Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3f8…ee1b7e
whale bot hot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.56K
Unrealized P&L
+$126
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
6,847
Trades
20,018
lifetime
Volume
$146.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$758
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 10-27 07:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 230 days
Categories
Other
80% 68% +$4,131
Politics
16% 55% +$470
Tech
3% 51% +$21
Crypto
0% 55% -$13
Pop-Culture
0% 38% -$29
Sports
0% 33% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -172 -$163 97¢ $-167 -$4 07-09 12:40
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +58 $15 97¢ $56 +$40 06-10 15:37
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +109 $3 44¢ $47 +$44 07-13 12:41
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +60 $31 66¢ $40 +$9 10-18 00:42
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -38 -$24 86¢ $-32 -$9 05-15 13:30
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $15 96¢ $29 +$14 06-25 20:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +41 $16 66¢ $27 +$11 09-21 23:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -33 -$20 74¢ $-25 -$5 05-02 20:52
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -24 -$16 96¢ $-23 -$7 05-26 09:03
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +29 $20 72¢ $21 +$1 10-27 04:53
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +26 $10 82¢ $21 +$11 08-22 06:26
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +25 $15 84¢ $21 +$6 09-29 12:07
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +25 $15 84¢ $21 +$6 09-29 12:06
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +82 $10 22¢ $18 +$8 10-26 23:32
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +125 $15 14¢ $17 +$2 10-21 21:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -17 -$11 92¢ $-15 -$5 05-07 09:18
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +26 $15 58¢ $15 +$0 10-23 22:34
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +16 $10 96¢ $15 +$5 10-04 06:02
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -17 -$14 84¢ $-15 -$1 09-29 10:50
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -14 -$13 96¢ $-14 -$1 09-22 12:49
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +15 $10 86¢ $13 +$3 07-01 11:45
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -13 -$10 98¢ $-13 -$2 04-30 07:08
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -13 -$12 94¢ $-12 +$0 10-14 09:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -17 -$9 72¢ $-12 -$3 05-03 19:12
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No -13 -$10 90¢ $-12 -$2 10-17 10:02
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +13 $10 87¢ $12 +$2 09-22 13:56
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No -14 -$11 82¢ $-12 -$1 05-26 02:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +12 $10 96¢ $12 +$2 10-23 08:46
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +62 $10 18¢ $12 +$2 05-26 17:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -12 -$10 94¢ $-12 -$1 05-17 20:18