Realized P&L
-$1.35K
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
47.3%
Resolved
5,587
Trades
59,807
lifetime
Volume
$80.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$58
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-26 21:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 159 days
Categories
Other
55% 34% -$1,664
Crypto
30% 37% +$117
Sports
7% 58% +$89
Politics
7% 41% +$96
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$9
Tech
0% 67% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes -911 -$9 3¢ $-24 -$15 09-26 13:46
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes -21 -$2 37¢ $-8 -$6 05-05 13:28
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No +5 $3 83¢ $4 +$1 05-09 21:44
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 93¢ $4 +$1 05-08 09:21
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +4 $3 94¢ $4 +$1 05-02 23:36
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? No -29 -$5 8¢ $-2 +$3 05-20 21:56
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$1 05-13 08:00
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +4 $1 37¢ $1 +$1 05-05 03:31
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes -2 $0 88¢ $-1 -$1 05-19 21:19
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -2 -$1 56¢ $-1 -$1 08-11 17:32
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes -5 -$1 17¢ $-1 +$1 05-15 03:11
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? Yes -8 $0 11¢ $-1 -$1 05-15 00:27
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -3 $0 28¢ $-1 $0 08-15 23:13
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -0 -$1 88¢ $-0 +$0 05-16 06:44
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? Yes +4 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 08-21 19:59
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? Yes -2 $0 15¢ $-0 $0 05-10 10:20
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes -178 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-19 05:32
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +0 $2 99¢ $0 -$2 05-14 12:13
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 05-05 13:10
Will Freddy Peralta win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? Yes -140 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-01 08:26
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 05-06 03:11
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +0 -$1 94¢ $0 +$1 05-21 19:14
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -109 -$9 0¢ $-0 +$9 05-23 12:09
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 05-04 06:25
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +0 $0 60¢ $0 +$0 05-23 10:20
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes -1 $0 16¢ $-0 +$0 05-25 08:56
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes +0 -$1 18¢ $0 +$1 05-24 14:04
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +0 $0 22¢ $0 $0 05-18 11:25
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 05-13 08:26
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 08-07 06:48