Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3f8…ee1b7e
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
18
lifetime
Volume
$79
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$53
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 18:43
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
76% — —
Politics
24% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 5? No +12 $10 100¢ $12 +$2 05-05 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 5? No +11 $10 97¢ $11 +$1 05-05 09:45
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? Yes +11 $10 87¢ $10 +$0 05-05 12:10
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes -15 $-8 59¢ $-9 $-0 05-05 18:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? Yes -90 $-6 6¢ $-6 +$0 05-05 18:36
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 6? No +5 $4 56¢ $3 $-1 05-05 04:00
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 +$0 05-05 10:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -8 $-1 14¢ $-1 $-0 05-05 04:40
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -1 $-0 14¢ $-0 $-0 05-04 23:04
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? Yes -0 $-0 78¢ $-0 $-0 05-05 16:19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5? No +12 $10 0¢ $0 $-10 05-04 22:04