Realized P&L
+$71.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.99K
Hit rate
83.1%
Resolved
3,268
Trades
17,524
lifetime
Volume
$1.74M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$100
Open exposure
$32.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 07:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 302 days
Categories
Other
42%
88%
+$42,999
Politics
40%
80%
+$16,836
Sports
17%
86%
+$11,476
Pop-Culture
0%
88%
+$245
Tech
0%
100%
+$97
Crypto
0%
100%
+$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk
• peak 123 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 98 | $32.8K | 35,464 | 9,150 | +26,314 | Yes | +$2,545 | 10-08 20:35 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 188 | $31.8K | 17,303 | 16,350 | +953 | Yes | -$89 | 03-04 18:43 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 98 | $29.5K | 19,458 | 11,166 | +8,292 | No | +$105 | 03-03 10:10 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 22 | $25.1K | 13,482 | 13,482 | +0 | No | +$1,307 | 08-21 22:15 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 112 | $24.7K | 14,665 | 11,647 | +3,018 | Yes | -$897 | 03-02 04:51 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | 174 | $20.5K | 23,207 | 277 | +22,930 | Yes | +$2,819 | 05-16 13:00 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 23 | $16.3K | 8,568 | 9,230 | -662 | Yes | +$838 | 11-03 21:14 |
| will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 | 104 | $16.1K | 12,030 | 9,887 | +2,143 | open | — | 08-17 18:39 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | 62 | $15.3K | 8,698 | 7,998 | +700 | Yes | +$881 | 04-19 23:57 |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? | 50 | $13.8K | 15,149 | 6,819 | +8,330 | No | -$1,549 | 07-02 21:52 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026? | 18 | $10.4K | 8,939 | 8,939 | +0 | Yes | +$6,296 | 10-28 09:59 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026? | 27 | $10.1K | 8,536 | 7,425 | +1,111 | Yes | +$4,031 | 10-28 09:48 |
| Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC? | 30 | $9.7K | 9,109 | 848 | +8,261 | Yes | +$219 | 06-29 13:01 |
| Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? | 73 | $9.7K | 11,439 | 0 | +11,439 | Yes | +$1,737 | 06-11 18:34 |
| next thai prime minister chosen by march 31 | 14 | $9.4K | 4,720 | 4,720 | +0 | Yes | +$37 | 03-19 06:56 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | 55 | $9.3K | 5,203 | 5,203 | +0 | Yes | +$903 | 05-11 01:13 |
| Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? | 65 | $8.1K | 9,981 | 0 | +9,981 | Yes | +$1,928 | 09-15 04:39 |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | 61 | $8.0K | 4,252 | 5,120 | -868 | No | -$95 | 03-23 19:41 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | 10 | $7.8K | 4,671 | 4,639 | +32 | Yes | +$306 | 11-04 01:27 |
| Will Trey Hendrickson play for Baltimore Ravens in 2026-27? | 45 | $7.7K | 3,989 | 3,989 | -0 | Yes | +$223 | 03-12 22:46 |
| Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 26 | $7.7K | 6,840 | 1,812 | +5,028 | Yes | +$659 | 06-24 23:37 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 23 | $7.6K | 4,310 | 4,244 | +66 | open | — | 10-30 19:09 |
| us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044 | 35 | $7.6K | 7,425 | 3,371 | +4,054 | No | +$335 | 07-29 23:32 |
| us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31 | 88 | $7.1K | 7,057 | 4,698 | +2,359 | Yes | +$369 | 02-06 19:16 |
| us x iran meeting by february 28 2026 | 54 | $7.1K | 7,278 | 0 | +7,278 | Yes | +$170 | 02-17 11:20 |
| Tony Gonzales out as US Rep by May 31? | 5 | $7.0K | 3,785 | 3,765 | +20 | Yes | +$458 | 04-13 22:34 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 25 | $7.0K | 3,592 | 3,592 | +0 | No | +$114 | 03-25 04:38 |
| will mike mcdaniel be the next arizona cardinals head coach | 3 | $7.0K | 6,978 | 0 | +6,978 | No | +$16 | 02-01 20:47 |
| will tetairoa mcmillan be the 2025 2026 nfl offensive rookie of the year 271 | 60 | $6.9K | 3,119 | 4,241 | -1,122 | Yes | +$393 | 02-06 02:31 |
| Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | 104 | $6.8K | 6,110 | 5,889 | +221 | Yes | -$400 | 05-18 06:52 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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