Will Sam Darnold have 29.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
open
Total volume
$2,054
Trades
175
Unique wallets
50
Liquidity
$361
End date
2027-01-27
First seen
2026-09-10
last 10-27 15:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-23.1¢
(top1%: 6% YES on $904
vs crowd: 29% YES on $1.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $240 | $295 | $55 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $182 | $876 | $694 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $58 | $14 | +$44 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $52 | $852 | $801 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $17 | $19 | $2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| Median | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Below median | 2 | $11 | $20 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $42 | $32 | +$10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 20 | $327 | $262 | +$66 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x7c4d…bb01 | No | +888 | $705 | $817 | 3 | 09-11 23:51 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +500 | $83 | $83 | 10 | 10-11 13:46 |
| Sneaky-Spouse 0x17f4…9d7f | Yes | +272 | $52 | $52 | 2 | 09-10 16:33 |
| Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | No | +96 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 09-10 16:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | +93 | $16 | $24 | 18 | 10-24 02:02 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +68 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 10-22 10:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xbceb…0049 | Yes | +63 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 10-27 15:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | Yes | +58 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-13 05:20 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +53 | $23 | $208 | 21 | 10-14 07:43 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +52 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 09-28 10:55 |
| Monthly-Task 0x1d13…3c2f | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-10 04:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | Yes | +27 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-21 10:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | No | +27 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 10-21 10:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xc05e…24ae | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 10-27 15:34 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +24 | $7 | $28 | 13 | 10-27 15:34 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +24 | $24 | $79 | 7 | 10-13 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +22 | $19 | $19 | 5 | 10-18 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bdf…e240 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-14 09:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-05 14:51 |
| Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk 0x05f7…22bc | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-20 09:41 |
| Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk 0x05f7…22bc | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-20 09:41 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 09-28 10:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4cd…c041 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-28 10:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-01 15:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-27 15:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xc05e…24ae | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-22 10:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-21 11:21 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-24 02:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-22 10:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 07:46 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-22 10:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-22 10:31 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-22 10:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-20 07:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-21 11:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a5b…9375 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 10-27 15:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-10 16:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xa58f…cec8 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-10 16:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc05…9a76 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $4 | 2 | 10-03 17:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 15:35:05 | (anonymous) 0x3a5b…9375 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x31a7e8… |
| 10-27 15:35:05 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x31a7e8… |
| 10-27 15:34:12 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xd1aeb1… |
| 10-27 15:34:12 | (anonymous) 0xc05e…24ae | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xade364… |
| 10-27 15:34:12 | (anonymous) 0xc05e…24ae | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x36c1d9… |
| 10-27 15:34:12 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xade364… |
| 10-27 15:34:12 | (anonymous) 0xbceb…0049 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x36c1d9… |
| 10-27 15:34:12 | (anonymous) 0x3a5b…9375 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xd1aeb1… |
| 10-27 15:34:12 | (anonymous) 0xbceb…0049 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xade364… |
| 10-27 15:34:11 | (anonymous) 0xbceb…0049 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe831d6… |
| 10-27 15:34:11 | (anonymous) 0xc05e…24ae | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xe831d6… |
| 10-24 02:02:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x8045db… |
| 10-24 02:02:36 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x8045db… |
| 10-22 10:31:48 | Eager-Ritual 0x31ff…209b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xaa0ad3… |
| 10-22 10:31:48 | (anonymous) 0xc05e…24ae | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xaa0ad3… |
| 10-22 10:31:47 | Eager-Ritual 0x31ff…209b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x78be2c… |
| 10-22 10:31:47 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xc54b0f… |
| 10-22 10:31:47 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6dbe85… |
| 10-22 10:31:47 | (anonymous) 0xc05e…24ae | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc54b0f… |
| 10-22 10:31:47 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x78be2c… |
| 10-22 10:31:47 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x6dbe85… |
| 10-22 10:31:24 | Eager-Ritual 0x31ff…209b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x708ed1… |
| 10-22 10:31:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x708ed1… |
| 10-21 11:21:00 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xc033ed… |
| 10-21 11:21:00 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x244385… |
| 10-21 11:21:00 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x244385… |
| 10-21 11:21:00 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xc033ed… |
| 10-21 10:57:09 | (anonymous) 0xa169…1b73 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf812a4… |
| 10-21 10:57:09 | (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf812a4… |
| 10-21 10:57:09 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x12b56c… |
| 10-21 10:57:09 | (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | No | BUY | 7 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x12b56c… |
| 10-20 09:41:51 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x1ff07b… |
| 10-20 09:41:51 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x266b06… |
| 10-20 09:41:51 | Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk 0x05f7…22bc | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x266b06… |
| 10-20 09:41:51 | Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk 0x05f7…22bc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x1ff07b… |
| 10-20 07:46:29 | (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xfc504c… |
| 10-20 07:46:29 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xfc504c… |
| 10-20 07:46:29 | (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x920afb… |
| 10-20 07:46:29 | (anonymous) 0xa169…1b73 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x920afb… |
| 10-18 20:03:03 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x243e84… |
| 10-18 20:03:03 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | No | SELL | 0 | 72¢ | $0 | 0x1c293c… |
| 10-18 20:03:03 | (anonymous) 0xf9ae…aaa3 | No | BUY | 0 | 72¢ | $0 | 0x1c293c… |
| 10-18 20:03:03 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x243e84… |
| 10-14 09:19:34 | (anonymous) 0x7aa4…c822 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xdca647… |
| 10-14 09:19:34 | (anonymous) 0x5bdf…e240 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xdca647… |
| 10-14 07:43:25 | (anonymous) 0xbceb…0049 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 23¢ | $8 | 0x69293c… |
| 10-14 07:43:25 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 23¢ | $8 | 0x69293c… |
| 10-13 16:37:16 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf09628… |
| 10-13 16:37:16 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf09628… |
| 10-13 16:29:54 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xbd23ae… |
| 10-13 16:29:54 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xbd23ae… |
| 10-13 16:19:12 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xcf98c0… |
| 10-13 16:19:12 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xcf98c0… |
| 10-13 16:11:45 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x7833ac… |
| 10-13 16:11:45 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x7833ac… |
| 10-13 15:11:50 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x2924d5… |
| 10-13 15:11:50 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x2924d5… |
| 10-13 15:04:23 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x05ee0f… |
| 10-13 15:04:23 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x05ee0f… |
| 10-13 14:05:34 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xac6e96… |
| 10-13 14:05:34 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xac6e96… |
| 10-13 13:10:25 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xe1cfd8… |
| 10-13 13:10:25 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0xe1cfd8… |
| 10-13 11:39:55 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x945775… |
| 10-13 11:39:55 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x945775… |
| 10-13 11:34:34 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xf0d529… |
| 10-13 11:34:34 | (anonymous) 0xb678…299e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xf0d529… |
| 10-13 11:34:34 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xf0d529… |
| 10-13 11:34:34 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xf0d529… |
| 10-13 11:29:11 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x7c7bed… |
| 10-13 11:29:11 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x7c7bed… |
| 10-13 11:20:32 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x1765ba… |
| 10-13 11:20:32 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x1765ba… |
| 10-13 11:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x41bdfc… |
| 10-13 11:15:05 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x41bdfc… |
| 10-13 11:09:41 | (anonymous) 0xb678…299e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x648775… |
| 10-13 11:09:41 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x648775… |
| 10-13 11:09:41 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x648775… |
| 10-13 11:04:17 | (anonymous) 0x4019…5506 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x7ca4d7… |
| 10-13 11:04:17 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x7ca4d7… |
| 10-13 05:20:59 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 18¢ | $10 | 0xe726e7… |
| 10-13 05:20:59 | (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 18¢ | $10 | 0xe726e7… |
| 10-11 13:46:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x255a36… |
| 10-11 13:46:54 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x255a36… |
| 10-11 13:01:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc26e52… |
| 10-11 13:01:30 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc26e52… |
| 10-11 10:08:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb7078f… |
| 10-11 10:08:47 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb7078f… |
| 10-11 08:04:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xfbb209… |
| 10-11 08:04:03 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xfbb209… |
| 10-11 06:48:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 15¢ | $12 | 0xda0d85… |
| 10-11 06:48:15 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 78 | 15¢ | $12 | 0xda0d85… |
| 10-11 05:37:45 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 251 | 16¢ | $41 | 0x99c262… |
| 10-11 05:37:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 251 | 16¢ | $41 | 0x99c262… |
| 10-10 00:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x7aa4…c822 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x456a86… |
| 10-10 00:46:10 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | Yes | SELL | 199 | 25¢ | $50 | 0x456a86… |
| 10-10 00:46:10 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x456a86… |
| 10-10 00:46:10 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 139 | 25¢ | $35 | 0x456a86… |
| 10-10 00:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x456a86… |
| 10-10 00:46:10 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x3bef7b… |