Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
open
Total volume
$518
Trades
52
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$8,714
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2028-11-07
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-07 15:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $29 | $340 | $310 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $19 | — | +$19 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $6 | $10 | $3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $14 | $22 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $6 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $3 | $317 | $314 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $19 | — | +$19 |
| unranked | 8 | $19 | $2 | +$18 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | No | +356 | $317 | $317 | 1 | 07-23 16:15 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +166 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-23 16:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-23 16:15 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +39 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 06-23 19:29 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +31 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-23 17:40 |
| Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | +23 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-31 05:04 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +20 | $1 | $2 | 3 | 07-23 17:40 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-24 03:08 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-26 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x74ec…eed4 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 19:33 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-03 21:05 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-07 15:35 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-25 13:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 15:35:48 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x48731c… |
| 08-07 15:35:48 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x48731c… |
| 08-05 09:31:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xab22b6… |
| 08-05 09:31:14 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xab22b6… |
| 07-26 20:31:51 | Aged-Voyage 0x5c6d…bebc | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x2001fa… |
| 07-26 20:31:51 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x2001fa… |
| 07-24 03:08:31 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | SELL | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x10f917… |
| 07-24 03:08:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x10f917… |
| 07-23 17:40:24 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xeb552e… |
| 07-23 17:40:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xeb552e… |
| 07-23 17:40:10 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6a9502… |
| 07-23 17:40:10 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x6a9502… |
| 07-23 17:40:10 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 31 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x6a9502… |
| 07-23 16:15:51 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 10¢ | $9 | 0xd4d21a… |
| 07-23 16:15:51 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x07e084… |
| 07-23 16:15:51 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x07e084… |
| 07-23 16:15:51 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xd4d21a… |
| 07-23 16:15:51 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xd4d21a… |
| 07-23 16:15:51 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x07e084… |
| 07-23 16:15:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 166 | 11¢ | $18 | 0x143e5a… |
| 07-23 16:15:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 11¢ | $10 | 0x143e5a… |
| 07-23 16:15:49 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x143e5a… |
| 07-23 16:15:49 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 70 | 89¢ | $63 | 0x143e5a… |
| 07-23 16:15:49 | Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | No | BUY | 356 | 89¢ | $317 | 0x143e5a… |
| 07-20 14:05:30 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0e565d… |
| 07-20 14:05:30 | Harmful-Biscuit 0xde9b…1ae3 | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x0e565d… |
| 07-03 21:05:14 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xef34ae… |
| 07-03 21:05:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xef34ae… |
| 07-02 21:14:29 | (anonymous) 0x2ac7…5db3 | No | SELL | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x2de569… |
| 07-02 21:14:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x2de569… |
| 07-02 20:43:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x0549d6… |
| 07-02 20:43:46 | Cultured-Stimulation 0x8af9…de76 | No | SELL | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x0549d6… |
| 06-25 13:01:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x2ca69f… |
| 06-25 13:01:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x2ca69f… |
| 06-25 02:12:38 | Aged-Voyage 0x5c6d…bebc | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xb26548… |
| 06-25 02:12:38 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xb26548… |
| 06-24 22:28:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x65a27c… |
| 06-24 22:28:01 | Gleaming-Madam 0x3b95…38f4 | No | SELL | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x65a27c… |
| 06-23 19:29:23 | (anonymous) 0x2ac7…5db3 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xbe60ae… |
| 06-23 19:29:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xbe60ae… |
| 06-23 18:56:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x707a18… |
| 06-23 18:56:17 | Cultured-Stimulation 0x8af9…de76 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x707a18… |
| 06-16 22:17:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x68e84f… |
| 06-16 22:17:41 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x68e84f… |
| 06-04 22:10:15 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x79cc37… |
| 06-04 22:10:15 | (anonymous) 0x4877…d812 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x79cc37… |
| 06-02 19:33:57 | (anonymous) 0x74ec…eed4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xbbb7e1… |
| 06-02 19:33:57 | Which-Login 0x324f…c03a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xbbb7e1… |
| 05-31 05:04:37 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 23 | 77¢ | $18 | 0x6a93dd… |
| 05-31 05:04:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x6a93dd… |
| 05-29 14:48:09 | Harmful-Biscuit 0xde9b…1ae3 | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x1cd1ca… |
| 05-29 14:48:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x1cd1ca… |