Realized P&L
+$51
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved
97
Trades
7,005
lifetime
Volume
$38.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$79
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 06-09 21:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
66% 63% +$83
Politics
30% 36% $-32
Tech
3%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 314 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +19 $6 76¢ $15 +$9 06-08 15:04
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +100 $10 12¢ $12 +$2 06-08 21:33
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No -12 $-12 100¢ $-12 +$0 06-08 14:48
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -11 $-10 97¢ $-11 $-1 06-02 20:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +9 $7 76¢ $7 +$0 06-02 12:37
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +27 $7 26¢ $7 $-1 06-02 16:08
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -38 $-5 15¢ $-6 $-1 06-08 19:02
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +19 $7 18¢ $4 $-4 06-01 17:48
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -3 $-2 94¢ $-3 $-1 05-28 17:30
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-04 12:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -5 $-2 30¢ $-2 +$0 06-06 22:03
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -2 $-1 27¢ $-0 +$0 05-28 21:36
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No -48 $-14 $-0 +$14 06-05 10:03
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-06 09:33