Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3f8…ee1b7e
new
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Realized P&L (30d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
—
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
21
21 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$99
$99 lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$68
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 00:38
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
81% — —
Politics
19% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 5? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 05-05 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 6? No +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 05-05 23:00
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on May 6? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 05-05 23:00
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? Yes +11 $10 87¢ $10 +$0 05-05 12:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? Yes -90 $-6 11¢ $-10 $-4 05-05 18:36
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes -15 $-8 60¢ $-9 $-1 05-05 18:43
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 6? No +5 $4 55¢ $3 $-1 05-05 04:00
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 +$0 05-05 10:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -8 $-1 18¢ $-1 $-1 05-05 04:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? Yes -6 $-1 8¢ $-1 +$0 05-06 00:38
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -1 $-0 14¢ $-0 $-0 05-04 23:04
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? Yes -0 $-0 78¢ $-0 $-0 05-05 16:19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5? No +12 $10 0¢ $0 $-10 05-04 22:04