Realized P&L
-$1.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$424
Hit rate
90.5%
Resolved
58
Trades
11,362
lifetime
Volume
$1.00M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$6.50K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 23:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
48% 75% $-1,760
Other
31% 96% +$670
Sports
20% 85% +$6
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$2
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,334 $1,178 100¢ $1.3K +$155 06-21 12:59
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -1,177 $-1,129 92¢ $-1078 +$51 06-07 20:19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +600 $544 90¢ $543 $-1 06-16 04:02
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? Yes +579 $449 84¢ $486 +$37 06-13 20:03
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +444 $413 98¢ $435 +$22 06-19 19:54
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +422 $274 99¢ $418 +$144 06-09 20:13
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +642 $321 58¢ $376 +$55 06-30 15:07
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -338 $-313 100¢ $-337 $-24 06-18 22:13
Pro Football: Will OBJ sign with a team in 2026? Yes -250 $-263 82¢ $-206 +$57 06-08 18:19
Will Trey Hendrickson be traded? No +163 $156 98¢ $160 +$4 06-08 18:09
Lamar Jackson traded by next season? No +143 $136 99¢ $141 +$5 06-08 18:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +407 $208 30¢ $120 $-88 06-09 17:24
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No -119 $-117 99¢ $-117 $-0 06-11 11:59
Pro Football: A.J. Brown to join Patriots by regular season start? Yes +117 $106 88¢ $103 $-3 06-01 20:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-94 100¢ $-100 $-6 06-15 16:12
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? Yes -500 $-208 18¢ $-92 +$116 06-17 14:58
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? No +100 $88 89¢ $89 +$1 05-27 21:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +100 $74 84¢ $84 +$10 06-11 17:46
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +88 $74 78¢ $68 $-5 06-11 11:57
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +69 $45 82¢ $57 +$12 05-31 17:50
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +53 $46 94¢ $50 +$4 06-27 14:18
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31? Yes +65 $47 42¢ $27 $-20 06-05 16:17
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $59 42¢ $26 $-34 06-30 15:03
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? Yes -85 $-27 20¢ $-17 +$10 05-29 16:08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +16 $15 100¢ $16 +$1 06-11 12:46
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +8 $7 94¢ $7 $-0 06-27 14:19
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,845 $22 $5 $-18 06-11 20:37
Will Alec Pierce be traded? No -3 $-3 99¢ $-3 +$0 06-23 04:35
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +227 $5 $2 $-3 06-08 03:08
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +256 $63 $2 $-61 06-09 13:34