Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?
open
Total volume
$23,262
$511 in 24h
Trades
991
Unique wallets
167
Liquidity
$964
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-09-07
last 10-27 00:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.1¢
(top1%: 22% YES on $7.8K
vs crowd: 30% YES on $17.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 36 | $1.9K | $6.7K | $4.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 58 | $2.2K | $4.4K | $2.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 46 | $898 | $1.1K | $175 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $264 | $126 | +$139 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 18 | $1.7K | $6.1K | $4.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $608 | $189 | +$419 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $77 | $8 | +$69 |
| Median | 9 | $35 | $103 | $68 |
| Below median | 29 | $300 | $581 | $281 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 23 | $297 | $671 | $374 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 27 | $642 | $1.4K | $751 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 44 | $1.6K | $3.3K | $1.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubbery-Churn 0x2e3e…abea | No | +2,283 | $1,575 | $1,575 | 1 | 10-04 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | +2,185 | $692 | $692 | 26 | 10-26 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | +1,802 | $1,223 | $1,223 | 19 | 10-26 23:09 |
| Rubbery-Churn 0x2e3e…abea | Yes | +1,300 | $295 | $550 | 20 | 10-05 11:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc10…b8ef | Yes | +1,023 | $178 | $329 | 6 | 10-22 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d58…8679 | Yes | +827 | -$9 | $480 | 8 | 10-14 18:38 |
| Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | +788 | $607 | $1,160 | 3 | 10-18 07:57 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | +776 | $121 | $121 | 4 | 10-07 14:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +758 | $535 | $535 | 21 | 10-26 15:02 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +475 | $539 | $2,920 | 27 | 10-25 22:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +470 | $310 | $564 | 23 | 10-23 12:33 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +464 | $196 | $196 | 14 | 10-23 21:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x88d9…35c7 | Yes | +420 | $112 | $112 | 3 | 10-22 07:11 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +400 | $310 | $310 | 4 | 10-22 14:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +340 | $123 | $123 | 17 | 10-23 01:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +280 | $80 | $106 | 17 | 10-25 04:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +280 | $208 | $208 | 14 | 10-23 21:09 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +270 | $75 | $75 | 4 | 10-23 01:27 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +270 | $200 | $200 | 3 | 10-23 01:27 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | +264 | $80 | $138 | 6 | 10-22 13:01 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | +264 | $214 | $457 | 7 | 10-23 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +232 | $52 | $71 | 14 | 10-26 09:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +232 | $188 | $247 | 12 | 10-23 21:09 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +210 | $141 | $181 | 7 | 10-26 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d58…4205 | Yes | +200 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 10-07 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +200 | $73 | $75 | 12 | 10-18 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +200 | $131 | $131 | 10 | 10-18 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d58…4205 | No | +200 | $170 | $170 | 1 | 10-07 14:32 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | +192 | $127 | $198 | 19 | 10-23 01:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +162 | $36 | $36 | 12 | 10-21 02:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +162 | $127 | $131 | 12 | 10-21 02:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0ed…87b1 | Yes | +148 | $24 | $24 | 4 | 10-07 14:33 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +130 | $47 | $47 | 9 | 10-06 16:57 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +127 | $101 | $104 | 8 | 10-21 02:55 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +127 | $28 | $50 | 9 | 10-21 02:55 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +110 | $46 | $88 | 10 | 10-25 15:00 |
| Unlined-Pole 0x49f2…d7b4 | No | +102 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 10-21 02:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0ce…ee0b | Yes | +100 | $28 | $61 | 4 | 10-05 19:58 |
| Feisty-Type 0x593b…a941 | Yes | +100 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 10-04 20:41 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | +100 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 10-23 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fca…90de | No | +100 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 10-22 12:59 |
| Feisty-Type 0x593b…a941 | No | +100 | $77 | $101 | 5 | 10-04 20:41 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | +100 | $62 | $62 | 2 | 10-23 12:33 |
| Practical-Advent 0xf519…906b | No | +82 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 10-24 00:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | +81 | $24 | $24 | 4 | 10-07 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | Yes | +80 | $25 | $25 | 4 | 10-06 16:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | No | +80 | $57 | $57 | 5 | 10-06 16:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | +80 | $59 | $59 | 4 | 10-07 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | No | +74 | $51 | $255 | 9 | 10-21 02:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xa742…9856 | Yes | +74 | $13 | $86 | 6 | 10-25 15:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | +70 | $31 | $51 | 6 | 10-24 00:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +70 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 10-23 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +69 | $47 | $99 | 7 | 10-13 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +69 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 09-24 12:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +62 | $40 | $168 | 21 | 10-26 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +62 | $43 | $115 | 7 | 10-26 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cfc…7f6b | Yes | +60 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 10-23 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf6…3ed9 | No | +60 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 10-13 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cfc…7f6b | No | +60 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 10-23 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | +57 | $20 | $31 | 3 | 10-26 09:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 00:01:15 | (anonymous) 0xc975…1983 | No | SELL | 16 | 57¢ | $9 | 0x3ad046… |
| 10-27 00:01:15 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 43¢ | $7 | 0x3ad046… |
| 10-26 23:09:54 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x0ede32… |
| 10-26 23:09:54 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 13 | 60¢ | $8 | 0x507ffe… |
| 10-26 23:09:54 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0x507ffe… |
| 10-26 23:09:54 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | BUY | 37 | 60¢ | $22 | 0x507ffe… |
| 10-26 23:09:54 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | No | SELL | 100 | 60¢ | $60 | 0x507ffe… |
| 10-26 23:09:54 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x0ede32… |
| 10-26 15:50:30 | (anonymous) 0x9d36…3a47 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 38¢ | $21 | 0x705a05… |
| 10-26 15:50:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 55 | 62¢ | $34 | 0x705a05… |
| 10-26 15:02:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 45 | 59¢ | $27 | 0x5e8c21… |
| 10-26 15:02:39 | (anonymous) 0x9d36…3a47 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 41¢ | $19 | 0x5e8c21… |
| 10-26 14:52:38 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x503370… |
| 10-26 14:52:38 | Acceptable-Asset 0x0032…731a | No | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x8a2ceb… |
| 10-26 14:52:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 11 | 63¢ | $7 | 0x8b3767… |
| 10-26 14:52:38 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x8a2ceb… |
| 10-26 14:52:38 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 50 | 63¢ | $32 | 0x503370… |
| 10-26 14:52:38 | Acceptable-Asset 0x0032…731a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x009ba7… |
| 10-26 14:52:38 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x8b3767… |
| 10-26 14:52:38 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 155 | 37¢ | $57 | 0x503370… |
| 10-26 14:52:38 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x009ba7… |
| 10-26 14:52:38 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | No | BUY | 100 | 63¢ | $63 | 0x503370… |
| 10-26 09:50:30 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 32¢ | $10 | 0x36bccb… |
| 10-26 09:50:30 | (anonymous) 0x9d36…3a47 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 32¢ | $10 | 0x36bccb… |
| 10-26 09:45:53 | (anonymous) 0x9d36…3a47 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xa3bab4… |
| 10-26 09:45:53 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 32¢ | $10 | 0xa3bab4… |
| 10-26 09:45:53 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xa3bab4… |
| 10-26 09:45:26 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0x5a93f9… |
| 10-26 09:45:26 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 14 | 31¢ | $4 | 0x5a93f9… |
| 10-26 09:45:26 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x5a93f9… |
| 10-26 09:45:26 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 31¢ | $19 | 0x5a93f9… |
| 10-25 22:05:48 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | SELL | 29 | 69¢ | $20 | 0xfec3fe… |
| 10-25 22:05:48 | Truthful-Level 0xc427…6f4d | Yes | SELL | 1,051 | 30¢ | $316 | 0xfec3fe… |
| 10-25 22:05:48 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 1,022 | 70¢ | $715 | 0xfec3fe… |
| 10-25 22:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x06fb…bfdb | No | SELL | 8 | 68¢ | $6 | 0x48ee40… |
| 10-25 22:00:03 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x48ee40… |
| 10-25 19:39:12 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 23 | 70¢ | $16 | 0xad12ca… |
| 10-25 19:39:12 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0xad12ca… |
| 10-25 19:39:12 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 30¢ | $8 | 0xad12ca… |
| 10-25 15:00:06 | (anonymous) 0xa742…9856 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 30¢ | $12 | 0x74c5dc… |
| 10-25 15:00:06 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x74c5dc… |
| 10-25 15:00:06 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x74c5dc… |
| 10-25 08:40:21 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 31¢ | $14 | 0x4341ae… |
| 10-25 08:40:21 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | SELL | 45 | 31¢ | $14 | 0x4341ae… |
| 10-25 06:41:06 | (anonymous) 0x8a1b…b4f5 | No | SELL | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0xcf5f7e… |
| 10-25 06:41:06 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xcf5f7e… |
| 10-25 04:53:57 | (anonymous) 0xe116…0fe5 | No | SELL | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0xd76fc4… |
| 10-25 04:53:57 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xd76fc4… |
| 10-25 04:53:57 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | SELL | 40 | 33¢ | $13 | 0xd76fc4… |
| 10-25 04:51:21 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x275e80… |
| 10-25 04:51:21 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | BUY | 255 | 62¢ | $157 | 0x275e80… |
| 10-25 04:51:21 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | BUY | 17 | 37¢ | $6 | 0xeb2573… |
| 10-25 04:51:21 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x275e80… |
| 10-25 04:51:21 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xeb2573… |
| 10-25 04:51:21 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 39¢ | $9 | 0x275e80… |
| 10-25 04:51:21 | (anonymous) 0x9d36…3a47 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xeb2573… |
| 10-25 04:51:21 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x275e80… |
| 10-25 04:51:21 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 39¢ | $12 | 0x275e80… |
| 10-25 04:51:21 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xb84aa5… |
| 10-25 04:51:21 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0x275e80… |
| 10-25 04:51:21 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x275e80… |
| 10-25 04:51:21 | (anonymous) 0x9d36…3a47 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 37¢ | $19 | 0x275e80… |
| 10-25 04:51:21 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x275e80… |
| 10-25 04:51:21 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0xb84aa5… |
| 10-25 00:34:21 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 40¢ | $15 | 0x7f74b7… |
| 10-25 00:34:21 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 37 | 40¢ | $15 | 0x7f74b7… |
| 10-24 23:34:11 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 40¢ | $15 | 0x2f5e57… |
| 10-24 23:34:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 37 | 60¢ | $22 | 0x2f5e57… |
| 10-24 21:11:50 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 49 | 66¢ | $33 | 0x66c3cf… |
| 10-24 21:11:50 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | SELL | 49 | 66¢ | $33 | 0x66c3cf… |
| 10-24 14:22:35 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 32¢ | $14 | 0xe38d96… |
| 10-24 14:22:35 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 32¢ | $14 | 0xe38d96… |
| 10-24 14:04:00 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 32¢ | $16 | 0x08b823… |
| 10-24 14:04:00 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 32¢ | $16 | 0x08b823… |
| 10-24 00:23:42 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | SELL | 82 | 65¢ | $53 | 0x89c30a… |
| 10-24 00:23:42 | Practical-Advent 0xf519…906b | No | BUY | 82 | 65¢ | $53 | 0x89c30a… |
| 10-24 00:23:39 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 50 | 68¢ | $34 | 0xb5722c… |
| 10-24 00:23:39 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 201 | 32¢ | $64 | 0xb5722c… |
| 10-24 00:23:39 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | BUY | 50 | 67¢ | $34 | 0x2a7f52… |
| 10-24 00:23:39 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x527250… |
| 10-24 00:23:39 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 33¢ | $18 | 0x527250… |
| 10-24 00:23:39 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 50 | 33¢ | $16 | 0x2a7f52… |
| 10-24 00:23:39 | (anonymous) 0xbb10…523d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0xb5722c… |
| 10-24 00:23:39 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 50 | 68¢ | $34 | 0xb5722c… |
| 10-24 00:23:39 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xb5722c… |
| 10-24 00:23:39 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | BUY | 32 | 67¢ | $21 | 0x527250… |
| 10-24 00:23:39 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | BUY | 54 | 68¢ | $37 | 0xb5722c… |
| 10-24 00:23:39 | (anonymous) 0xe116…0fe5 | No | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xb5722c… |
| 10-23 21:24:42 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 31¢ | $11 | 0x0d2af8… |
| 10-23 21:24:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 35 | 69¢ | $24 | 0x0d2af8… |
| 10-23 21:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x96f68c… |
| 10-23 21:14:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x96f68c… |
| 10-23 21:14:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 15 | 68¢ | $10 | 0x492065… |
| 10-23 21:14:17 | (anonymous) 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x492065… |
| 10-23 21:14:12 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 154 | 36¢ | $55 | 0x0a3f8a… |
| 10-23 21:14:12 | Truthful-Level 0xc427…6f4d | Yes | SELL | 154 | 36¢ | $55 | 0x0a3f8a… |
| 10-23 21:10:27 | (anonymous) 0xa742…9856 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0x1f1857… |
| 10-23 21:10:27 | (anonymous) 0xbb10…523d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x1f1857… |
| 10-23 21:10:27 | (anonymous) 0x35f7…c68a | No | SELL | 38 | 62¢ | $24 | 0x1f1857… |
| 10-23 21:10:27 | Truthful-Level 0xc427…6f4d | Yes | SELL | 108 | 38¢ | $41 | 0x1f1857… |