-31 21:04
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +377 $179 44¢ $164 -$15 11-04 10:01
Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats? Yes +300 $123 48¢ $142 +$20 11-02 14:29
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? Yes +299 $114 29¢ $85 -$29 10-29 21:21
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +570 $108 13¢ $74 -$34 11-02 13:59
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +299 $82 20¢ $61 -$21 10-30 15:30
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +578 $86 10¢ $55 -$31 11-05 13:07
Will no Israeli government be formed after the 2026 Knesset election? Yes +164 $84 32¢ $52 -$32 11-05 20:41
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +300 $63 16¢ $50 -$14 10-03 06:39
US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026? Yes +289 $71 14¢ $40 -$31 11-03 12:38
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting? No +106 $45 35¢ $37 -$8 10-31 17:53
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -30 -$46 92¢ $-28 +$18 11-03 18:40
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes -587 -$207 4¢ $-26 +$180 11-04 04:34
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? Yes -890 -$38 2¢ $-20 +$18 11-04 09:26
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes -718 -$177 3¢ $-19 +$157 07-30 16:25
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +120 $1 16¢ $19 +$18 10-31 08:36
Tusk out by December 31? Yes +300 $27 6¢ $16 -$11 11-02 06:46
Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on November 6, 2026? No — +20 $11 79¢ $16 +$4 11-02 11:26
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? Yes +106 $45 14¢ $15 -$30 10-10 12:17
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +100 $13 15¢ $15 +$2 07-24 10:49
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? Yes +133 $73 11¢ $14 -$59 11-05 13:54
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? Yes +299 $29 4¢ $13 -$16 07-25 03:35
Cardinals vs. Seahawks Cardinals +59 $9 22¢ $13 +$3 11-03 03:32
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +80 $11 12¢ $10 -$1 08-28 23:52
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? No -10 -$8 94¢ $-9 -$2 09-03 15:36
X banned in any European country by December 31? Yes -70 -$19 11¢ $-8 +$11 08-04 00:10
Will "Expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14? Yes +196 $10 2¢ $4 -$6 11-03 11:25
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes -288 -$21 1¢ $-4 +$17 07-26 14:53
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +48 -$54 7¢ $3 +$58 06-18 01:31