Realized P&L
+$57.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.19K
Hit rate
82.6%
Resolved
3,195
Trades
17,239
lifetime
Volume
$1.67M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$34.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 08:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 296 days
Categories
Other
42% 88% +$30,862
Politics
39% 80% +$15,137
Sports
18% 86% +$11,110
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$245
Tech
0% 100% +$97
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026? Yes — +5,896 $1,026 94¢ $5.5K +$4,516 10-28 09:27
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +5,028 $2,760 80¢ $4.0K +$1,262 10-28 04:59
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4,010 $3,264 86¢ $3.5K +$204 10-28 03:29
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +7,257 $3,753 42¢ $3.0K -$704 10-22 04:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,721 $2,341 86¢ $2.3K -$12 10-21 16:43
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,229 $2,506 39¢ $2.0K -$483 09-11 04:14
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +1,981 $895 82¢ $1.6K +$720 10-28 05:02
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +1,455 $1,292 92¢ $1.3K +$40 10-27 06:56
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 No +1,700 $1,270 74¢ $1.3K -$4 09-10 16:01
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +1,421 $501 83¢ $1.2K +$678 09-24 20:21
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +941 $630 80¢ $748 +$118 10-22 18:42
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +808 $542 84¢ $679 +$137 10-27 23:50
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -662 -$1,481 97¢ $-641 +$840 09-23 22:57
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +785 $557 82¢ $639 +$82 10-28 05:04
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,130 $271 15¢ $622 +$350 04-30 17:31
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +500 $457 94¢ $472 +$16 10-14 18:55
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -442 -$410 100¢ $-440 -$31 10-21 19:29
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +500 $375 86¢ $432 +$58 08-16 18:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -400 -$288 97¢ $-387 -$99 05-06 12:32
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +375 $95 93¢ $349 +$254 07-30 22:45
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +924 $305 36¢ $337 +$32 05-30 20:28
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -350 -$328 95¢ $-334 -$6 10-21 03:37
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +350 $304 92¢ $320 +$16 09-26 19:44
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +300 $237 99¢ $296 +$59 10-01 17:30
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +300 $286 96¢ $288 +$2 08-08 22:11
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $286 96¢ $288 +$2 09-29 00:37
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,725 $117 9¢ $257 +$140 04-29 20:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -250 -$244 94¢ $-234 +$11 08-23 21:29
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -200 -$195 99¢ $-198 -$3 08-25 19:00
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +256 $200 76¢ $196 -$4 05-01 21:13