Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
open
Total volume
$812
$3 in 24h
Trades
81
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$3,262
Latest YES mid
38¢
Latest NO mid
62¢
End date
2028-11-07
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-18 14:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $154
vs crowd: 9% YES on $484)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $9 | $184 | $175 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $29 | $191 | $162 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $5 | $57 | $52 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $154 | $154 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $34 | $34 |
| Median | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $37 | $37 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $156 | $156 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $9 | $27 | $18 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 5 | $34 | $19 | +$14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +95 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-15 15:53 |
| Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | No | +63 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 06-10 14:40 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +50 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-10 06:59 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | +41 | $22 | $286 | 44 | 06-18 14:52 |
| Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | +37 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 06-10 06:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x09ad…5e6f | No | +30 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-15 09:29 |
| Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | +29 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-15 15:53 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 04:14 |
| Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | No | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-06 04:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $7 | 3 | 06-10 14:40 |
| Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 22:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 14:52:23 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | SELL | 6 | 61¢ | $4 | 0xf2703b… |
| 06-18 14:52:23 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 6 | 61¢ | $4 | 0xf2703b… |
| 06-18 10:29:38 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0xb72032… |
| 06-18 10:29:38 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0xb72032… |
| 06-18 10:21:26 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x8923b0… |
| 06-18 10:21:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x8923b0… |
| 06-18 09:31:46 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | SELL | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0xf34a74… |
| 06-18 09:31:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0xf34a74… |
| 06-18 09:29:56 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | SELL | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x1cfa34… |
| 06-18 09:29:56 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 19 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x1cfa34… |
| 06-18 08:53:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 10 | 63¢ | $6 | 0xb6cb5e… |
| 06-18 08:53:55 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | SELL | 10 | 63¢ | $6 | 0xb6cb5e… |
| 06-18 08:52:22 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | SELL | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0x36e9cb… |
| 06-18 08:52:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0x36e9cb… |
| 06-18 08:51:49 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | SELL | 4 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x2c83b4… |
| 06-18 08:51:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 4 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x2c83b4… |
| 06-18 08:44:20 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 15 | 64¢ | $10 | 0xd67a80… |
| 06-18 08:44:20 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | SELL | 15 | 64¢ | $10 | 0xd67a80… |
| 06-18 08:43:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 19 | 65¢ | $12 | 0xac1794… |
| 06-18 08:43:49 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | SELL | 19 | 65¢ | $12 | 0xac1794… |
| 06-18 07:07:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0xfad78e… |
| 06-18 07:07:25 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | SELL | 12 | 58¢ | $7 | 0xfad78e… |
| 06-18 07:07:25 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0xfad78e… |
| 06-18 07:04:07 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | SELL | 16 | 67¢ | $11 | 0xb22e4e… |
| 06-18 07:04:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 16 | 67¢ | $11 | 0xb22e4e… |
| 06-15 20:08:37 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x2261e4… |
| 06-15 20:08:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x2261e4… |
| 06-15 20:07:58 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | BUY | 18 | 68¢ | $12 | 0xb0e115… |
| 06-15 20:07:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 18 | 68¢ | $12 | 0xb0e115… |
| 06-15 15:53:54 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 19 | 68¢ | $13 | 0x6d79e9… |
| 06-15 15:53:54 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | BUY | 144 | 70¢ | $100 | 0x6d79e9… |
| 06-15 15:53:54 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 31¢ | $9 | 0x6d79e9… |
| 06-15 15:53:54 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 30¢ | $29 | 0x6d79e9… |
| 06-15 15:53:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 18 | 67¢ | $12 | 0x6f0498… |
| 06-15 15:53:36 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | BUY | 19 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x6f0498… |
| 06-15 15:53:16 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x39cda3… |
| 06-15 15:53:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x39cda3… |
| 06-15 15:48:21 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 19 | 63¢ | $12 | 0x57d831… |
| 06-15 15:48:21 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | BUY | 19 | 63¢ | $12 | 0x57d831… |
| 06-15 15:48:09 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | BUY | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0x245eb2… |
| 06-15 15:48:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0x245eb2… |
| 06-15 09:29:04 | (anonymous) 0x09ad…5e6f | No | BUY | 30 | 61¢ | $18 | 0xce3e4c… |
| 06-15 09:29:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 11 | 62¢ | $7 | 0xce3e4c… |
| 06-10 14:40:01 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | No | BUY | 63 | 59¢ | $37 | 0x49fb96… |
| 06-10 14:40:01 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x49fb96… |
| 06-10 14:40:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 19 | 60¢ | $11 | 0x49fb96… |
| 06-10 06:59:40 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | SELL | 77 | 42¢ | $32 | 0x6c83d5… |
| 06-10 06:59:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 32 | 27¢ | $9 | 0x6c83d5… |
| 06-10 06:59:40 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x6c83d5… |
| 06-10 06:59:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 19 | 57¢ | $11 | 0x6c83d5… |
| 06-09 23:14:12 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 18 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x2f08ed… |
| 06-09 23:14:12 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | BUY | 77 | 29¢ | $22 | 0x2f08ed… |
| 06-09 23:14:12 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | SELL | 126 | 36¢ | $46 | 0x2f08ed… |
| 06-09 23:14:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 19 | 59¢ | $11 | 0x2f08ed… |
| 06-08 14:59:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0xbb4973… |
| 06-08 14:59:07 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | SELL | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0xbb4973… |
| 06-07 10:38:40 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | SELL | 39 | 61¢ | $24 | 0x952daa… |
| 06-07 10:38:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 19 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x952daa… |
| 06-07 10:38:40 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 1 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x952daa… |
| 06-06 04:23:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x92537e… |
| 06-06 04:23:12 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x92537e… |
| 06-06 04:20:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 7 | 64¢ | $4 | 0xc4a418… |
| 06-06 04:20:09 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xc4a418… |
| 06-06 04:14:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 15 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x51ec27… |
| 06-06 04:14:31 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | SELL | 15 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x51ec27… |
| 06-06 04:13:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 7 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x6e3ac3… |
| 06-06 04:13:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x6e3ac3… |
| 06-06 04:13:55 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 29 | 38¢ | $11 | 0x6e3ac3… |
| 06-06 04:13:55 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | SELL | 90 | 36¢ | $33 | 0x6e3ac3… |
| 06-06 04:13:55 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | No | BUY | 9 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x6e3ac3… |
| 06-06 04:13:55 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | BUY | 39 | 30¢ | $12 | 0x6e3ac3… |
| 06-06 00:03:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x1c4959… |
| 06-06 00:03:55 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | SELL | 55 | 66¢ | $36 | 0x1c4959… |
| 06-04 02:06:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0xefbb74… |
| 06-04 02:06:40 | Warmhearted-Line 0xbce2…7eec | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0xefbb74… |
| 06-01 05:40:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x6fac6c… |
| 06-01 05:40:07 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x6fac6c… |
| 05-31 22:05:53 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0xb09a7f… |
| 05-31 22:05:53 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0xb09a7f… |
| 05-30 05:24:48 | (anonymous) 0x3fbb…3e53 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x1306a1… |
| 05-30 05:24:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | SELL | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x1306a1… |