(anonymous) 0x033bac…455fd4
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$286
Unrealized P&L
-$72
Hit rate
53.9%
Resolved
73
Trades
3,063
lifetime
Volume
$51.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$853
25 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 10-27 23:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
85% 63% -$338
Crypto
4% 0% -$2
Tech
4% 40% +$32
Sports
3% 100% +$2
Politics
3% 55% +$20
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 292 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +550 $152 26¢ $140 -$11 10-25 11:43
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -198 -$81 59¢ $-117 -$36 10-22 15:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +525 $123 20¢ $108 -$15 10-24 06:17
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +100 $91 95¢ $95 +$4 10-23 21:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +302 $76 24¢ $71 -$5 10-16 03:56
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -162 -$107 40¢ $-65 +$42 10-24 14:34
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +43 $24 87¢ $37 +$13 10-26 11:52
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +166 $39 20¢ $33 -$6 10-22 06:52
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +44 $17 61¢ $27 +$10 10-01 16:50
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +38 $29 70¢ $26 -$2 10-25 02:34
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +93 $33 22¢ $21 -$12 10-24 19:09
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $32 18¢ $18 -$14 10-21 16:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +35 $18 48¢ $17 -$1 10-22 01:29
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +39 $8 38¢ $14 +$7 10-24 15:21
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? No +40 $6 30¢ $12 +$6 10-14 23:14
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +50 $10 24¢ $12 +$1 10-23 13:06
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +14 $12 80¢ $11 -$1 10-24 15:27
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +45 $11 24¢ $11 +$0 10-25 05:05
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +75 $9 6¢ $4 -$4 10-01 06:42
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +17 $6 20¢ $3 -$3 10-23 02:01
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? Yes +20 $7 13¢ $3 -$5 10-26 12:05
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $4 20¢ $3 -$1 10-21 03:53
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $23 2¢ $2 -$21 10-07 18:56
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? No +90 $24 2¢ $2 -$22 10-22 23:47
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +1 -$4 8¢ $0 +$4 10-21 03:50