Realized P&L
+$72.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.09K
Hit rate
83.2%
Resolved
3,272
Trades
17,579
lifetime
Volume
$1.75M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$100
Open exposure
$40.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 20:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 303 days
Categories
Other
42% 88% +$43,000
Politics
40% 80% +$16,866
Sports
17% 86% +$12,349
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$245
Tech
0% 100% +$97
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +6,038 $3,589 86¢ $5.2K +$1,604 11-04 07:21
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4,010 $3,264 92¢ $3.7K +$405 10-28 03:29
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +7,438 $3,824 37¢ $2.8K -$1,072 11-05 01:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,721 $2,341 90¢ $2.5K +$114 10-21 16:43
Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy? Yes +3,607 $1,306 65¢ $2.3K +$1,042 10-29 05:44
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,229 $2,506 39¢ $2.0K -$488 09-11 04:14
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +2,181 $1,069 89¢ $1.9K +$873 11-04 07:23
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +1,455 $1,292 96¢ $1.4K +$106 10-27 06:56
Will a player from the ACC win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +1,825 $1,191 74¢ $1.3K +$158 11-05 17:13
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +1,700 $1,270 76¢ $1.3K +$14 09-10 16:01
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +1,421 $501 88¢ $1.3K +$757 09-24 20:21
Will Darian Mensah win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +1,637 $1,164 72¢ $1.2K +$6 11-05 00:34
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026? Yes — +1,205 $981 89¢ $1.1K +$92 11-04 07:23
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +1,106 $819 95¢ $1.1K +$236 08-29 18:30
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,133 $796 93¢ $1.1K +$256 11-02 23:02
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,669 $1,195 61¢ $1.0K -$171 11-04 02:56
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,334 $79 26¢ $882 +$803 11-04 21:33
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes — +2,180 $783 34¢ $752 -$31 11-01 02:54
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame Notre Dame +1,000 $715 72¢ $715 +$0 11-05 00:37
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +785 $557 88¢ $690 +$133 10-28 05:04
Will Sam Darnold have 29.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +722 $639 95¢ $686 +$47 11-04 18:57
Will Omar Cooper Jr. have 299.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes — +704 $545 95¢ $671 +$126 09-19 16:18
Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes +1,934 $331 33¢ $638 +$308 11-01 20:10
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +933 $625 68¢ $630 +$5 11-03 02:52
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? Yes +682 $565 92¢ $627 +$62 11-05 16:19
Will Malachi Toney win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +590 $571 99¢ $586 +$15 11-05 00:31
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 Yes +589 $488 96¢ $568 +$80 11-02 23:10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,725 $117 20¢ $552 +$435 04-29 20:26
Will Sam Darnold have 23.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +605 $377 88¢ $532 +$155 11-04 18:56
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30? Yes — +497 $463 97¢ $484 +$21 11-04 07:23