Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$235
Trades
21
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$450
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-01-01
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-28 06:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $8 | $194 | $186 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $4 | $7 | $3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | $192 | $192 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $14 | $1 | +$13 |
| unranked | 4 | $1 | $7 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +200 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-21 07:43 |
| Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | +200 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 07-21 03:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | +54 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-28 06:20 |
| Actual-Obsidian 0xfa4a…5a75 | Yes | +49 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-09 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xa24d…3481 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-08 08:02 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 03:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 06:20:28 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x1f2e86… |
| 07-28 06:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 54 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x1f2e86… |
| 07-21 07:43:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x1c68e9… |
| 07-21 07:43:28 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x1c68e9… |
| 07-21 03:15:42 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 4¢ | $8 | 0xbdf8c5… |
| 07-21 03:15:42 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 200 | 96¢ | $192 | 0xbdf8c5… |
| 07-09 14:47:20 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x474124… |
| 07-09 14:47:20 | Actual-Obsidian 0xfa4a…5a75 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x474124… |
| 07-09 14:47:20 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x474124… |
| 06-19 03:16:50 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xf8a70e… |
| 06-19 03:16:50 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xf8a70e… |
| 06-19 03:16:01 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x5062ec… |
| 06-19 03:16:01 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5062ec… |
| 06-14 05:01:18 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xcdf45b… |
| 06-14 05:01:18 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xcdf45b… |
| 06-14 00:21:24 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x80749a… |
| 06-14 00:21:24 | (anonymous) 0x4c44…3b03 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x80749a… |
| 06-08 08:02:12 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3dacab… |
| 06-08 08:02:12 | (anonymous) 0xa24d…3481 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x3dacab… |
| 05-31 12:03:25 | Quiet-Prostacyclin 0x7334…8be8 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x514dfd… |
| 05-31 12:03:25 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x514dfd… |