Realized P&L
-$1.01K
Unrealized P&L
+$922
Hit rate
2.1%
Resolved
428
Trades
21,439
lifetime
Volume
$195.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$6.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-20
last 10-31 08:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Other
64% 6% -$861
Sports
18% 11% -$64
Politics
12% 0% -$44
Tech
3% 0% -$31
Crypto
2% 0% -$11
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 1091 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +488 $166 91¢ $446 +$280 10-26 04:40
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +461 $128 91¢ $420 +$292 10-25 02:09
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +451 $392 90¢ $408 +$17 10-25 09:47
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $322 82¢ $407 +$85 10-24 19:55
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +480 $250 74¢ $355 +$105 10-25 00:09
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +462 $265 68¢ $312 +$47 10-25 02:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +400 $300 74¢ $294 -$6 10-25 02:53
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +277 $260 95¢ $264 +$4 10-22 12:30
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +294 $197 84¢ $247 +$50 10-25 22:33
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +247 $219 99¢ $244 +$25 10-21 06:00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +235 $95 99¢ $232 +$137 10-06 04:53
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +244 $232 94¢ $229 -$3 10-25 21:12
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +344 $245 62¢ $213 -$32 10-25 00:20
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +200 $144 99¢ $198 +$54 10-01 00:04
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +255 $172 75¢ $190 +$18 10-25 13:41
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +232 $184 80¢ $185 +$0 10-26 03:01
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +188 $180 95¢ $179 -$1 10-22 02:32
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +200 $135 88¢ $175 +$40 10-19 06:18
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +462 $205 32¢ $150 -$55 10-25 02:56
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $145 75¢ $150 +$5 10-25 00:12
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +158 $148 95¢ $150 +$2 10-22 06:22
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No +202 $152 68¢ $138 -$14 10-20 22:01
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +167 $136 82¢ $138 +$2 10-24 19:28
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? Yes +344 $115 38¢ $131 +$16 10-25 00:20
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +140 $113 92¢ $128 +$15 10-19 18:02
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +480 $233 26¢ $125 -$108 10-25 00:09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +220 $160 56¢ $123 -$37 10-19 07:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +120 $108 100¢ $120 +$11 09-22 12:12
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +200 $162 60¢ $120 -$42 10-21 00:43
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +120 $103 99¢ $118 +$15 10-10 23:16