Realized P&L
+$72.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.43K
Hit rate
83.2%
Resolved
3,269
Trades
17,555
lifetime
Volume
$1.75M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$100
Open exposure
$33.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 01:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 303 days
Categories
Other
42% 88% +$42,999
Politics
40% 80% +$16,836
Sports
17% 86% +$12,349
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$245
Tech
0% 100% +$97
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +6,038 $3,589 88¢ $5.3K +$1,695 11-04 07:21
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4,010 $3,264 92¢ $3.7K +$445 10-28 03:29
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +7,438 $3,824 36¢ $2.7K -$1,109 11-05 01:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,721 $2,341 91¢ $2.5K +$132 10-21 16:43
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +2,181 $1,069 88¢ $1.9K +$862 11-04 07:23
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,229 $2,506 34¢ $1.8K -$723 09-11 04:14
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +1,455 $1,292 96¢ $1.4K +$112 10-27 06:56
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +1,700 $1,270 76¢ $1.3K +$22 09-10 16:01
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +1,421 $501 89¢ $1.3K +$764 09-24 20:21
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,669 $1,195 66¢ $1.1K -$96 11-04 02:56
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,133 $796 96¢ $1.1K +$286 11-02 23:02
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +1,106 $819 95¢ $1.0K +$228 08-29 18:30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,334 $79 26¢ $878 +$800 11-04 21:33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +759 $707 98¢ $740 +$33 11-03 18:29
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +785 $557 88¢ $694 +$137 10-28 05:04
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +933 $625 68¢ $630 +$5 11-03 02:52
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +599 $536 98¢ $584 +$48 11-03 18:28
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 Yes +589 $488 98¢ $574 +$86 11-02 23:10
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? Yes +517 $425 96¢ $494 +$69 11-02 23:01
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,725 $117 18¢ $486 +$369 04-29 20:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +500 $457 96¢ $482 +$26 10-14 18:55
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +500 $375 90¢ $448 +$72 08-16 18:33
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -442 -$410 100¢ $-441 -$32 10-21 19:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -400 -$288 98¢ $-391 -$103 05-06 12:32
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +375 $95 94¢ $355 +$259 07-30 22:45
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -350 -$328 98¢ $-342 -$14 10-21 03:37
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +300 $286 98¢ $294 +$8 08-08 22:11
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,363 $245 3¢ $253 +$7 11-02 02:49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -250 -$244 97¢ $-242 +$2 08-23 21:29
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +225 $176 97¢ $219 +$43 11-04 23:29