Possible-Splendor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

509

lifetime

Volume

$6.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$167

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 10:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% 75% $-9

Sports

8% — —

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$97	100¢	$100	+$3	05-29 16:25
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	-67	$-66	100¢	$-67	$-1	05-29 16:37
Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	92¢	$0	+$0	06-10 10:51
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	+33	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	05-29 16:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?	38	$343	531	1	+530	open	—	01-23 15:38
dow hits 50k by january 23 2026	10	$318	440	0	+440	open	—	01-23 23:33
will there be less than 200k initial jobless claims during the week ending february 7 2026	2	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	02-12 13:49
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	3	$297	305	0	+305	open	—	02-26 18:32
dow hits 50k by january 30 2026	3	$250	253	3	+250	open	—	01-30 23:44
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	5	$249	450	0	+450	open	—	05-14 16:05
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	3	$248	135	115	+20	open	—	05-28 07:28
dow hits 50k by january 16 2026	1	$218	230	0	+230	open	—	01-16 22:50
will epstein data set 12 be released by february 15 2026	2	$211	215	0	+215	open	—	01-31 12:46
will inga ibsdotter lilleaas win best supporting actress at the 2026 bafta awards 849	3	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	02-22 18:09
will rank one computing corp not ipo before april 2026	3	$185	186	0	+186	open	—	02-20 18:26
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	6	$166	53	120	-67	open	—	05-29 16:37
honus wagner card sale 2 million	8	$160	272	0	+272	open	—	02-22 18:11
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	12	$159	326	0	+326	open	—	02-01 18:51
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	6	$153	197	0	+197	open	—	05-14 16:31
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 xc mens 10km interval start free johannes klaebo nor	2	$152	152	0	+152	open	—	02-13 12:06
will there be 4 6 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	5	$138	282	0	+282	open	—	01-25 21:56
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	2	$125	101	25	+75	open	—	05-26 11:06
will denmark record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 524	3	$119	119	0	+119	open	—	02-21 23:11
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 20	4	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	02-20 16:37
will sofr hit 3pt63 low between february 13 and february 28	2	$108	117	0	+117	open	—	03-02 13:01
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?	3	$103	120	20	+100	open	—	05-14 17:00
honus wagner card sale 5 million	4	$101	208	0	+208	open	—	02-22 14:07
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 10 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-11 04:43
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	2	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	05-14 14:23
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	3	$99	153	20	+133	open	—	05-29 16:36
will the bad bunny apple music super bowl halftime show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1	9	$88	190	10	+180	open	—	02-09 23:06
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	5	$87	200	0	+200	open	—	05-21 16:27
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $84 in May?	6	$87	421	139	+282	open	—	05-28 07:27
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 xc mens 10km interval start free hugo lapalus fra	1	$80	80	0	+80	open	—	02-13 12:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 16:10:33	will lambdas valuation hit high 9b by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x669f4e…
06-10 10:51:16	Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xc03d6c…
06-02 22:34:32	Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by December 31?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x59e058…
05-29 18:51:04	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xabbb63…
05-29 16:37:10	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xd831e8…
05-29 16:36:44	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xb21669…
05-29 16:34:33	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	97¢	$87	0xe3225f…
05-29 16:25:07	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x614028…
05-28 09:13:00	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x868ea7…
05-28 09:11:01	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xc839c7…
05-28 08:15:10	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe421e1…
05-28 07:54:13	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x527236…
05-28 07:51:15	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x50aba0…
05-28 07:28:32	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x70c5b7…
05-28 07:27:06	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $84 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x99bd58…
05-27 23:40:10	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $84 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x71805c…
05-27 14:22:21	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $84 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x35c675…
05-27 07:59:57	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x58095c…
05-26 11:06:55	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x2c3285…
05-26 11:05:18	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $84 in May?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x181adf…
05-24 20:31:34	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $84 in May?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xe3bc51…
05-23 22:00:54	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x2c3fcf…
05-23 21:38:19	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xfc1505…
05-23 21:37:55	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $84 in May?	Yes	BUY	320	0¢	$1	0xf128fa…
05-21 16:32:16	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x8ece9e…
05-21 16:27:26	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x594cb2…
05-21 16:01:12	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x04714d…
05-21 15:59:12	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x9241a4…
05-21 11:11:30	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x843d7f…
05-21 11:11:07	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x535ecc…
05-21 10:27:13	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0xbe119d…
05-21 10:26:29	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x9c957d…
05-21 09:19:16	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	69	41¢	$28	0x12be17…
05-21 09:18:56	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	69	55¢	$38	0x81e278…
05-20 08:17:49	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	67	41¢	$27	0x2d1a31…
05-20 08:17:32	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by June 30?	No	SELL	67	61¢	$41	0x169f8e…
05-19 19:36:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	SELL	25	63¢	$16	0xae680a…
05-19 19:36:34	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0xe6b2e5…
05-19 17:09:50	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by December 31?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xf5137b…
05-19 16:53:49	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	53	44¢	$23	0x3dd6d9…
05-19 16:53:35	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by June 30?	No	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x0b572c…
05-19 16:09:17	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x169018…
05-19 16:08:03	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by June 30?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x37626b…
05-19 14:25:41	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xf0134c…
05-19 14:25:29	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xf3b757…
05-19 14:17:20	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xfc1404…
05-19 14:17:12	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xfb8f46…
05-19 14:09:37	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe0e2ba…
05-19 14:09:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xc77547…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xfc4db8…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfa1ed7…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf1aeb3…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe5fc15…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdb5d18…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xda0a7d…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd6248a…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc4e37b…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc2ccd4…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb9bd8a…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb38825…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x91639b…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8baf36…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x82e529…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7ebaee…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x797363…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x69b5d3…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5bfc00…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5a39ac…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x53c747…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x512d2a…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2f51f2…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2b7622…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x12874e…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0e94ef…
05-16 08:55:05	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0d37cd…
05-14 17:00:48	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3d14f7…
05-14 16:31:48	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7ba9a5…
05-14 16:06:43	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x93385b…
05-14 16:05:54	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xee16c3…
05-14 15:31:10	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x31892c…
05-14 15:25:48	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeacf0b…
05-14 15:09:14	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x55e991…
05-14 14:23:12	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xccd428…
05-14 14:23:07	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x78b178…
05-14 13:28:36	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x7d46f0…
05-14 12:56:02	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xee4857…
05-14 12:55:41	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2d6668…
05-14 12:30:51	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7ea7dd…
05-14 12:18:17	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xb8aec0…
05-13 23:09:18	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x6465ed…
05-13 23:04:41	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 11000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0xfe57f8…
05-13 22:19:55	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6447b2…
05-13 22:09:41	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5701ac…
05-13 21:43:45	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 11000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x52623e…
05-13 21:28:04	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 11000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xcc08b0…
05-13 21:25:59	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x591473…
05-13 21:19:15	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x985794…
05-13 21:15:14	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xcf66cd…
05-13 21:09:50	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x56f117…
05-09 17:05:30	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfb9651…