Major-Brush — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

Trades

73,728

lifetime

Volume

$101.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-10 10:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

56% 67% $-0

Crypto

26% 100% +$3

Politics

10% 100% +$2

Sports

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	325	$1.6K	1,181	1,039	+142	open	—	03-20 17:49
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	723	$1.1K	17,936	19,366	-1,429	open	—	02-25 03:54
nba den mem 2026 01 25	350	$984	1,745	1,938	-193	open	—	03-19 01:34
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	490	$718	17,815	19,849	-2,033	open	—	02-22 22:00
will trump attend ufc 327	360	$666	1,917	2,081	-164	open	—	04-11 19:39
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	296	$661	1,353	1,318	+35	open	—	04-09 09:25
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	531	$658	3,739	2,886	+853	open	—	05-19 20:58
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	473	$632	6,641	7,112	-470	open	—	02-25 04:40
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1,199	$626	24,088	23,958	+129	open	—	04-28 08:38
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	112	$603	485	482	+3	open	—	02-09 03:53
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	626	$557	8,289	6,960	+1,328	open	—	04-28 10:46
bitcoin above 62k on february 24	119	$537	336	327	+9	open	—	02-24 13:21
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	487	$536	12,158	17,408	-5,250	open	—	02-24 10:47
will solana dip to 60 in february 2026	270	$508	2,584	3,086	-501	open	—	02-27 03:37
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	280	$502	2,280	2,221	+59	open	—	02-18 04:45
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	422	$477	2,912	2,583	+329	open	—	01-13 11:41
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	341	$459	8,619	9,996	-1,378	open	—	02-20 22:33
bitcoin above 64k on february 25	91	$447	452	466	-14	open	—	02-25 11:21
nba dal mil 2026 01 25 spread home 2pt5	138	$420	426	374	+52	open	—	04-01 00:12
us strike on somalia by february 28 399	116	$407	307	316	-9	open	—	02-28 08:02
bitcoin above 78k on february 6	63	$392	272	276	-4	open	—	02-04 22:44
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	218	$378	2,088	2,253	-165	open	—	02-08 09:28
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	121	$371	610	639	-29	open	—	02-26 23:43
bitcoin above 66k on february 26	105	$364	478	486	-9	open	—	02-26 15:19
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	286	$355	2,608	2,796	-188	open	—	02-08 07:41
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	237	$352	11,969	11,249	+720	open	—	02-24 05:06
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	174	$349	1,195	1,473	-278	open	—	03-22 19:26
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	341	$344	1,456	1,173	+283	open	—	03-31 17:17
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	289	$331	2,063	1,975	+88	open	—	01-29 17:32
will solana dip to 30 in february 2026	121	$329	7,729	6,917	+812	open	—	02-15 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:45:52	Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?	Alcaraz	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9652f0…
08-10 10:47:04	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x70a4fe…
08-10 10:36:36	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x566326…
08-10 10:27:06	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x08f47b…
08-10 09:08:33	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xe06155…
08-10 08:58:37	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xa0402d…
08-10 08:52:21	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x8463fb…
08-10 07:42:18	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x495c34…
08-09 17:41:40	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x34323d…
08-09 05:33:25	Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xdeb626…
08-09 03:16:57	Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xb79a29…
08-08 16:27:04	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$1	0xc1dccd…
08-08 16:24:22	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x2c2fee…
08-08 16:24:22	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x255a09…
08-08 16:23:48	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0xbf5c18…
08-08 14:24:58	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x2bbad5…
08-08 04:37:13	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xdd1e38…
08-07 19:05:36	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x901adf…
08-07 18:10:24	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0xbd9f90…
08-07 17:35:01	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xcd89a6…
08-07 16:02:19	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xef5500…
08-07 15:27:34	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x7cdf84…
08-07 15:23:45	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x66429b…
08-07 12:44:49	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xca89fd…
08-07 00:54:59	Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xe306ff…
08-07 00:13:35	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x892187…
08-06 22:32:12	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x5f0ee3…
08-06 21:19:12	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x3f55b3…
08-06 17:39:09	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x07dce6…
08-06 17:32:53	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x19d678…
08-06 07:59:47	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x171d02…
08-06 01:49:24	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x759de8…
08-05 23:29:11	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xa8b3f9…
08-05 17:50:45	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xf68175…
08-05 17:47:29	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0xaf0588…
08-05 17:36:09	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x2ad1e5…
08-05 17:35:56	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	8¢	$3	0x9781b1…
08-05 17:35:54	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x687336…
08-05 17:32:39	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x45e83e…
08-05 17:27:47	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xf887c6…
08-05 17:14:21	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xaa4c3e…
08-05 17:01:30	Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x266029…
08-05 16:58:03	Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0x1e13c7…
08-05 09:31:36	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x088da8…
08-04 22:51:15	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x0fe1aa…
08-04 04:48:26	Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	10¢	$4	0x3a6ac3…
08-03 18:30:45	Will Eminem release an album in 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x85def3…
08-03 02:01:36	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xf76768…
08-02 02:38:33	100kt meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x4fd063…
08-01 17:33:03	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x549893…
08-01 13:55:18	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xeea7b8…
08-01 01:31:30	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0x83560c…
07-31 16:01:23	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x1b01b8…
07-30 16:12:21	Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x835f80…
07-30 14:30:08	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	2¢	$1	0x6c50e0…
07-30 10:28:14	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x6cec5c…
07-30 08:25:09	Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x5e3144…
07-30 02:23:30	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xb20324…
07-30 00:58:27	Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xb4d529…
07-29 16:17:17	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$1	0xfbcd57…
07-28 22:46:16	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x1fae2f…
07-28 22:15:50	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xa814fe…
07-28 21:50:11	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x690c3d…
07-28 21:23:08	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x977253…
07-28 17:03:41	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xf301b8…
07-28 16:40:38	Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x28665f…
07-28 13:27:58	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x1bd42e…
07-28 07:27:07	Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xadba3f…
07-27 22:40:13	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	8¢	$2	0x0417ba…
07-27 21:01:43	Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x7ef72a…
07-27 19:49:45	Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x4d432d…
07-27 15:29:49	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x62ea56…
07-27 15:29:33	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xae1ae4…
07-27 15:27:36	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x69375e…
07-27 08:28:19	100kt meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x02f3a8…
07-27 07:57:42	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x91961a…
07-27 06:18:12	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x2d571e…
07-27 06:13:34	Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x4875fe…
07-27 04:34:58	Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x54d2f6…
07-27 02:27:15	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xaa0e46…
07-27 01:35:46	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x8ab0bf…
07-27 00:12:51	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x6049d5…
07-26 23:17:48	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x0c59f5…
07-26 20:28:25	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$3	0xf3d800…
07-26 20:08:10	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x88308a…
07-26 18:47:25	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x825a45…
07-26 18:46:07	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x81cb04…
07-26 18:27:12	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0xbe33d1…
07-26 18:27:07	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xc49701…
07-26 15:05:16	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x39a793…
07-26 11:00:30	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x558b9b…
07-26 10:43:55	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x1b08db…
07-26 09:01:07	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xe48dad…
07-26 00:35:31	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x9b72b8…
07-25 23:11:34	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x76e2e6…
07-25 21:25:39	Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0x9135b0…
07-25 07:08:09	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	1¢	$0	0xd24ba2…
07-25 06:08:33	Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x21d1c7…
07-25 03:59:24	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x2369cb…
07-23 15:59:06	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xa50e79…