Acceptable-Asset 0x003275…2e731a Create alert
bot 14L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$668
Unrealized P&L
+$352
Hit rate
20.6%
Resolved
1,787
Trades
6,727
lifetime
Volume
$49.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.85K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 11-08 15:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
63% 19% -$518
Politics
14% 10% -$18
Crypto
12% 66% -$86
Tech
7% 8% -$35
Sports
3% 8% -$4
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 707 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +150 $74 74¢ $111 +$36 11-02 05:39
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next? No +120 $99 82¢ $99 $0 11-01 05:24
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? No +120 $74 74¢ $89 +$16 11-01 06:23
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? No +100 $85 80¢ $81 -$5 11-01 05:09
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher? Yes +80 $18 99¢ $79 +$62 11-02 00:50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +100 $56 79¢ $79 +$23 10-21 15:58
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? Yes +94 $66 75¢ $71 +$4 11-05 07:36
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +74 $50 89¢ $66 +$16 10-26 15:00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +68 $57 96¢ $65 +$9 10-17 22:06
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? No +105 $59 62¢ $65 +$6 10-28 12:57
Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? No +90 $40 72¢ $64 +$24 11-01 03:45
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? No +78 $47 81¢ $63 +$16 10-28 02:36
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +70 $75 87¢ $61 -$14 10-27 03:12
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +100 $47 60¢ $60 +$13 11-02 03:47
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $73 60¢ $59 -$13 11-01 14:27
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +60 $51 94¢ $56 +$5 10-26 14:58
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? Yes +60 $30 90¢ $54 +$25 10-27 00:57
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +60 $52 86¢ $51 -$1 11-02 03:39
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +58 $46 88¢ $51 +$5 10-28 22:59
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T? No +60 $20 84¢ $50 +$30 10-31 19:08
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +55 $25 90¢ $50 +$24 11-04 11:21
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $43 99¢ $50 +$7 10-26 14:37
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +50 $32 97¢ $49 +$16 10-11 05:38
Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? No +50 $21 96¢ $48 +$28 10-08 10:55
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of November 2026? No +60 $48 78¢ $47 -$1 11-05 07:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +50 $36 92¢ $47 +$11 10-26 14:28
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +73 $40 62¢ $45 +$5 11-04 11:04
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be above 1%? No +59 $42 76¢ $45 +$3 11-08 03:33
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%? No +60 $47 74¢ $44 -$3 11-02 06:14
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027? No +50 $40 88¢ $44 +$4 10-26 14:35