Realized P&L
+$105
Unrealized P&L
+$122
Hit rate
78.7%
Resolved
555
Trades
101,810
lifetime
Volume
$40.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$514
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 07-07 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Other
59% 48% +$75
Sports
13% 56% +$6
Crypto
12% 46% +$13
Politics
11% 57% +$13
Tech
3% 0% $-2
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1317 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +60 $15 44¢ $27 +$12 06-30 20:06
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -36 $-26 74¢ $-26 $-0 06-25 01:45
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +110 $19 23¢ $25 +$6 06-30 22:54
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -170 $-8 14¢ $-24 $-15 06-04 10:50
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +58 $25 38¢ $22 $-3 07-01 14:09
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027? Yes +80 $4 28¢ $22 +$18 07-03 15:12
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes +37 $1 52¢ $19 +$18 06-30 11:59
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? No +40 $10 46¢ $19 +$9 06-30 19:57
Will Plasma reach $0.50 by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $10 44¢ $18 +$8 07-06 12:00
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? Yes +520 $7 $17 +$11 07-02 00:37
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? No -20 $-13 86¢ $-17 $-4 06-01 09:58
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? Sinner +41 $4 42¢ $17 +$13 07-02 17:26
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +47 $9 36¢ $17 +$7 07-06 18:09
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No -38 $-5 43¢ $-16 $-11 06-17 21:51
Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027? No +56 $14 28¢ $16 +$2 07-05 09:53
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? No -38 $-13 42¢ $-16 $-2 06-05 22:45
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No -43 $-11 37¢ $-16 $-5 06-18 00:17
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -20 $-20 77¢ $-15 +$5 06-30 17:45
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2027? No +39 $9 38¢ $15 +$6 07-02 05:41
Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? No -16 $-16 93¢ $-15 +$1 06-28 07:15
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? Yes +40 $6 37¢ $15 +$9 07-02 17:11
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? Up -18 $-12 82¢ $-15 $-3 06-27 13:50
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +80 $13 18¢ $14 +$1 06-29 16:12
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Yes +39 $7 35¢ $14 +$7 07-07 13:17
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +17 $-1 78¢ $14 +$14 06-26 08:07
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $12 22¢ $14 +$2 07-04 04:36
Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? No +29 $13 45¢ $13 $-0 07-05 03:39
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? Alcaraz -22 $-12 58¢ $-13 $-1 05-28 18:37
Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +83 $0 16¢ $13 +$13 07-06 11:37
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -20 $-19 64¢ $-13 +$6 06-25 02:04