Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3f8…ee1b7e Create alert
whale bot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$41
Unrealized P&L
+$125
Hit rate
72.3%
Resolved (7d)
78
Trades (7d)
220
20,202 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.48K
$147.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$812
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 11-02 14:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 236 days
Categories
Other
80% 68% +$4,126
Politics
17% 55% +$438
Tech
3% 53% +$9
Crypto
0% 55% -$13
Pop-Culture
0% 41% -$10
Sports
0% 33% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -172 -$163 98¢ $-170 -$6 07-09 12:40
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +58 $15 97¢ $56 +$41 06-10 15:37
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +60 $31 74¢ $44 +$13 10-18 00:42
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +109 $3 40¢ $44 +$41 07-13 12:41
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +54 $26 74¢ $40 +$15 11-02 14:56
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +53 $25 62¢ $33 +$8 10-31 01:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -38 -$24 86¢ $-32 -$8 05-15 13:30
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +37 $25 82¢ $30 +$5 10-30 21:51
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $15 96¢ $29 +$14 06-25 20:34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -24 -$16 97¢ $-23 -$7 05-26 09:03
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +37 $18 62¢ $23 +$5 10-30 20:52
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -33 -$20 66¢ $-22 -$2 05-02 20:52
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +25 $15 82¢ $20 +$5 09-29 12:07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +64 $15 30¢ $19 +$4 10-31 22:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +28 $15 62¢ $18 +$3 10-28 20:01
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +125 $15 14¢ $17 +$2 10-21 21:01
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +16 $10 98¢ $15 +$5 10-04 06:02
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -17 -$14 88¢ $-15 -$2 09-29 10:50
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +60 $15 26¢ $15 +$0 11-02 13:41
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -17 -$11 92¢ $-15 -$5 05-07 09:18
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +24 $15 62¢ $15 $0 11-02 14:00
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +27 $15 52¢ $14 -$1 10-29 17:34
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -14 -$13 96¢ $-14 -$1 09-22 12:49
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +15 $10 88¢ $13 +$3 07-01 11:45
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +26 $15 50¢ $13 -$2 10-23 22:34
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No -14 -$11 88¢ $-13 -$2 05-26 02:47
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -13 -$10 98¢ $-13 -$2 04-30 07:08
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -13 -$12 96¢ $-12 $0 10-14 09:46
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +14 $10 82¢ $12 +$2 08-19 13:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -12 -$10 96¢ $-12 -$2 05-17 20:18