Realized P&L
+$646
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
57.5%
Resolved
5,017
Trades
89,032
lifetime
Volume
$120.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$11
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-26 17:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 190 days
Categories
Other
57% 39% +$358
Crypto
22% 49% +$230
Sports
11% 41% -$126
Politics
9% 56% +$106
Tech
1% 56% +$56
Pop-Culture
0% 36% +$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +4 $2 85¢ $3 +$1 05-17 15:33
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? No -3 -$1 48¢ $-1 +$0 09-11 10:42
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-05 18:03
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? Yes +5 -$10 16¢ $1 +$11 09-26 14:52
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1 $0 76¢ $1 +$0 08-14 05:09
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes +46 -$1 1¢ $1 +$2 10-05 17:55
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +3 $3 16¢ $1 -$3 07-17 12:01
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes -22 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 05-19 12:57
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$1 8¢ $-0 +$1 09-26 17:00
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +4 $2 6¢ $0 -$1 08-06 01:49
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? No +0 -$2 51¢ $0 +$2 10-24 01:10
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 6¢ $0 -$1 05-23 15:05
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes -7 -$7 3¢ $-0 +$7 09-12 05:07
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 05-04 14:00
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 70¢ $0 $0 07-27 15:29
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +0 $0 68¢ $0 +$0 07-06 04:11
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -2 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$1 09-07 17:18
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +2 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-06 01:10
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +0 $0 50¢ $0 $0 05-03 04:03
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No +3 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 05-05 07:44
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +0 $3 18¢ $0 -$2 07-27 02:27
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -0 $0 100¢ $-0 +$0 05-19 00:19
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 7¢ $0 $0 05-08 09:44
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +0 -$5 6¢ $0 +$5 09-26 19:55
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +0 $3 3¢ $0 -$3 06-27 19:55
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Yes +1 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-05 10:20