Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
open
Total volume
$1,798
$3 in 24h
Trades
175
Unique wallets
42
Liquidity
$3,262
Latest YES mid
31¢
Latest NO mid
69¢
End date
2028-11-07
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-15 16:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-14.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $283
vs crowd: 15% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $17 | $25 | $8 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $102 | $399 | $298 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $35 | $295 | $260 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $12 | $230 | $218 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $283 | $283 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $17 | $5 | +$12 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $14 | $86 | $72 |
| Median | 5 | — | $23 | $23 |
| Below median | 7 | $42 | $58 | $15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $194 | $194 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $15 | $101 | $86 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $16 | $5 | +$11 |
| unranked | 14 | $62 | $195 | $133 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costly-Buyer 0x5c1b…4b4f | No | +147 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 06-24 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c25…87c0 | No | +109 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 06-27 17:14 |
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +100 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 07-08 15:38 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +99 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-23 18:59 |
| Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | No | +93 | $60 | $60 | 4 | 07-08 15:29 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +70 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 06-27 17:14 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +50 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-08 11:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x09ad…5e6f | No | +30 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-15 09:29 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +18 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-24 18:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 04:14 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-29 12:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2fd…f3a5 | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 15:29 |
| Violent-Grub 0x18e0…d024 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-05 22:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +10 | $7 | $14 | 4 | 07-09 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0a3…1307 | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-19 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $7 | 3 | 06-10 14:40 |
| Slow-Ark-Musician 0xd761…a957 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-04 02:39 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-09 20:38 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +5 | $3 | $27 | 5 | 07-15 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-14 03:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x6706…2341 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-08 15:29 |
| Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-08 11:18 |
| Formal-Deadline 0x0a06…921a | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 02:39 |
| Feline-Lamb 0xdff0…5865 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 15:29 |
| Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | No | +1 | $-1 | $8 | 2 | 06-24 13:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 16:36:13 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x6e8543… |
| 07-15 16:36:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x6e8543… |
| 07-15 06:06:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 12 | 69¢ | $9 | 0x8101d5… |
| 07-15 06:06:11 | (anonymous) 0x3002…2dae | Yes | SELL | 12 | 31¢ | $4 | 0x8101d5… |
| 07-15 05:47:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 12 | 68¢ | $8 | 0x294423… |
| 07-15 05:47:19 | (anonymous) 0x3002…2dae | Yes | BUY | 12 | 32¢ | $4 | 0x294423… |
| 07-14 03:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x3de460… |
| 07-14 03:30:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x3de460… |
| 07-11 13:00:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x1883c3… |
| 07-11 13:00:23 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x1883c3… |
| 07-11 12:59:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xe08d2b… |
| 07-11 12:59:17 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xe08d2b… |
| 07-09 20:38:16 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x5e28ba… |
| 07-09 20:38:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x5e28ba… |
| 07-08 16:58:11 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x0fd796… |
| 07-08 16:58:11 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x0fd796… |
| 07-08 15:38:13 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 0 | 72¢ | $0 | 0xbf632f… |
| 07-08 15:38:13 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xbf632f… |
| 07-08 15:38:13 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xbf632f… |
| 07-08 15:38:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 17 | 68¢ | $12 | 0xbf632f… |
| 07-08 15:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x6706…2341 | No | BUY | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x868f97… |
| 07-08 15:29:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 2 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x868f97… |
| 07-08 15:29:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x1482b9… |
| 07-08 15:29:40 | Feline-Lamb 0xdff0…5865 | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x1482b9… |
| 07-08 15:29:38 | Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | No | BUY | 14 | 65¢ | $9 | 0x369c9c… |
| 07-08 15:29:38 | (anonymous) 0xb2fd…f3a5 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x369c9c… |
| 07-08 11:18:35 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x2614ea… |
| 07-08 11:18:35 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x2614ea… |
| 07-08 11:18:28 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0x21e4f5… |
| 07-08 11:18:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0x21e4f5… |
| 07-08 11:18:07 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xa5448c… |
| 07-08 11:18:07 | Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xa5448c… |
| 07-08 11:18:04 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 12 | 65¢ | $8 | 0x983981… |
| 07-08 11:18:04 | Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | No | BUY | 12 | 65¢ | $8 | 0x983981… |
| 07-08 11:17:59 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 34¢ | $17 | 0xd03625… |
| 07-08 11:17:59 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 12 | 66¢ | $8 | 0xd03625… |
| 07-08 11:17:59 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 19 | 66¢ | $13 | 0xd03625… |
| 07-05 22:33:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 39 | 32¢ | $13 | 0x892393… |
| 07-05 22:33:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 19 | 68¢ | $13 | 0x892393… |
| 07-05 22:33:43 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x892393… |
| 07-05 22:33:38 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 33¢ | $15 | 0x896878… |
| 07-05 22:33:38 | Violent-Grub 0x18e0…d024 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x896878… |
| 07-05 22:33:38 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 39 | 33¢ | $13 | 0x896878… |
| 07-04 02:39:37 | Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0xff639e… |
| 07-04 02:39:37 | Violent-Grub 0x18e0…d024 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x18bfb4… |
| 07-04 02:39:37 | Formal-Deadline 0x0a06…921a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xff639e… |
| 07-04 02:39:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0x18bfb4… |
| 07-04 02:39:37 | Slow-Ark-Musician 0xd761…a957 | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x18bfb4… |
| 06-29 12:40:53 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | BUY | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0x095145… |
| 06-29 12:40:53 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x2fd1b3… |
| 06-29 12:40:53 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 14 | 67¢ | $10 | 0x095145… |
| 06-29 12:40:53 | Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | No | BUY | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x2fd1b3… |
| 06-29 12:40:50 | Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | No | BUY | 63 | 65¢ | $41 | 0x458c44… |
| 06-29 12:40:50 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | No | SELL | 63 | 65¢ | $41 | 0x458c44… |
| 06-27 17:15:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 35¢ | $16 | 0xc785ff… |
| 06-27 17:15:02 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xc785ff… |
| 06-27 17:15:02 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 35¢ | $17 | 0xc785ff… |
| 06-27 17:14:56 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 36¢ | $18 | 0xd1c406… |
| 06-27 17:14:56 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 9 | 64¢ | $6 | 0xd1c406… |
| 06-27 17:14:56 | (anonymous) 0x2c25…87c0 | No | BUY | 109 | 64¢ | $70 | 0xd1c406… |
| 06-27 17:14:56 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 36¢ | $18 | 0xd1c406… |
| 06-25 14:50:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xffcd5a… |
| 06-25 14:50:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0xffcd5a… |
| 06-25 14:50:40 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 36¢ | $11 | 0xffcd5a… |
| 06-24 18:00:52 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 37 | 63¢ | $23 | 0x4c22b6… |
| 06-24 18:00:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 18 | 63¢ | $11 | 0x4c22b6… |
| 06-24 18:00:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 19 | 63¢ | $12 | 0x4c22b6… |
| 06-24 14:12:43 | Costly-Buyer 0x5c1b…4b4f | No | BUY | 147 | 61¢ | $90 | 0x412b63… |
| 06-24 14:12:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 14 | 65¢ | $9 | 0x412b63… |
| 06-24 13:31:11 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 8 | 57¢ | $4 | 0x38ad5d… |
| 06-24 13:31:11 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | No | SELL | 8 | 57¢ | $4 | 0x38ad5d… |
| 06-24 07:10:07 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | SELL | 31 | 57¢ | $18 | 0xd0bb1f… |
| 06-24 07:10:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 12 | 56¢ | $7 | 0xd0bb1f… |
| 06-24 07:07:50 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 19 | 58¢ | $11 | 0xa7f6be… |
| 06-24 07:07:50 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | SELL | 27 | 58¢ | $16 | 0xa7f6be… |
| 06-23 19:32:22 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xfed364… |
| 06-23 19:32:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 11 | 59¢ | $6 | 0xfed364… |
| 06-23 19:32:20 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 19 | 59¢ | $11 | 0xaeb729… |
| 06-23 19:32:20 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 41¢ | $8 | 0xaeb729… |
| 06-23 19:31:07 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | SELL | 19 | 60¢ | $11 | 0xfbf239… |
| 06-23 19:31:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 19 | 60¢ | $11 | 0xfbf239… |
| 06-23 18:59:34 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 70¢ | $20 | 0x168f99… |
| 06-23 18:59:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 0 | 61¢ | $0 | 0x168f99… |
| 06-23 18:59:34 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | BUY | 77 | 31¢ | $24 | 0x168f99… |
| 06-23 18:59:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0x168f99… |
| 06-23 18:59:34 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | SELL | 194 | 37¢ | $71 | 0x168f99… |
| 06-22 22:20:50 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | BUY | 19 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x80f0d8… |
| 06-22 22:20:50 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 18 | 66¢ | $12 | 0x80f0d8… |
| 06-22 22:20:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 16 | 65¢ | $10 | 0xaed30a… |
| 06-22 22:20:25 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | BUY | 16 | 65¢ | $10 | 0xaed30a… |
| 06-20 19:07:16 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | BUY | 25 | 64¢ | $16 | 0x20bc39… |
| 06-20 19:07:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x20bc39… |
| 06-19 21:08:44 | (anonymous) 0xf0a3…1307 | No | BUY | 9 | 63¢ | $6 | 0xad3c5b… |
| 06-19 21:08:44 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 9 | 63¢ | $6 | 0xad3c5b… |
| 06-18 14:52:23 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | SELL | 6 | 61¢ | $4 | 0xf2703b… |
| 06-18 14:52:23 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 6 | 61¢ | $4 | 0xf2703b… |
| 06-18 10:29:38 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0xb72032… |
| 06-18 10:29:38 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0xb72032… |
| 06-18 10:21:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x8923b0… |
| 06-18 10:21:26 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x8923b0… |