Murky-Freak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.16K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

798

Trades

3,678

lifetime

Volume

$30.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 11:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 242 days

Categories

Other

60% 62% +$1,523

Politics

23% 67% +$345

Crypto

6% 77% +$140

Sports

6% 66% +$80

Tech

3% 67% +$4

Pop-Culture

2% 71% +$64

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs	25	$392	376	376	+0	Nemiga	+$29	09-10 20:28
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	20	$284	831	426	+405	No	+$37	05-18 08:31
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	22	$262	282	282	+0	No	+$24	05-17 12:09
Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?	10	$231	253	253	+0	Over	-$6	08-23 10:32
zelenskyy meets with netanyahu by thursday 20260727212337638	13	$231	190	190	+0	Yes	+$4	07-28 17:54
will ja morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline	21	$229	310	310	+0	No	+$93	02-04 08:13
databricks vs salesforce higher valuation on june 30	10	$214	181	181	+0	Databricks	$0	06-30 19:56
cs2 pain shin 2026 09 11	13	$208	190	190	-0	ShindeN	+$11	09-11 19:11
chatgpt outage by march 15	12	$207	327	327	+0	No	-$10	03-13 06:04
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B	11	$205	180	180	+0	FURIA	+$11	09-08 14:05
will mrbeast say contestant during his next youtube video 20260818	6	$194	129	129	+0	Yes	+$56	08-22 16:00
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?	15	$185	180	180	+0	Yes	+$30	09-21 07:46
trump approval up or down this week123	14	$183	129	129	+0	Down	+$49	08-23 06:23
cs2 bb3 g2 2026 09 12	10	$180	175	175	+0	G2	+$15	09-12 12:56
will tiger woods play in the 2026 masters tournament	7	$168	150	150	+0	No	+$72	03-27 00:06
alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	10	$166	223	223	+0	open	—	08-07 09:23
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?	15	$164	154	154	+0	No	+$28	06-01 16:55
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	12	$163	315	315	+0	Yes	+$3	06-07 22:19
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?	8	$158	193	193	+0	open	—	06-24 07:10
California Immunology Research Bond Proposition	7	$150	127	127	-0	open	—	07-31 06:42
will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	15	$145	330	330	+0	Yes	+$7	03-02 18:33
chatgpt outage by february 28	8	$144	128	128	+0	Yes	+$37	02-18 14:07
winter games 2026 athlete to be stripped of medal	6	$144	136	136	+0	No	+$36	02-13 12:19
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A	8	$144	109	109	+0	BetBoom Team	+$9	09-10 13:01
Rockstar confirms GTA VI gameplay leaked?	18	$143	1,263	1,263	+0	Yes	+$17	08-26 13:03
Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall	16	$141	122	122	+0	Fury	+$14	06-13 20:27
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	11	$141	153	153	+0	open	—	09-06 22:02
Counter-Strike: DINERO vs BOJONG (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #9 Playoffs	7	$140	93	93	+0	BOJONG	+$6	09-08 21:31
will b8 make a roster change before september 20260623165506877	7	$138	107	107	+0	No	+$23	08-31 18:29
ncaa tournament double digit seed to make quarterfinals	9	$137	128	128	+0	No	+$24	03-21 23:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 11:09:54	Real American Freestyle: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Colby Covington	Covington	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x87957b…
11-04 11:07:55	Will Fernando Haddad be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xb5f7c8…
11-04 10:26:43	Will Democrats win the Iowa, South Carolina, and Alaska Senate seats?	No	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x51ebdd…
11-04 10:26:43	Will Democrats win the Iowa, South Carolina, and Alaska Senate seats?	No	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x255002…
11-04 10:25:06	Will Democrats win the Michigan, South Carolina, and Kansas Senate seats?	No	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0xdd6e9d…
11-04 08:45:57	Will Chuang Ching-cheng win Hsinchu City and Cheng Chao-fang win Hsinchu County?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xdfff16…
11-04 08:45:18	Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 40% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x529606…
11-04 08:44:40	Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit 20% by December 31?	No	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0xb2c656…
11-04 08:44:09	Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30?	No	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0x8c9934…
11-04 08:43:30	DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit 6% by December 31?	No	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x1e1e8c…
11-04 08:42:31	Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit 8% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xf647d3…
11-04 08:42:07	Buttigieg's Democratic nomination odds hit 8% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x4dcf67…
11-04 07:50:15	DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit 6% by December 31?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xa5505a…
11-04 06:40:13	Will Democrats win the Michigan, South Carolina, and Kansas Senate seats?	No	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x913836…
11-04 06:32:31	ossoffs democratic nomination odds hit 20 by december 31	No	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x4d9495…
11-04 05:25:00	Will Democrats win the Iowa, South Carolina, and Alaska Senate seats?	No	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xf4117e…
11-04 04:39:37	Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 40% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x30b277…
11-04 04:12:43	Buttigieg's Democratic nomination odds hit 8% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x58dd82…
11-04 03:59:31	DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit 6% by December 31?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x940816…
11-04 02:09:01	ossoff ahead of newsom on november 30	No	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x3ac371…
11-04 02:09:00	ossoff ahead of newsom on november 30	No	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xa0ccb6…
11-04 02:05:36	shapiros democratic nomination odds hit 8 by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x7eecac…
11-04 01:51:49	Will Democrats win the Michigan, South Carolina, and Kansas Senate seats?	No	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x29aace…
11-03 19:23:52	will chuang ching cheng win hsinchu city and cheng chao fang win hsinchu county	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x28d567…
11-03 17:34:13	Will B8 Win the IEM Beijing 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	2¢	$2	0xf0c0b6…
11-03 17:26:37	Will B8 Win the IEM Beijing 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x55c8bd…
11-03 12:31:52	Will Steve Scalise be the next House Majority Leader?	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0x3668bb…
11-03 12:31:27	Will Katherine Clark be the next House Majority Leader?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xc8af2c…
11-03 12:31:09	Will Pete Aguilar be the next House Majority Leader?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xc92ca5…
11-03 12:30:52	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the next House Majority Leader?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x76a169…
11-02 23:53:57	Will Ted Lieu be the next House Majority Leader?	Yes	SELL	55	7¢	$4	0xf469c6…
11-02 23:53:57	Will Jim Jordan be the next House Majority Leader?	Yes	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0x6c5eb1…
11-02 23:07:22	Will Steve Scalise be the next House Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xfe45a0…
11-02 23:07:22	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the next House Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xa4ab15…
11-02 23:07:22	Will Steve Scalise be the next House Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x8f68dd…
11-02 23:07:22	Will Jim Jordan be the next House Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x5df6f0…
11-02 23:07:22	Will Ted Lieu be the next House Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x171e51…
11-02 22:23:27	will katherine clark be the first house majority leader after the 2026 midterms	No	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x6f590d…
11-02 22:20:27	will pete aguilar be the first house majority leader after the 2026 midterms	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xe73058…
11-02 22:20:27	will pete aguilar be the first house majority leader after the 2026 midterms	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcfb110…
11-02 22:20:27	will katherine clark be the first house majority leader after the 2026 midterms	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x208348…
11-02 21:54:28	Will Jon Ossoff announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xdb4214…
11-02 21:53:16	Will Jon Ossoff announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xae5a91…
11-02 21:19:58	will jon ossoff announce a presidential run by march 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x3388a3…
11-02 16:41:22	will g2 win the iem beijing 2026 1793635200000	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc0d93e…
11-02 16:40:28	will 9z win the iem beijing 2026 1793635200000	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdeb03e…
11-02 16:39:57	will tyloo win the iem beijing 2026 1793635200000	Yes	BUY	155	1¢	$2	0x09cbbe…
11-02 16:39:30	will b8 win the iem beijing 2026 1793635200000	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb8ef72…
11-02 16:39:10	will faze win the iem beijing 2026 1793635200000	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x17e6ee…
11-02 15:54:07	will the danube river return to normal levels between december 1 and december 15 2026	No	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0xb6e9d8…
11-02 15:47:39	will the danube river return to normal levels between december 1 and december 15 2026	No	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xb601eb…
11-02 00:47:54	Will Marshall retake Kansas Senate odds lead by November 1?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x479e7e…
11-02 00:13:03	Will Marshall retake Kansas Senate odds lead by November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xfadf31…
11-02 00:08:24	Will Marshall retake Kansas Senate odds lead by November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5aacb6…
11-02 00:08:15	Will Marshall retake Kansas Senate odds lead by November 1?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x167945…
11-02 00:08:01	Will Marshall retake Kansas Senate odds lead by November 1?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x3d4d02…
11-01 17:11:49	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x4acee1…
11-01 16:46:06	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 30-32.5%?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xfa29e1…
11-01 10:33:40	Alaska Senator sworn in by January 5?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xdbdbe2…
10-31 23:14:15	Mary Peltola charged by January 31?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x852900…
10-31 22:42:36	alaska senator sworn in by january 5	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xf8f20c…
10-31 22:16:07	mary peltola charged by january 31	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xae5a13…
10-31 16:49:54	Will Fernando Haddad be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x57a3ac…
10-31 09:54:10	Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30?	No	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0xacee86…
10-31 09:33:13	Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x807186…
10-31 09:23:18	Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x73d888…
10-31 09:20:51	Will Inspire's team qualify for VCT Kickoff 2027?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x699b96…
10-31 09:20:28	Republican House odds hit 8% by November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x8b226c…
10-31 09:15:36	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x20bb66…
10-31 09:14:37	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x65ec4b…
10-31 09:14:27	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xd965a5…
10-31 09:14:24	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x584c80…
10-31 09:12:57	Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x555d13…
10-31 08:49:34	Republican House odds hit 8% by November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x62d4de…
10-31 05:50:13	will inspires team qualify for vct kickoff 2027	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x30bb7a…
10-31 05:32:43	Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x318d9a…
10-30 22:41:13	Next Israeli election called by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x4a1466…
10-30 22:25:57	next israeli election called by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x45f311…
10-30 21:40:28	will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 bulgaria presidential election be 30 32pt5 higher strikes	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x69b879…
10-30 18:26:42	Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x3ef6b7…
10-30 17:23:06	will a 8pt0 earthquake occur worldwide by november 30	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x518e45…
10-30 17:04:36	will a 7pt0 earthquake occur worldwide by november 30	No	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0xfa6330…
10-30 14:06:46	Will Nadia Calviño be the next President of the European Central Bank?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0xdc44b5…
10-30 12:58:33	New Anthropic model released before IPO?	No	SELL	35	10¢	$4	0xf16f7d…
10-30 12:57:16	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released before Anthropic IPO?	No	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xadb030…
10-30 12:04:16	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in November 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x149c39…
10-30 12:03:46	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xa64203…
10-30 08:53:33	Will Kevin Hern be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x1d9872…
10-30 08:50:52	Will Lisa McClain be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x361454…
10-30 08:46:57	Will Katherine Clark be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x6de8a0…
10-30 00:17:01	Elon Musk meets with Putin by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xcf1667…
10-29 23:26:57	will there be 4 or more north korea tests in november 2026	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x6bcaac…
10-29 23:24:37	elon musk meets with putin by march 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x9be0a7…
10-29 22:44:25	Will Nadia Calviño be the next President of the European Central Bank?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x99e6ba…
10-29 16:13:46	will nadia calvino be the next president of the european central bank	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x8c9a52…
10-29 14:44:05	Will Katherine Clark be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x7af2e0…
10-29 07:37:32	next fable model 5pt2 released before anthropic ipo	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x622184…
10-29 07:36:56	New Anthropic model released before IPO?	No	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x24828f…
10-29 00:10:05	Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0xb17eb0…
10-29 00:07:53	Will Gemini Carbon debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x5b42eb…