Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$466
Hit rate
93.1%
Resolved
9
Trades
73,590
lifetime
Volume
$101.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$565
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-21 10:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
56% 67% $-0
Crypto
26% 100% +$3
Politics
10% 100% +$2
Sports
7%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Siegemund (+1.5) Samsonova +471 $4 95¢ $447 +$443 05-25 17:14
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B? No -36 $-21 62¢ $-23 $-2 07-16 12:31
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? Alcaraz -40 $-17 49¢ $-20 $-2 07-15 08:44
Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026? No +12 $4 64¢ $7 +$3 06-15 04:05
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? Yes -47 $-9 13¢ $-6 +$3 07-15 19:52
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026? Yes +12 $2 50¢ $6 +$4 07-11 13:20
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? Yes -54 $-8 10¢ $-5 +$2 07-15 21:23
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +45 $2 10¢ $4 +$3 07-18 13:54
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes -39 $-5 11¢ $-4 +$0 07-17 23:44
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? Yes +5 $0 83¢ $4 +$4 07-12 21:02
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +22 $5 18¢ $4 $-1 07-21 08:30
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +3 $1 97¢ $3 +$2 06-28 17:51
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? No +4 $1 65¢ $3 +$2 07-19 21:14
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +36 $2 $3 +$0 07-20 02:39
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes +11 $3 24¢ $3 $-0 07-19 03:01
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? Yes -13 $-4 17¢ $-2 +$2 06-24 13:31
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? Yes -7 $-3 30¢ $-2 +$1 07-17 09:12
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? No +6 $1 39¢ $2 +$1 07-10 22:02
Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$1 05-30 00:18
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -13 $-2 15¢ $-2 $-0 06-27 19:55
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +3 $3 57¢ $2 $-1 07-17 12:01
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? Yes -11 $-2 16¢ $-2 +$0 07-14 12:59
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-0 88¢ $-2 $-1 06-27 20:23
Lamar Jackson traded by next season? Yes -48 $0 $-1 $-1 07-13 13:05
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? Yes +30 $1 $1 $-0 07-17 22:36
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? Yes +11 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-25 13:00
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? No +1 $0 84¢ $1 +$1 06-26 19:04
Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No -1 $-1 79¢ $-1 +$0 07-02 21:03
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? OpenAI -36 $-2 $-1 +$2 07-15 05:01
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? No +1 $-1 68¢ $1 +$2 06-24 13:31