Realized P&L
-$1.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$249
Hit rate
90.5%
Resolved
58
Trades
11,961
lifetime
Volume
$1.06M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$7.18K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 23:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
49% 75% $-1,760
Other
31% 96% +$670
Sports
20% 85% +$6
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$2
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No +1,547 $1,500 99¢ $1.5K +$25 07-04 03:13
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,334 $1,178 100¢ $1.3K +$155 06-21 12:59
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -1,177 $-1,129 96¢ $-1125 +$4 06-07 20:19
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +642 $321 88¢ $562 +$241 06-30 15:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +600 $544 90¢ $537 $-7 06-16 04:02
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +600 $478 76¢ $459 $-19 07-18 02:58
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +300 $269 90¢ $268 $-0 07-18 02:34
Pro Football: Will OBJ sign with a team in 2026? Yes -250 $-263 78¢ $-196 +$67 06-08 18:19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $182 92¢ $183 +$1 07-18 02:35
Pro Football: A.J. Brown to join Patriots by regular season start? Yes +183 $169 84¢ $154 $-15 07-03 04:21
Lamar Jackson traded by next season? No +143 $136 97¢ $138 +$2 06-08 18:20
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No -119 $-117 99¢ $-117 $-0 06-11 11:59
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? No +100 $88 92¢ $92 +$4 05-27 21:26
Will Trey Hendrickson be traded? No +163 $156 53¢ $86 $-70 06-08 18:09
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +407 $208 18¢ $71 $-136 06-09 17:24
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +88 $74 78¢ $68 $-5 06-11 11:57
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +69 $45 84¢ $58 +$13 05-31 17:50
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? No +62 $54 76¢ $47 $-7 07-03 16:34
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? Yes -500 $-208 $-42 +$166 06-17 14:58
Will Alvin Kamara be traded? No +33 $33 89¢ $30 $-3 07-15 20:10
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31? Yes +65 $47 40¢ $26 $-21 06-05 16:17
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? Yes -85 $-27 28¢ $-23 +$4 05-29 16:08
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +79 $24 25¢ $20 $-4 07-09 22:15
Will Alec Pierce be traded? No -16 $-16 99¢ $-16 +$0 07-07 14:37
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $59 12¢ $8 $-52 06-30 15:03
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +143 $93 $0 $-93 06-19 00:59