Realized P&L
-$1.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$67
Hit rate
90.5%
Resolved
58
Trades
10,303
lifetime
Volume
$900.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$87
Open exposure
$6.97K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
46% 75% $-1,760
Other
33% 96% +$670
Sports
21% 85% +$6
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$2
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1,412 $1,271 94¢ $1.3K +$50 06-08 18:43
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -1,282 $-1,218 98¢ $-1254 $-36 06-08 17:53
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -1,177 $-1,129 94¢ $-1102 +$28 06-07 20:19
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +422 $274 74¢ $315 +$41 06-09 20:13
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -296 $-294 98¢ $-289 +$5 06-08 17:54
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +300 $275 93¢ $279 +$4 06-03 16:46
WIll Lamine Yamal play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +276 $270 97¢ $268 $-2 06-08 17:45
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? Yes +301 $204 81¢ $242 +$38 06-03 16:37
Pro Football: Will OBJ sign with a team in 2026? Yes -250 $-263 95¢ $-238 +$25 06-08 18:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +407 $208 48¢ $197 $-10 06-09 17:24
Lamar Jackson traded by next season? No +143 $136 99¢ $141 +$5 06-08 18:20
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,069 $116 $133 +$17 06-07 22:11
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No -133 $-20 100¢ $-133 $-113 06-05 02:03
Will Trey Hendrickson be traded? No +163 $156 76¢ $124 $-31 06-08 18:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +170 $119 64¢ $110 $-9 06-07 20:14
Pro Football: A.J. Brown to join Patriots by regular season start? Yes +117 $106 87¢ $102 $-3 06-01 20:20
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026? Yes +95 $90 98¢ $93 +$2 06-03 19:35
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$2 06-05 17:24
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? No +100 $88 88¢ $88 $-0 05-27 21:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -381 $-160 18¢ $-68 +$91 05-28 16:21
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +100 $69 66¢ $66 $-2 06-09 17:25
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +227 $5 26¢ $58 +$53 06-08 03:08
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $55 98¢ $57 +$1 06-03 16:38
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +69 $45 72¢ $50 +$5 05-31 17:50
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31? Yes +65 $47 52¢ $33 $-13 06-05 16:17
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? Yes -85 $-27 36¢ $-30 $-3 05-29 16:08
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +256 $63 10¢ $26 $-36 06-09 13:34
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026? Yes +25 $25 98¢ $25 +$0 06-03 16:38
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +23 $20 86¢ $20 +$0 06-05 22:33
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes -13 $26 100¢ $-13 $-39 06-05 02:03