Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$82
Trades
20
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$346
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-01-01
First seen
2026-06-05
last 08-17 16:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $1 | $17 | $16 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $0 | $33 | $33 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $33 | $33 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| unranked | 2 | $0 | $10 | $9 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possible-Splendor 0xda39…fef1 | No | +34 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 08-17 16:03 |
| Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-17 16:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 08-05 09:33 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 07-21 22:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 16:03:04 | (anonymous) 0x2af1…d858 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x527652… |
| 08-17 16:03:04 | Possible-Splendor 0xda39…fef1 | No | BUY | 34 | 96¢ | $33 | 0x527652… |
| 08-17 16:03:04 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x527652… |
| 08-05 09:33:45 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xaeabe3… |
| 08-05 09:33:45 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xaeabe3… |
| 08-02 18:29:15 | (anonymous) 0x2af1…d858 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xdf6314… |
| 08-02 18:29:15 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdf6314… |
| 08-02 18:10:11 | (anonymous) 0x2af1…d858 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x6d8b3e… |
| 08-02 18:10:11 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6d8b3e… |
| 07-21 22:39:06 | Sweaty-Squash 0xf960…ba50 | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0xf2f7cb… |
| 07-21 22:39:06 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xf2f7cb… |
| 06-20 16:37:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf428b0… |
| 06-20 16:37:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf428b0… |
| 06-16 03:14:06 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xf7e0e2… |
| 06-16 03:14:06 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xf7e0e2… |
| 06-16 03:12:07 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x9c562c… |
| 06-16 03:12:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9c562c… |
| 06-05 15:31:34 | (anonymous) 0x16b4…168f | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x9da390… |
| 06-05 15:31:34 | Sweaty-Squash 0xf960…ba50 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x9da390… |
| 06-05 15:31:34 | (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x9da390… |