Realized P&L (90d)
+$30.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.11K
Hit rate
91.3%
Resolved (90d)
653
Trades (90d)
2,822
17,325 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$368.9K
$1.70M lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$31.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 18:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 299 days
Categories
Other
43% 88% +$42,932
Politics
39% 80% +$15,069
Sports
18% 86% +$11,120
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$245
Tech
0% 100% +$97
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +5,038 $2,769 82¢ $4.2K +$1,388 10-31 19:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4,010 $3,264 86¢ $3.5K +$204 10-28 03:29
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +3,442 $2,521 99¢ $3.4K +$877 10-30 19:54
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,721 $2,341 86¢ $2.4K +$10 10-21 16:43
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,229 $2,506 38¢ $2.0K -$514 09-11 04:14
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +1,981 $895 84¢ $1.7K +$760 10-28 05:02
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +7,257 $3,753 22¢ $1.6K -$2,192 10-22 04:06
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +1,455 $1,292 92¢ $1.3K +$40 10-27 06:56
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +1,700 $1,270 74¢ $1.2K -$20 09-10 16:01
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +1,421 $501 84¢ $1.2K +$693 09-24 20:21
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $730 74¢ $745 +$15 10-31 03:23
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $770 72¢ $725 -$45 10-31 00:39
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +808 $542 84¢ $675 +$133 10-27 23:50
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +785 $557 84¢ $655 +$98 10-28 05:04
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,130 $271 15¢ $638 +$367 04-30 17:31
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +941 $630 68¢ $635 +$5 10-22 18:42
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +645 $621 98¢ $630 +$9 10-31 00:40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +500 $457 94¢ $472 +$16 10-14 18:55
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +500 $375 90¢ $448 +$72 08-16 18:33
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -442 -$410 100¢ $-441 -$31 10-21 19:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -400 -$288 97¢ $-387 -$99 05-06 12:32
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +375 $95 94¢ $351 +$256 07-30 22:45
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -350 -$328 97¢ $-338 -$10 10-21 03:37
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +350 $304 94¢ $331 +$26 09-26 19:44
Titans vs. Bengals Bengals +500 $435 66¢ $328 -$108 10-30 19:55
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +300 $286 98¢ $294 +$7 08-08 22:11
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $286 98¢ $294 +$8 09-29 00:37
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +924 $305 32¢ $291 -$14 05-30 20:28
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $279 94¢ $280 +$2 10-31 04:05
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,725 $117 10¢ $274 +$157 04-29 20:26