Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,032
Trades
54
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$450
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-01-01
First seen
2026-05-31
last 08-21 19:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $12 | $206 | $194 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $12 | $616 | $605 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $4 | $192 | $188 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 2 | — | $53 | $53 |
| Below median | 5 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $15 | $1 | +$14 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| unranked | 16 | $3 | $564 | $562 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8d34…17e8 | Yes | +257 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-21 19:34 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +200 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-21 07:43 |
| Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | +200 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 07-21 03:15 |
| Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | +159 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 08-08 00:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x0238…208e | No | +71 | $69 | $69 | 2 | 08-06 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x19f0…3f53 | No | +59 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 08-15 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | +57 | $56 | $56 | 2 | 08-21 19:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x4408…c646 | No | +56 | $55 | $55 | 3 | 08-21 19:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b53…d53d | No | +54 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 08-21 19:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x9603…c2df | No | +54 | $53 | $53 | 2 | 08-17 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0887…fbfb | No | +54 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 08-21 19:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x05a5…f9e2 | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 08-15 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | +52 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-06 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x0bc1…10b7 | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 08-21 19:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x95c5…2a70 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 08-21 19:34 |
| Actual-Obsidian 0xfa4a…5a75 | Yes | +49 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-09 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x11c1…6db8 | No | +45 | $44 | $59 | 3 | 08-17 16:03 |
| Possible-Splendor 0xda39…fef1 | Yes | +34 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-17 16:03 |
| Shameful-Wholesale 0x95b3…9989 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-02 21:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd419…19c9 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 08-02 21:40 |
| Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-09 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xa24d…3481 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-08 08:02 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 03:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 19:34:18 | (anonymous) 0x8d34…17e8 | Yes | BUY | 257 | 3¢ | $7 | 0xaa31dc… |
| 08-21 19:34:18 | (anonymous) 0x0887…fbfb | No | BUY | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0xaa31dc… |
| 08-21 19:34:18 | (anonymous) 0x4408…c646 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xaa31dc… |
| 08-21 19:34:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b53…d53d | No | BUY | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0xaa31dc… |
| 08-21 19:34:18 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | BUY | 36 | 98¢ | $35 | 0xaa31dc… |
| 08-21 19:34:18 | (anonymous) 0x95c5…2a70 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0xaa31dc… |
| 08-21 19:34:18 | (anonymous) 0x0bc1…10b7 | No | BUY | 51 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xaa31dc… |
| 08-17 16:03:55 | (anonymous) 0x11c1…6db8 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xe71d85… |
| 08-17 16:03:55 | Possible-Splendor 0xda39…fef1 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe71d85… |
| 08-17 16:02:48 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | BUY | 21 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x9582ce… |
| 08-17 16:02:48 | (anonymous) 0x9603…c2df | No | BUY | 21 | 98¢ | $21 | 0x9582ce… |
| 08-17 16:02:48 | Possible-Splendor 0xda39…fef1 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9582ce… |
| 08-15 01:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x9603…c2df | No | BUY | 33 | 98¢ | $32 | 0x11a541… |
| 08-15 01:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x05a5…f9e2 | No | BUY | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0x11a541… |
| 08-15 01:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | SELL | 145 | 98¢ | $141 | 0x11a541… |
| 08-15 01:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x19f0…3f53 | No | BUY | 59 | 98¢ | $58 | 0x11a541… |
| 08-09 10:35:45 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x034310… |
| 08-09 10:35:45 | (anonymous) 0x11c1…6db8 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x034310… |
| 08-09 10:35:45 | (anonymous) 0x4408…c646 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x034310… |
| 08-09 09:50:18 | Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3a8baa… |
| 08-09 09:50:18 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x3a8baa… |
| 08-08 00:38:42 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xdd2cee… |
| 08-08 00:38:42 | (anonymous) 0x11c1…6db8 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xdd2cee… |
| 08-06 06:26:33 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5a46a9… |
| 08-06 06:26:33 | (anonymous) 0x4408…c646 | No | BUY | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0x5a46a9… |
| 08-06 06:26:33 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x5a46a9… |
| 08-06 05:59:17 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x87d6bb… |
| 08-06 05:59:17 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x87d6bb… |
| 08-06 05:59:17 | (anonymous) 0x0238…208e | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x87d6bb… |
| 08-06 01:44:51 | (anonymous) 0x0238…208e | No | BUY | 58 | 98¢ | $57 | 0xe7ff0f… |
| 08-06 01:44:51 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe7ff0f… |
| 08-02 21:40:59 | Shameful-Wholesale 0x95b3…9989 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4d7cca… |
| 08-02 21:40:59 | (anonymous) 0xd419…19c9 | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x4d7cca… |
| 07-28 06:20:28 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x1f2e86… |
| 07-28 06:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 54 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x1f2e86… |
| 07-21 07:43:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x1c68e9… |
| 07-21 07:43:28 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x1c68e9… |
| 07-21 03:15:42 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 4¢ | $8 | 0xbdf8c5… |
| 07-21 03:15:42 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 200 | 96¢ | $192 | 0xbdf8c5… |
| 07-09 14:47:20 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x474124… |
| 07-09 14:47:20 | Actual-Obsidian 0xfa4a…5a75 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x474124… |
| 07-09 14:47:20 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x474124… |
| 06-19 03:16:50 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xf8a70e… |
| 06-19 03:16:50 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xf8a70e… |
| 06-19 03:16:01 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x5062ec… |
| 06-19 03:16:01 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5062ec… |
| 06-14 05:01:18 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xcdf45b… |
| 06-14 05:01:18 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xcdf45b… |
| 06-14 00:21:24 | (anonymous) 0x4c44…3b03 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x80749a… |
| 06-14 00:21:24 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x80749a… |
| 06-08 08:02:12 | (anonymous) 0xa24d…3481 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x3dacab… |
| 06-08 08:02:12 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3dacab… |
| 05-31 12:03:25 | Quiet-Prostacyclin 0x7334…8be8 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x514dfd… |
| 05-31 12:03:25 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x514dfd… |