Possible-Splendor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$399

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.5%

Resolved

151

Trades

736

lifetime

Volume

$9.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-18 07:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

69% 83% +$282

Tech

13% 83% +$20

Crypto

11% 55% +$27

Sports

5% 100% +$9

Politics

2% 88% +$40

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	11	$538	278	278	+0	open	—	08-30 20:39
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	17	$417	383	120	+263	Yes	+$8	05-29 16:37
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?	38	$343	531	1	+530	Yes	-$1	01-23 15:38
dow hits 50k by january 23 2026	10	$318	440	0	+440	No	+$12	01-23 23:33
will there be less than 200k initial jobless claims during the week ending february 7 2026	2	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	02-12 13:49
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	3	$297	305	0	+305	Yes	+$3	02-26 18:32
dow hits 50k by january 30 2026	3	$250	253	3	+250	No	+$1	01-30 23:44
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	5	$249	450	0	+450	Yes	+$1	05-14 16:05
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	3	$248	135	115	+20	No	+$1	05-28 07:28
dow hits 50k by january 16 2026	1	$218	230	0	+230	No	+$12	01-16 22:50
will epstein data set 12 be released by february 15 2026	2	$211	215	0	+215	Yes	+$4	01-31 12:46
will inga ibsdotter lilleaas win best supporting actress at the 2026 bafta awards 849	3	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	02-22 18:09
will rank one computing corp not ipo before april 2026	3	$185	186	0	+186	No	+$1	02-20 18:26
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	8	$182	100	100	+0	open	—	09-11 14:30
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	4	$181	100	100	+0	open	—	08-31 11:31
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	9	$174	483	20	+463	Yes	-$1	05-29 16:36
honus wagner card sale 2 million	8	$160	272	0	+272	Yes	+$1	02-22 18:11
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	12	$159	326	0	+326	Yes	+$4	02-01 18:51
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	6	$153	197	0	+197	Yes	+$1	05-14 16:31
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 xc mens 10km interval start free johannes klaebo nor	2	$152	152	0	+152	Yes	+$0	02-13 12:06
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$150	77	77	+0	open	—	08-21 09:36
will there be 4 6 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	5	$138	282	0	+282	No	+$3	01-25 21:56
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	2	$125	101	25	+75	No	+$2	05-26 11:06
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $10B by June 30?	5	$124	140	140	+0	No	+$33	06-15 07:10
will denmark record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 524	3	$119	119	0	+119	Yes	+$0	02-21 23:11
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $10B by December 31?	6	$116	249	31	+218	Yes	+$48	06-15 07:11
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 20	4	$110	110	0	+110	Yes	+$0	02-20 16:37
will sofr hit 3pt63 low between february 13 and february 28	2	$108	117	0	+117	No	-$1	03-02 13:01
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?	4	$104	53	53	+0	open	—	08-16 08:35
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?	3	$103	120	20	+100	Yes	+$0	05-14 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 07:38:25	Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xee5b65…
09-18 03:03:36	Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0x524ffa…
09-14 07:44:43	Will edgeX reach $3.00 before 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8ea7f9…
09-14 07:34:13	Will edgeX reach $3.00 before 2027?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x16229b…
09-14 05:27:03	Will edgeX reach $1.60 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x57c130…
09-14 00:36:42	Will edgeX reach $3.00 before 2027?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x4331f2…
09-13 20:23:52	Will edgeX reach $1.60 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x6a8380…
09-13 10:02:09	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x79daef…
09-13 10:01:54	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x8b8583…
09-13 10:00:58	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0xcd8fda…
09-13 09:51:12	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x9999c6…
09-13 09:51:06	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x3fd175…
09-13 09:50:57	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xecd823…
09-13 09:50:57	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x44aedb…
09-11 19:57:34	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0xeb9be1…
09-11 19:11:54	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0xe01a44…
09-11 15:24:46	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	41	89¢	$37	0xf7f212…
09-11 15:24:43	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0x386818…
09-11 14:30:07	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	65	5¢	$3	0xc93ce1…
09-11 14:30:01	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	65	93¢	$61	0x0ad92d…
09-11 14:29:31	Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x57f9bd…
09-11 14:29:24	Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x20a78e…
09-08 07:50:51	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x9a4dfc…
09-08 07:50:34	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xe99607…
09-07 14:40:16	Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xc5e432…
09-07 14:40:00	Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x33d972…
09-07 08:15:27	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x0b24c1…
09-07 08:15:19	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xb99354…
08-31 11:31:17	Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	69	93¢	$64	0x2d4a5e…
08-31 11:31:06	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	69	8¢	$6	0xf48c89…
08-30 20:39:12	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x2578e6…
08-30 20:38:58	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x32c6d7…
08-30 20:38:52	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x1a6bb0…
08-30 20:35:51	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xb6c311…
08-30 20:35:31	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x62e9a3…
08-30 20:35:01	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x06d928…
08-30 20:34:42	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xd6bc48…
08-30 20:34:03	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x5071fb…
08-30 20:33:39	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x24338e…
08-30 19:28:25	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xe84a5c…
08-30 19:28:07	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x37b77f…
08-30 13:44:09	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x16c633…
08-30 13:43:42	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd99e21…
08-30 06:47:27	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x1df1af…
08-30 06:47:04	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x8b8e35…
08-27 19:47:57	Will edgeX reach $3.00 before 2027?	No	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0x8cfcda…
08-27 19:47:46	Will edgeX reach $1.60 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	6¢	$2	0xbc97a1…
08-26 21:05:07	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xb5e037…
08-26 20:42:33	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0xf0f625…
08-25 18:29:07	Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xdaf011…
08-25 18:28:46	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x19a063…
08-25 15:51:22	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x33e319…
08-25 15:51:10	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0x5ed1b6…
08-25 08:23:16	Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x6b8f5d…
08-25 08:22:52	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x2505b4…
08-24 19:53:19	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$99	0x78659c…
08-24 19:52:54	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0x62fd77…
08-22 22:55:03	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0x1ce1c8…
08-22 22:54:49	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	41	94¢	$38	0x8a71fd…
08-22 08:45:21	Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xa78805…
08-22 08:44:57	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x8c695f…
08-22 08:40:34	will gte launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xb46aa0…
08-22 08:40:27	will gte launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x87a9d9…
08-21 23:36:54	wnba por tor 2026 08 21 points brittney sykes 14pt5	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x79533a…
08-21 23:36:51	wnba por tor 2026 08 21 points brittney sykes 12pt5	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xafb855…
08-21 21:27:06	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x114992…
08-21 21:26:51	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0xe861bc…
08-21 13:11:21	Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x0404e7…
08-21 13:11:10	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xb1a2d6…
08-21 09:36:07	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0xb5a4a3…
08-21 09:36:03	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	3¢	$2	0xacaea5…
08-21 08:04:18	wnba por tor 2026 08 21 points brittney sykes 14pt5	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x00d0f3…
08-21 08:04:00	wnba por tor 2026 08 21 points brittney sykes 12pt5	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa1049d…
08-20 22:46:18	will ethereum hit 6k by december 31 2026	No	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0xfc010c…
08-20 21:22:45	will ethereum hit 6k by december 31 2026	No	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0x4ae03d…
08-20 21:22:21	Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xbb0c94…
08-20 21:16:00	will gte launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x93f7b8…
08-20 21:15:42	will gte launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0xd64c07…
08-20 21:13:34	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xa2cf9c…
08-20 21:13:18	Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xeaac73…
08-20 11:20:37	will gte launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x7083d4…
08-20 11:20:21	will gte launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0x91b483…
08-18 22:13:45	will gte launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0xf4c0f4…
08-18 22:13:36	will gte launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0xe0efb7…
08-18 22:13:01	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x3e548c…
08-18 22:12:45	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xd6977c…
08-18 22:08:01	will gte launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x471131…
08-18 22:07:51	will gte launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xa34bc4…
08-18 22:07:10	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x25509f…
08-18 22:06:54	Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x6366b5…
08-18 22:05:07	Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0xb19bd5…
08-18 22:05:01	Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x0866e8…
08-18 21:59:58	will gte launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xcf6e66…
08-18 21:59:46	will gte launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x8c5730…
08-18 21:58:57	will gte launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x970c78…
08-18 21:58:45	will gte launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x362ce8…
08-18 12:12:45	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x671ee1…
08-18 12:12:09	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x6d149b…
08-18 08:48:06	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0x344ab6…
08-18 08:47:51	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x31e7f6…