Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?
open
Total volume
$537
Trades
18
Unique wallets
8
Liquidity
$712
Latest YES mid
70¢
Latest NO mid
30¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-03
last 06-16 16:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $227 | $27 | +$200 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $4 | $239 | $235 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $27 | $27 |
| Median | 1 | — | $238 | $238 |
| Below median | 1 | $227 | — | +$227 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 3 | $4 | $1 | +$4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepid-Grey 0x4930…82ab | Yes | +474 | $227 | $227 | 5 | 06-06 10:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb57…1648 | No | +458 | $238 | $238 | 3 | 06-04 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 15:19 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 16:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 16:41:40 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x3f5fa6… |
| 06-16 16:41:40 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x3f5fa6… |
| 06-16 15:19:11 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | BUY | 3 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xf66b12… |
| 06-16 15:19:11 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 83¢ | $3 | 0xf66b12… |
| 06-06 10:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xa131…4e26 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x7ecfaa… |
| 06-06 10:03:01 | Tepid-Grey 0x4930…82ab | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x7ecfaa… |
| 06-04 07:17:40 | (anonymous) 0xbb57…1648 | No | BUY | 50 | 52¢ | $26 | 0x71987c… |
| 06-04 07:17:40 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | SELL | 50 | 52¢ | $26 | 0x71987c… |
| 06-04 02:34:36 | Tepid-Grey 0x4930…82ab | Yes | BUY | 208 | 48¢ | $100 | 0x1e0342… |
| 06-04 02:34:36 | (anonymous) 0xbb57…1648 | No | BUY | 208 | 52¢ | $108 | 0x1e0342… |
| 06-03 19:53:18 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x3e5261… |
| 06-03 19:53:18 | (anonymous) 0xa131…4e26 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x3e5261… |
| 06-03 19:50:52 | Tepid-Grey 0x4930…82ab | Yes | BUY | 200 | 48¢ | $96 | 0xdd7858… |
| 06-03 19:50:52 | (anonymous) 0xbb57…1648 | No | BUY | 200 | 52¢ | $104 | 0xdd7858… |
| 06-03 19:50:22 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | BUY | 45 | 53¢ | $24 | 0xcf8f1e… |
| 06-03 19:50:22 | Tepid-Grey 0x4930…82ab | Yes | BUY | 45 | 47¢ | $21 | 0xcf8f1e… |
| 06-03 19:50:07 | Tepid-Grey 0x4930…82ab | Yes | BUY | 16 | 46¢ | $7 | 0xe932db… |
| 06-03 19:50:07 | Playful-Circulation 0x92e5…efee | Yes | SELL | 16 | 46¢ | $7 | 0xe932db… |