(anonymous) 0xa742e8…7e9856
bot hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.65K
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
79.5%
Resolved
175
Trades
4,296
lifetime
Volume
$55.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$1.04K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-19
last 10-27 00:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
59% 63% +$1,289
Politics
30% 35% -$71
Crypto
4% 50% -$1
Sports
4% 50% +$448
Tech
3% 67% -$19
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 346 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +262 $115 66¢ $172 +$57 10-25 15:00
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +256 $134 37¢ $95 -$39 10-25 02:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +100 $78 78¢ $78 +$0 10-24 14:25
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +80 $29 84¢ $67 +$38 09-30 12:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +300 $70 22¢ $64 -$5 10-23 19:12
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +245 $67 26¢ $64 -$3 10-23 03:48
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +58 $58 99¢ $58 +$0 09-29 21:34
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +58 $43 98¢ $57 +$14 09-29 21:34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +50 $43 96¢ $48 +$5 10-15 04:50
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +265 $60 17¢ $45 -$15 10-24 15:18
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +50 $38 79¢ $40 +$2 10-23 13:06
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +41 $26 83¢ $34 +$8 10-26 08:51
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +27 $23 91¢ $25 +$2 10-26 12:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +46 $22 52¢ $24 +$2 10-22 01:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +46 $21 48¢ $22 +$1 10-21 11:30
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +20 $14 98¢ $20 +$6 09-28 13:43
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $16 77¢ $19 +$4 10-23 01:38
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +23 $18 75¢ $17 $0 10-25 14:34
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +50 $13 32¢ $16 +$3 10-08 15:06
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? No +80 $50 16¢ $13 -$37 09-30 12:34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +100 $16 13¢ $13 -$4 10-23 21:43
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? Yes +200 $23 4¢ $8 -$15 10-23 06:40
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +43 $4 17¢ $7 +$3 10-24 15:21
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $6 13¢ $6 +$0 10-21 11:17
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +75 $10 8¢ $6 -$4 10-01 16:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +12 $6 50¢ $6 +$0 10-21 13:51
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +23 $10 25¢ $6 -$4 10-22 06:46
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +75 $8 7¢ $5 -$3 10-01 03:29
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +8 $4 63¢ $5 +$1 09-24 07:26
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +91 $27 5¢ $4 -$23 10-25 02:53