Realized P&L (90d)
-$445
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved (90d)
244
Trades (90d)
413
59,135 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$141
$80.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$71
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-11 17:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Other
55% 34% -$1,598
Crypto
30% 37% +$117
Sports
7% 58% +$89
Politics
7% 41% +$96
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$9
Tech
0% 67% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026? No -24 -$1 62¢ $-15 -$14 09-30 09:09
Will CryptoPunks floor price dip to 20 ETH before 2027? No -11 -$25 92¢ $-10 +$15 11-06 19:21
Will the next elected US president be a woman? Yes -24 -$4 20¢ $-5 -$1 05-05 23:56
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No +5 $2 97¢ $5 +$2 05-09 06:15
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes -21 -$2 21¢ $-4 -$3 05-05 13:28
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$1 05-09 21:44
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 98¢ $4 +$1 05-08 09:21
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +4 $3 96¢ $4 +$1 05-02 23:36
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? Yes -3 -$3 97¢ $-3 $0 07-09 07:17
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? Yes -24 -$8 12¢ $-3 +$5 11-09 02:36
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Yes -86 -$5 3¢ $-2 +$2 05-02 09:14
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes -5 -$1 38¢ $-2 $0 05-15 03:11
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 97¢ $2 +$1 05-13 08:00
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes -2 $0 86¢ $-1 -$1 05-19 21:19
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -2 -$1 44¢ $-1 $0 08-11 17:32
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman? Yes -6 -$1 10¢ $-1 +$1 09-07 01:42
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Yes +2 -$3 38¢ $1 +$4 11-04 10:45
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? Yes -3 -$1 18¢ $-1 +$0 08-12 01:36
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? Yes -8 $0 6¢ $-1 $0 05-15 00:27
Will Dogecoin reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026? Yes -17 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 08-21 22:41
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -0 -$1 90¢ $-0 +$0 05-16 06:44
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -109 -$9 0¢ $-0 +$8 11-08 02:07
Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027? Yes -5 -$1 7¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 12:45
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? Yes -2 $0 16¢ $-0 -$1 05-10 10:20
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -3 $0 11¢ $-0 $0 08-15 23:13
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? Yes +4 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 08-21 19:59
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Yes -3 $0 10¢ $-0 -$1 09-27 21:20
Will BNB reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -8 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 07-05 23:21
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? Yes -4 $0 7¢ $-0 $0 11-03 11:03
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? Yes -66 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 11-02 15:26