Realized P&L (7d)
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
62.2%
Resolved (7d)
28
Trades (7d)
321
60,163 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$104
$80.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$48
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-05 01:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Other
55% 34% -$1,667
Crypto
30% 37% +$117
Sports
7% 58% +$89
Politics
7% 41% +$96
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$9
Tech
0% 67% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes -21 -$2 29¢ $-6 -$5 05-05 13:28
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No +5 $2 97¢ $5 +$2 05-09 06:15
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Yes +4 $1 98¢ $4 +$4 06-17 07:59
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 05-09 21:44
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 95¢ $4 +$1 05-08 09:21
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +4 $3 96¢ $4 +$1 05-02 23:36
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +11 $2 34¢ $4 +$2 11-01 17:22
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? Yes -3 -$3 89¢ $-3 +$0 07-09 07:17
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? Yes -4 $0 66¢ $-3 -$3 11-03 11:03
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$1 05-13 08:00
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes -2 $0 92¢ $-2 -$1 05-19 21:19
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -2 -$1 55¢ $-1 -$1 08-11 17:32
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes -5 -$1 22¢ $-1 +$0 05-15 03:11
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? Yes -8 $0 11¢ $-1 -$1 05-15 00:27
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -3 $0 20¢ $-1 $0 08-15 23:13
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? Yes -66 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$0 11-02 15:26
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +141 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-03 19:38
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman? Yes -6 -$1 8¢ $-0 +$1 09-07 01:42
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -0 -$1 89¢ $-0 +$0 05-16 06:44
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? Yes -2 $0 17¢ $-0 -$1 05-10 10:20
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +125 -$8 0¢ $0 +$8 10-31 22:04
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? Yes +4 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 08-21 19:59
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +0 $2 98¢ $0 -$2 05-14 12:13
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 05-05 13:10
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? Yes -26 -$4 1¢ $-0 +$4 05-12 20:41
Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League MVP Award? Yes -91 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 04:20
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 05-06 03:11
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +0 -$1 95¢ $0 +$1 05-21 19:14
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 05-04 06:25
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes -1 $0 18¢ $-0 +$0 05-25 08:56