Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

Trades

504

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$336

9 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-27 15:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

45% 83% -$27

Politics

27% 91% -$32

Crypto

12% 100% +$4

Sports

11% 100% +$7

Tech

5% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+56	$54	97¢	$55	+$1	10-08 09:16
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?	No	-53	-$51	99¢	$-52	-$1	07-21 07:19
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	+54	$52	97¢	$52	$0	10-17 17:08
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?	No	+54	$52	94¢	$51	$0	10-05 09:39
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+54	$51	92¢	$50	-$1	10-11 19:06
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	+52	$51	96¢	$50	-$1	10-25 20:44
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	+28	$27	95¢	$27	$0	10-12 06:16
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	08-28 19:48
Brex IPO before 2027?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	09-27 09:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	6	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	09-17 17:50
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	4	$205	104	104	+0	Yes	+$1	08-20 20:43
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	14	$205	104	104	+0	open	—	08-29 18:40
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?	7	$204	105	105	+0	No	+$0	06-18 21:10
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	10	$203	105	105	+0	open	—	07-10 11:07
Brex IPO before 2027?	10	$163	82	82	+0	open	—	09-27 09:11
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	3	$154	105	53	+52	open	—	10-25 20:44
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?	25	$154	53	106	-53	open	—	07-21 07:19
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	3	$152	105	51	+54	open	—	10-17 17:08
Iran leadership change by September 30?	8	$131	67	67	+0	No	+$1	09-10 16:04
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	2	$112	58	58	+0	open	—	10-12 09:47
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30?	4	$110	56	56	+0	No	+$0	09-28 08:34
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	2	$110	57	57	+0	open	—	09-23 07:37
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	3	$109	55	55	+0	No	+$1	05-28 05:23
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	4	$109	55	55	+0	open	—	05-15 17:44
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	3	$108	55	55	+0	Yes	+$2	05-25 06:32
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	3	$108	55	55	-0	open	—	10-13 14:50
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?	3	$107	55	55	+0	No	+$0	05-15 09:45
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$107	54	54	+0	open	—	05-25 09:04
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	4	$107	55	55	+0	No	+$0	06-29 10:18
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$107	54	54	-0	open	—	10-13 08:30
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$106	55	55	+0	No	+$1	05-14 06:13
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	4	$106	54	54	+0	No	+$0	05-29 07:05
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?	3	$106	54	54	+0	No	+$0	06-20 14:53
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	7	$106	55	55	+0	open	—	09-17 15:50
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	5	$106	54	54	+0	open	—	05-28 15:27
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	3	$105	57	57	+0	open	—	07-22 07:29
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	3	$105	54	54	+0	open	—	05-30 13:43
Will the Republican Party win the GA-05 House seat?	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	08-17 16:23
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?	2	$104	52	52	+0	No	+$1	09-23 20:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:50:42	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x9ef831…
10-25 20:44:20	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x6a85c8…
10-17 17:08:29	Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x984967…
10-15 09:49:37	Will the Republican Party win the IL-06 House seat?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x824299…
10-13 14:50:43	Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xc20ced…
10-13 08:30:26	StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xd19aca…
10-12 09:47:31	IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x71cea1…
10-12 06:16:06	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x6afbcc…
10-11 19:06:01	Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0xdb4dab…
10-11 15:10:48	Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x42ce8a…
10-11 13:46:28	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x5f27f9…
10-11 00:41:25	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6aebfb…
10-10 19:41:48	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa4c360…
10-08 17:04:36	Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x43ab8e…
10-08 09:16:44	Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x85ed4b…
10-05 09:39:46	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xe9354f…
10-04 17:15:13	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0xc613d8…
10-04 14:14:17	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$52	0x175884…
10-01 19:10:35	StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xecec4a…
09-30 09:17:26	Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x7d759c…
09-29 09:50:42	Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x8df749…
09-28 11:42:29	UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x68ebbd…
09-28 10:44:23	Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x1438c0…
09-28 08:34:27	U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x18071e…
09-28 07:54:08	UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0263ec…
09-28 07:53:18	U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd834b4…
09-27 20:10:30	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x4fa0b8…
09-27 09:11:39	Brex IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0bae34…
09-27 05:57:51	Brex IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xef4385…
09-27 05:45:06	Brex IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9f321a…
09-26 06:04:29	StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$24	0xdfd5a6…
09-25 19:50:39	StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x335a55…
09-24 19:44:08	Brex IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6f3b4f…
09-24 09:05:18	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x40a2b4…
09-23 23:09:05	IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$55	0x232585…
09-23 20:18:44	Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x0e4a46…
09-23 17:34:07	Brex IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa2eb20…
09-23 07:37:52	Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x8181d1…
09-23 06:46:20	U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x4644bc…
09-23 06:45:23	U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$35	0xdb66f4…
09-22 21:47:44	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8880b0…
09-21 01:35:50	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?	Yes	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x62b6b1…
09-20 18:52:02	Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x4774e7…
09-20 15:32:52	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xb5b60f…
09-19 10:23:31	Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	No	BUY	57	94¢	$53	0xa697f8…
09-18 18:12:24	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xf3f5d4…
09-18 13:33:42	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0xa0468f…
09-18 13:20:14	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x183447…
09-17 17:50:25	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x809394…
09-17 15:50:48	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xe2d483…
09-17 08:53:31	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x88bef3…
09-17 00:47:06	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x310bf1…
09-16 23:57:09	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x0bd406…
09-16 20:53:58	Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$52	0x18803c…
09-16 17:03:15	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd30023…
09-16 13:46:06	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x956ecf…
09-16 11:34:07	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd55100…
09-16 08:01:58	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x58ff4f…
09-16 00:34:25	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x83166f…
09-15 15:32:54	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0xb9685a…
09-15 02:48:04	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xe5040c…
09-14 06:02:31	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0x202df2…
09-12 20:47:43	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$51	0xdfd89c…
09-11 04:49:01	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb8b04c…
09-10 16:04:45	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x7e59dc…
09-10 16:02:42	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x2d8f41…
09-10 16:01:42	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7a19b3…
09-10 16:01:12	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x12ea18…
09-10 15:37:10	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xf9a706…
09-09 16:25:51	Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x74b89b…
09-09 11:01:06	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0xe18359…
09-08 03:57:19	Tom Lee charged by December 31?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xbd42a2…
09-07 09:54:40	Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$51	0x74a223…
09-02 04:58:37	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x5d3e79…
09-01 09:20:45	Brex IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x33d9c4…
09-01 08:50:33	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x5759a1…
08-31 22:37:34	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x39e1c2…
08-30 16:05:40	Will the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xe4eb45…
08-30 09:35:51	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x5de04e…
08-29 18:40:16	Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5bd960…
08-29 18:32:03	Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x52abcd…
08-29 18:30:39	Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdb861b…
08-29 18:30:36	Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x2f566b…
08-29 18:30:34	Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xce033f…
08-29 18:30:27	Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4841fa…
08-28 21:31:40	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$21	0x172fb6…
08-28 20:02:42	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x722411…
08-28 19:48:34	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xfa14bc…
08-28 19:14:27	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1db570…
08-28 18:18:19	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa748de…
08-28 17:21:43	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x2fce45…
08-28 16:27:31	Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x79313e…
08-28 16:13:46	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x648dad…
08-28 14:41:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x3d0ed1…
08-28 14:30:52	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf36cc9…
08-28 14:12:22	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc53638…
08-28 13:20:45	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xb4dbad…
08-28 12:28:36	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7941e1…
08-28 11:09:39	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2a157d…
08-28 11:06:07	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x104ede…