Murky-Freak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$74

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,265

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 06:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

56% 75% +$20

Politics

21% 100% +$31

Crypto

9% 100% +$0

Sports

8% 67% +$8

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	20	$284	831	426	+405	open	—	05-18 08:31
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	22	$262	282	282	+0	open	—	05-17 12:09
zelenskyy meets with netanyahu by thursday 20260727212337638	13	$231	190	190	+0	open	—	07-28 17:54
will ja morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline	21	$229	310	310	+0	open	—	02-04 08:13
databricks vs salesforce higher valuation on june 30	10	$214	181	181	+0	open	—	06-30 19:56
chatgpt outage by march 15	12	$207	327	327	+0	open	—	03-13 06:04
will tiger woods play in the 2026 masters tournament	7	$168	150	150	+0	open	—	03-27 00:06
alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	10	$166	223	223	+0	open	—	08-07 09:23
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	12	$163	315	315	+0	open	—	06-07 22:19
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?	8	$158	193	193	+0	open	—	06-24 07:10
california immunology research bond proposition	6	$146	117	127	-11	open	—	07-31 06:42
will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	15	$145	330	330	+0	open	—	03-02 18:33
chatgpt outage by february 28	8	$144	128	128	+0	open	—	02-18 14:07
winter games 2026 athlete to be stripped of medal	6	$144	136	136	+0	open	—	02-13 12:19
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?	12	$140	94	154	-60	open	—	06-01 16:55
ncaa tournament double digit seed to make quarterfinals	9	$137	128	128	+0	open	—	03-21 23:46
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?	15	$128	133	133	+0	open	—	06-01 01:55
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?	12	$127	196	196	+0	open	—	04-08 10:02
will nik airball win at hustler casino on friday	7	$125	102	102	+0	open	—	03-14 05:43
will jeremiyah love go top 10 in the 2026 pro football draft	10	$125	108	73	+35	open	—	02-19 15:43
will trump pardon anyone by july 31 20260707005101355	9	$124	105	105	+0	open	—	08-01 10:13
will trump say iran 2 times during tele rally 20260728181046350	3	$123	85	85	+0	open	—	07-28 22:40
pro football championship first td scorer jersey number	20	$122	318	318	+0	open	—	02-09 03:40
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	16	$120	125	125	+0	open	—	05-22 07:24
deel ipo by march 31	7	$118	104	104	+0	open	—	01-12 23:17
will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	6	$116	112	112	+0	open	—	08-04 13:40
president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	12	$115	134	134	+0	open	—	06-10 20:03
will the salvator mundi be publicly exhibited by december 31	6	$113	105	105	+0	open	—	07-09 16:00
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?	3	$113	84	84	+0	open	—	07-02 04:51
will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260729175811872	7	$109	92	92	+0	open	—	08-05 16:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 06:09:24	will t1 make a roster change before september 20260629165928757	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xf31c8d…
08-10 00:51:06	will carlos alcaraz play in the uptspt open 20260805193315485	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2e6e1f…
08-09 21:24:33	chud the builder convicted	Yes	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0xbdec0a…
08-09 13:02:49	will the total solar eclipse be highly visible in reykjavik 20260723014439982	No	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x1b51a2…
08-09 11:25:04	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xae7f28…
08-09 06:07:34	will t1 make a roster change before september 20260629165928757	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x798be4…
08-09 03:42:48	will t1 make a roster change before september 20260629165928757	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf1d781…
08-08 20:28:28	will t1 make a roster change before september 20260629165928757	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa745d1…
08-08 18:57:15	washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access 20260729161600533	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x76d372…
08-08 17:44:39	will mrbeast say insane during his next youtube video 20260729175811868	Yes	SELL	74	0¢	$0	0xda65a4…
08-08 17:39:06	will t1 make a roster change before september 20260629165928757	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe00415…
08-08 16:51:13	washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access 20260729161600533	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xcb4998…
08-08 13:46:01	us recession by end of 2027 20260807185409760	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x026ac7…
08-08 11:10:12	will oregon reach d4 exceptional drought by august 31 2026 20260721193813646	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x92d3b5…
08-08 10:28:55	will oregon reach d4 exceptional drought by august 31 2026 20260721193813646	No	BUY	43	17¢	$7	0xcb71e4…
08-07 17:26:25	california clinic funding proposition	No	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xd1a2f7…
08-07 17:23:25	Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?	Yes	SELL	27	85¢	$23	0xa4c8a8…
08-07 13:36:33	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase august 4 10	Yes	SELL	86	14¢	$12	0x799a15…
08-07 13:13:00	Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	14¢	$4	0x2dfbb4…
08-07 13:12:30	will ronaldo play with ronaldo jr before the end of 2026	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0x693e22…
08-07 12:51:04	will the loser of the michigan democratic senate primary endorse the winner by august 31 20260803145642550	No	SELL	66	2¢	$1	0x2d02cc…
08-07 11:09:51	Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xf9bd3f…
08-07 10:18:24	will mrbeast say sponsor or sponsored or sponsoring during his next youtube video 20260729175711693	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x8764e0…
08-07 09:36:18	will mrbeast say prize during his next youtube video 20260729175811869	Yes	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x99bfe3…
08-07 09:24:55	will mrbeast say sponsor or sponsored or sponsoring during his next youtube video 20260729175711693	Yes	SELL	48	13¢	$6	0xa736a4…
08-07 09:24:51	will mrbeast say sponsor or sponsored or sponsoring during his next youtube video 20260729175711693	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x108c02…
08-07 09:24:46	will mrbeast say sponsor or sponsored or sponsoring during his next youtube video 20260729175711693	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x596459…
08-07 09:23:01	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x77da8d…
08-07 09:15:15	will mrbeast say sponsor or sponsored or sponsoring during his next youtube video 20260729175711693	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xabf7f9…
08-07 09:00:13	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xefef52…
08-07 09:00:00	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xfebeab…
08-07 08:50:28	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xe73b3f…
08-07 08:34:36	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	90	32¢	$29	0x45f251…
08-07 08:03:07	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 4 10	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x0ad209…
08-07 08:01:10	will afd win an absolute majority of seats in mecklenburg vorpommern 20260806103954025	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x0813aa…
08-07 07:18:01	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 4 10	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xeb94c2…
08-07 07:16:24	will afd win an absolute majority of seats in mecklenburg vorpommern 20260806103954025	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0xdcc5d4…
08-07 06:51:40	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	SELL	55	20¢	$11	0xd94d52…
08-07 06:38:37	will oregon reach d4 exceptional drought by august 31 2026 20260721193813646	No	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x9312ee…
08-06 23:33:02	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x75863a…
08-06 22:51:53	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0x2016c4…
08-06 22:31:35	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	SELL	65	61¢	$40	0x1019fc…
08-06 21:28:44	will the loser of the michigan democratic senate primary endorse the winner by august 31 20260803145642550	No	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xead61e…
08-06 20:08:50	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	65	11¢	$7	0x3fe61f…
08-06 18:45:45	trump approval up or down this week 20260730202018839	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xeeafb5…
08-06 15:44:57	will oregon reach d4 exceptional drought by august 31 2026 20260721193813646	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xe60bef…
08-06 15:08:38	will mrbeast say market or supermarket during his next youtube video 20260729175811865	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xbc810a…
08-06 14:23:48	will mrbeast say subscribe or subscribed during his next youtube video 20260729175811875	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0xbd1dfa…
08-06 14:18:51	will mrbeast say sponsor or sponsored or sponsoring during his next youtube video 20260729175711693	Yes	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x70e481…
08-06 13:36:35	will tenz be elected the new riot games ceo in 2026 20260715203936418	Yes	SELL	392	0¢	$1	0x23e1e9…
08-06 13:33:48	will an artwork sell for 150 million by december 31	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xaba0e2…
08-06 13:27:27	Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x76d5da…
08-06 13:26:39	will caedrel reach challenger before the end of the year 20260803221259035	No	BUY	22	75¢	$16	0x655961…
08-06 13:25:44	will caedrel reach challenger before the end of the year 20260803221259035	No	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0x5fa495…
08-06 10:34:38	will caedrel reach challenger before the end of the year 20260803221259035	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xa996e5…
08-06 10:18:09	will caedrel reach challenger before the end of the year 20260803221259035	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xfbd39d…
08-06 10:17:08	will caedrel reach challenger before the end of the year 20260803221259035	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x63b82c…
08-06 07:19:32	will a hurricane make landfall in hawaii before 2027 20260721182828397	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xf049d7…
08-06 07:14:12	Will TMZ be granted a White House Press Badge?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x14db81…
08-06 04:22:15	Will TMZ be granted a White House Press Badge?	No	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x81bc02…
08-06 03:13:06	Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x92d66c…
08-06 03:13:00	Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xa4b766…
08-06 03:12:51	Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xbdb1c0…
08-05 21:26:06	will the us house censure any member by october 31 20260804215940338	No	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x4340bd…
08-05 21:24:56	will the senate go into recess by august 8 20260728195131706	No	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x2de8e0…
08-05 16:42:51	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260729175811872	Yes	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0x54a355…
08-05 15:35:54	Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	22¢	$14	0xf8f9cd…
08-05 14:17:09	will the loser of the michigan democratic senate primary endorse the winner by august 31 20260803145642550	No	BUY	66	11¢	$7	0x8d975f…
08-05 14:08:06	will mrbeast say sponsor or sponsored or sponsoring during his next youtube video 20260729175711693	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x994275…
08-05 12:32:09	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 4 10	No	SELL	95	33¢	$31	0xabf242…
08-05 12:07:57	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260729175811872	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7e5de9…
08-05 12:07:54	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260729175811872	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4c0233…
08-05 12:04:00	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260729175811872	Yes	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0xbc2964…
08-05 11:31:51	will mrbeast say insane during his next youtube video 20260729175811868	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xa5820a…
08-05 11:27:41	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260729175811872	Yes	SELL	62	72¢	$45	0xa7f16c…
08-05 10:35:06	will mrbeast say insane during his next youtube video 20260729175811868	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x180d7b…
08-05 10:19:32	will mrbeast say contestant during his next youtube video 20260729175811876	Yes	SELL	55	72¢	$40	0x337d18…
08-05 06:53:15	will the us house censure any member by october 31 20260804215940338	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xbac141…
08-05 05:26:03	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 4 10	No	BUY	55	38¢	$21	0xf3755b…
08-05 00:11:11	will the loser of the michigan democratic senate primary endorse the winner by august 31 20260803145642550	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x462282…
08-04 23:20:02	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 4 10	No	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x83cfca…
08-04 21:20:14	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x436bd3…
08-04 21:11:30	Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?	No	SELL	66	12¢	$8	0xdb1e7f…
08-04 15:47:33	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	41	75¢	$30	0xa89e23…
08-04 13:40:15	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	SELL	61	55¢	$34	0xcfc2af…
08-04 09:47:27	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase august 4 10	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xcb41f3…
08-03 23:41:45	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x567b7f…
08-03 20:55:23	california expedited environmental review proposition	No	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0xd6f549…
08-03 20:46:21	will t1 make a roster change before september 20260629165928757	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0xb7472c…
08-03 20:32:42	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0x04c4c1…
08-03 19:43:50	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x303c97…
08-03 19:30:53	imran khan released from prison by december 31 2026 20260706202533140	No	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0x7da3e3…
08-03 18:39:18	Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6b48b2…
08-03 18:35:20	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 4 10	No	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0xea3a0e…
08-03 18:10:11	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 4 10	No	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xe9bbc2…
08-03 18:03:27	will trump say democrat during his executive order signing 20260803134026621	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x019f4c…
08-03 17:51:15	will mrbeast say sponsor or sponsored or sponsoring during his next youtube video 20260729175711693	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xb4e88e…
08-03 17:18:54	will trump say tariff during his executive order signing 20260803134026617	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x5d8b91…
08-03 17:10:56	will trump say democrat during his executive order signing 20260803134026621	Yes	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x59069f…
08-03 16:37:21	will mrbeast say sponsor or sponsored or sponsoring during his next youtube video 20260729175711693	Yes	SELL	111	14¢	$16	0xff3f14…