Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3f8…ee1b7e Create alert
whale bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$535
Unrealized P&L
+$49
Hit rate
74.8%
Resolved (30d)
269
Trades (30d)
805
20,423 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$5.53K
$149.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$714
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 11-07 21:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 241 days
Categories
Other
79% 68% +$4,188
Politics
17% 57% +$750
Tech
3% 53% +$9
Crypto
0% 55% -$13
Pop-Culture
0% 41% -$10
Sports
0% 33% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes -71 -$21 99¢ $-71 -$50 11-04 03:00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +58 $15 98¢ $57 +$42 06-10 15:37
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No -53 -$14 99¢ $-52 -$39 11-04 03:04
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +109 $3 45¢ $49 +$46 07-13 12:41
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -38 -$24 92¢ $-35 -$11 05-15 13:30
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +34 $25 97¢ $33 +$8 11-07 07:18
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +30 $10 100¢ $30 +$20 07-27 17:40
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $15 98¢ $30 +$15 06-25 20:34
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m? Yes +48 $10 52¢ $25 +$15 11-06 16:20
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -24 -$16 98¢ $-23 -$8 05-26 09:03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -33 -$20 68¢ $-22 -$2 05-02 20:52
Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026? No +19 $15 98¢ $19 +$4 09-17 01:36
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +48 $15 39¢ $19 +$4 11-01 03:56
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +63 $10 27¢ $17 +$7 10-24 01:08
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? Yes +37 $15 45¢ $17 +$2 11-06 07:31
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +21 $15 78¢ $17 +$2 11-06 21:01
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? No +18 $14 89¢ $16 +$2 11-04 22:19
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +27 $15 56¢ $15 $0 10-29 17:34
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +17 $15 90¢ $15 +$0 11-06 03:27
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -17 -$14 86¢ $-15 -$1 09-29 10:50
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +17 $15 88¢ $15 $0 11-06 03:11
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -17 -$11 88¢ $-15 -$4 05-07 09:18
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI? Yes +18 $10 78¢ $14 +$4 11-02 22:54
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 Yes +25 $15 56¢ $14 -$1 08-14 08:59
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $10 67¢ $14 +$4 11-07 18:48
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -14 -$13 96¢ $-14 -$1 09-22 12:49
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No -14 -$11 94¢ $-13 -$3 05-26 02:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -17 -$9 81¢ $-13 -$4 05-03 19:12
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? No +19 $15 69¢ $13 -$2 11-02 01:34
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +14 $10 88¢ $13 +$3 08-19 13:42