Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?
open
Total volume
$913
Trades
37
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$712
Latest YES mid
37¢
Latest NO mid
63¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-03
last 07-08 17:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $39 | — | +$39 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $232 | $154 | +$77 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $15 | $282 | $267 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $39 | — | +$39 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $27 | $27 |
| Median | 1 | — | $275 | $275 |
| Below median | 1 | $232 | — | +$232 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 8 | $15 | $134 | $119 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xbb57…1648 | No | +573 | $275 | $275 | 4 | 07-02 13:24 |
| Tepid-Grey 0x4930…82ab | Yes | +485 | $232 | $232 | 7 | 07-08 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1db…d54f | No | +251 | $127 | $127 | 1 | 07-08 14:50 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +57 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 07-02 13:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +15 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-08 14:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xd788…5f8e | No | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-07 12:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x03a1…b818 | Yes | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-07 12:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 15:19 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 16:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb69…ec31 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 13:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +2 | $3 | $7 | 2 | 07-08 17:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 17:48:25 | Tepid-Grey 0x4930…82ab | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x76ba88… |
| 07-08 17:48:25 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x76ba88… |
| 07-08 17:48:10 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x4dba99… |
| 07-08 17:48:10 | Tepid-Grey 0x4930…82ab | Yes | BUY | 6 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x4dba99… |
| 07-08 14:50:44 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x832baa… |
| 07-08 14:50:44 | (anonymous) 0xd1db…d54f | No | BUY | 251 | 51¢ | $127 | 0x832baa… |
| 07-08 14:50:44 | (anonymous) 0x61f6…ed9e | No | SELL | 235 | 50¢ | $117 | 0x832baa… |
| 07-08 14:50:44 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x832baa… |
| 07-07 17:35:23 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x44ae05… |
| 07-07 17:35:23 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x44ae05… |
| 07-07 13:22:26 | (anonymous) 0xcb69…ec31 | No | BUY | 3 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x6b8d85… |
| 07-07 13:22:26 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x6b8d85… |
| 07-07 12:36:50 | (anonymous) 0x03a1…b818 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xeb1870… |
| 07-07 12:36:50 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xeb1870… |
| 07-07 12:36:50 | (anonymous) 0xd788…5f8e | No | BUY | 12 | 42¢ | $5 | 0xeb1870… |
| 07-02 13:24:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 68¢ | $39 | 0x37c457… |
| 07-02 13:24:31 | (anonymous) 0xbb57…1648 | No | BUY | 115 | 32¢ | $37 | 0x37c457… |
| 07-02 13:24:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 51 | 32¢ | $16 | 0x37c457… |
| 07-02 13:24:31 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x37c457… |
| 06-16 16:41:40 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x3f5fa6… |
| 06-16 16:41:40 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x3f5fa6… |
| 06-16 15:19:11 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | BUY | 3 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xf66b12… |
| 06-16 15:19:11 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 83¢ | $3 | 0xf66b12… |
| 06-06 10:03:01 | Tepid-Grey 0x4930…82ab | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x7ecfaa… |
| 06-06 10:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xa131…4e26 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x7ecfaa… |
| 06-04 07:17:40 | (anonymous) 0xbb57…1648 | No | BUY | 50 | 52¢ | $26 | 0x71987c… |
| 06-04 07:17:40 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | SELL | 50 | 52¢ | $26 | 0x71987c… |
| 06-04 02:34:36 | Tepid-Grey 0x4930…82ab | Yes | BUY | 208 | 48¢ | $100 | 0x1e0342… |
| 06-04 02:34:36 | (anonymous) 0xbb57…1648 | No | BUY | 208 | 52¢ | $108 | 0x1e0342… |
| 06-03 19:53:18 | (anonymous) 0xa131…4e26 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x3e5261… |
| 06-03 19:53:18 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x3e5261… |
| 06-03 19:50:52 | Tepid-Grey 0x4930…82ab | Yes | BUY | 200 | 48¢ | $96 | 0xdd7858… |
| 06-03 19:50:52 | (anonymous) 0xbb57…1648 | No | BUY | 200 | 52¢ | $104 | 0xdd7858… |
| 06-03 19:50:22 | Tepid-Grey 0x4930…82ab | Yes | BUY | 45 | 47¢ | $21 | 0xcf8f1e… |
| 06-03 19:50:22 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | BUY | 45 | 53¢ | $24 | 0xcf8f1e… |
| 06-03 19:50:07 | Playful-Circulation 0x92e5…efee | Yes | SELL | 16 | 46¢ | $7 | 0xe932db… |
| 06-03 19:50:07 | Tepid-Grey 0x4930…82ab | Yes | BUY | 16 | 46¢ | $7 | 0xe932db… |