Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?
open
Total volume
$3,138
$1,407 in 24h
Trades
176
Unique wallets
52
Liquidity
$605
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-10-24
last 10-26 19:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+13.9¢
(top1%: 80% YES on $686
vs crowd: 66% YES on $2.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $735 | $420 | +$315 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $436 | $285 | +$151 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $340 | $71 | +$270 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $24 | $9 | +$15 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $549 | $137 | +$412 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $119 | $31 | +$89 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $28 | $7 | +$21 |
| Below median | 8 | $165 | $105 | +$59 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $159 | $78 | +$80 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $267 | $195 | +$72 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 12 | $249 | $231 | +$17 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | +343 | $123 | $123 | 1 | 10-26 14:17 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | +303 | $175 | $714 | 2 | 10-26 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x88d9…35c7 | No | +200 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 10-25 05:29 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +183 | $56 | $56 | 6 | 10-25 21:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +140 | $91 | $91 | 2 | 10-26 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +140 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 10-26 14:17 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +133 | $77 | $77 | 7 | 10-26 14:21 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +115 | $37 | $37 | 4 | 10-26 05:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | No | +111 | $45 | $51 | 7 | 10-25 05:29 |
| Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | +100 | $71 | $71 | 1 | 10-26 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xbcc4…fbde | Yes | +80 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 10-26 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | Yes | +80 | $47 | $82 | 6 | 10-26 14:17 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +70 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 10-26 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | +70 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 10-26 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | +70 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 10-26 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x53b3…7f9a | Yes | +54 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 10-26 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | Yes | +50 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 10-24 23:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xa742…9856 | Yes | +50 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-25 00:26 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | +50 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 10-26 01:30 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | +50 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-26 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | Yes | +46 | $30 | $33 | 2 | 10-26 16:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | +46 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 10-26 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +40 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 10-24 23:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +40 | $20 | $44 | 5 | 10-25 05:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | +34 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 10-26 14:17 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +31 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-25 00:11 |
| Pointless-Center 0x4934…5951 | Yes | +30 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 10-26 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +30 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-26 14:17 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | +28 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-26 16:20 |
| Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | No | +28 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-25 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x53b3…7f9a | No | +27 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-25 00:23 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +25 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 10-24 23:07 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +25 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-24 23:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | +20 | $9 | $9 | 4 | 10-24 23:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xc671…a37a | Yes | +20 | $11 | $12 | 2 | 10-24 23:48 |
| Scary-Holder 0xdc53…cb5e | Yes | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-26 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xc671…a37a | No | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-24 23:07 |
| Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | +19 | $7 | $100 | 5 | 10-26 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +19 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-24 23:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +19 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-24 23:07 |
| Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | +11 | $5 | $7 | 2 | 10-26 16:31 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +10 | $4 | $22 | 3 | 10-26 19:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xb88e…f80f | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-26 14:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bdf…e240 | Yes | +3 | -$2 | $84 | 6 | 10-26 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-26 00:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 19:49:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x8aa853… |
| 10-26 19:49:45 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 56¢ | $11 | 0x8aa853… |
| 10-26 16:43:09 | (anonymous) 0x5bdf…e240 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x51f5d5… |
| 10-26 16:43:09 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 56¢ | $11 | 0xb5091e… |
| 10-26 16:43:09 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 19 | 44¢ | $8 | 0xb5091e… |
| 10-26 16:43:09 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 1 | 44¢ | $0 | 0x51f5d5… |
| 10-26 16:31:42 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | SELL | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xe7714d… |
| 10-26 16:31:42 | (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 53¢ | $2 | 0xe7714d… |
| 10-26 16:20:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 28 | 44¢ | $13 | 0xb560be… |
| 10-26 16:20:03 | (anonymous) 0x5bdf…e240 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0xe46a07… |
| 10-26 16:20:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0xe46a07… |
| 10-26 16:20:03 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 56¢ | $16 | 0xb560be… |
| 10-26 14:28:09 | Pointless-Center 0x4934…5951 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 56¢ | $8 | 0x39e046… |
| 10-26 14:28:09 | (anonymous) 0x6e8a…8343 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 56¢ | $8 | 0x39e046… |
| 10-26 14:21:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x7043e7… |
| 10-26 14:21:32 | (anonymous) 0xb88e…f80f | No | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x7043e7… |
| 10-26 14:17:39 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | Yes | BUY | 8 | 58¢ | $5 | 0x6d0ffa… |
| 10-26 14:17:39 | (anonymous) 0x6e8a…8343 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 58¢ | $5 | 0x6d0ffa… |
| 10-26 14:17:38 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | SELL | 22 | 58¢ | $12 | 0xb62caf… |
| 10-26 14:17:38 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | Yes | BUY | 22 | 58¢ | $12 | 0xb62caf… |
| 10-26 14:17:32 | Pointless-Center 0x4934…5951 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 56¢ | $8 | 0xeae366… |
| 10-26 14:17:32 | (anonymous) 0x6e8a…8343 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 56¢ | $8 | 0xeae366… |
| 10-26 14:17:30 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | SELL | 38 | 62¢ | $24 | 0xec0fba… |
| 10-26 14:17:30 | (anonymous) 0x6e8a…8343 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 62¢ | $24 | 0xec0fba… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0x590c2f… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | Scary-Holder 0xdc53…cb5e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xf4f5db… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | (anonymous) 0xc32e…23bd | No | SELL | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x590c2f… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x590c2f… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 64¢ | $21 | 0x590c2f… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | SELL | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x590c2f… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x590c2f… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | BUY | 27 | 39¢ | $11 | 0x3f4727… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | BUY | 19 | 39¢ | $7 | 0x38727f… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x53b3…7f9a | Yes | BUY | 27 | 63¢ | $17 | 0xf4f5db… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | BUY | 70 | 64¢ | $45 | 0x590c2f… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 64¢ | $31 | 0x590c2f… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 343 | 36¢ | $123 | 0x590c2f… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | Yes | BUY | 27 | 61¢ | $16 | 0x3f4727… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x38727f… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 70 | 38¢ | $26 | 0xf4f5db… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x590c2f… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | Yes | BUY | 23 | 61¢ | $14 | 0xf4f5db… |
| 10-26 14:17:27 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 60 | 64¢ | $38 | 0x590c2f… |
| 10-26 05:29:38 | (anonymous) 0xc980…7274 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 66¢ | $17 | 0xa064bd… |
| 10-26 05:29:38 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 45 | 34¢ | $15 | 0xa064bd… |
| 10-26 05:29:38 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | BUY | 70 | 66¢ | $46 | 0xa064bd… |
| 10-26 01:43:00 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 71¢ | $36 | 0xe2964a… |
| 10-26 01:43:00 | (anonymous) 0xc980…7274 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 72¢ | $18 | 0xe2964a… |
| 10-26 01:43:00 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | Yes | SELL | 25 | 71¢ | $18 | 0xe2964a… |
| 10-26 01:43:00 | Tired-Mezzanine 0x136b…a4ff | No | SELL | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x3490af… |
| 10-26 01:43:00 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x3490af… |
| 10-26 01:30:44 | (anonymous) 0xc980…7274 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 70¢ | $35 | 0x88743a… |
| 10-26 01:30:44 | (anonymous) 0xbcc4…fbde | Yes | BUY | 80 | 71¢ | $57 | 0x88743a… |
| 10-26 01:30:44 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 71¢ | $71 | 0x88743a… |
| 10-26 01:30:44 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 71¢ | $36 | 0x88743a… |
| 10-26 01:30:44 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | SELL | 380 | 71¢ | $269 | 0x88743a… |
| 10-26 01:30:44 | Tired-Mezzanine 0x136b…a4ff | No | SELL | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0x88743a… |
| 10-26 01:30:44 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 71¢ | $36 | 0x88743a… |
| 10-26 01:30:42 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | Yes | BUY | 25 | 66¢ | $16 | 0xf98c0b… |
| 10-26 01:30:42 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | SELL | 25 | 34¢ | $8 | 0xf98c0b… |
| 10-26 01:30:42 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | BUY | 50 | 34¢ | $17 | 0xf98c0b… |
| 10-26 00:51:56 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | No | BUY | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0xb2a852… |
| 10-26 00:51:56 | (anonymous) 0xbb10…523d | No | SELL | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0xb2a852… |
| 10-26 00:19:42 | (anonymous) 0xbb10…523d | No | BUY | 1 | 28¢ | $0 | 0xbe7f06… |
| 10-26 00:19:42 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | No | SELL | 51 | 28¢ | $14 | 0xbe7f06… |
| 10-26 00:19:42 | Tired-Mezzanine 0x136b…a4ff | No | BUY | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0xbe7f06… |
| 10-25 21:59:48 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0x09fa18… |
| 10-25 21:59:48 | Tired-Mezzanine 0x136b…a4ff | No | BUY | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0x09fa18… |
| 10-25 21:59:48 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | SELL | 100 | 29¢ | $29 | 0x09fa18… |
| 10-25 21:53:29 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x4e2e14… |
| 10-25 21:53:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x4e2e14… |
| 10-25 06:29:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x12796f… |
| 10-25 06:29:48 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | SELL | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x12796f… |
| 10-25 05:40:03 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | SELL | 40 | 29¢ | $12 | 0x2526d9… |
| 10-25 05:40:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 40 | 29¢ | $12 | 0x2526d9… |
| 10-25 05:31:05 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x107891… |
| 10-25 05:31:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x107891… |
| 10-25 05:30:00 | (anonymous) 0x2a6f…2351 | No | SELL | 28 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x9dbdc1… |
| 10-25 05:30:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 28 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x9dbdc1… |
| 10-25 05:29:48 | (anonymous) 0x2a6f…2351 | No | SELL | 22 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xb58fe9… |
| 10-25 05:29:48 | Impressionable-Term 0x7994…c512 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 72¢ | $16 | 0xb58fe9… |
| 10-25 05:29:38 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 70 | 35¢ | $24 | 0x2cc972… |
| 10-25 05:29:38 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x2cc972… |
| 10-25 05:29:38 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x2cc972… |
| 10-25 05:29:38 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | No | BUY | 50 | 36¢ | $18 | 0x2cc972… |
| 10-25 05:29:38 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 25 | 34¢ | $8 | 0x2cc972… |
| 10-25 05:29:38 | (anonymous) 0x2a6f…2351 | No | BUY | 50 | 34¢ | $17 | 0x2cc972… |
| 10-25 05:29:38 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | BUY | 683 | 65¢ | $445 | 0x2cc972… |
| 10-25 05:29:38 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x2cc972… |
| 10-25 05:29:38 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x2cc972… |
| 10-25 05:29:38 | (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | No | BUY | 43 | 34¢ | $15 | 0x2cc972… |
| 10-25 05:29:38 | (anonymous) 0xc32e…23bd | No | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x2cc972… |
| 10-25 05:29:38 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | BUY | 100 | 35¢ | $35 | 0x2cc972… |
| 10-25 05:29:38 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | BUY | 25 | 35¢ | $9 | 0x2cc972… |
| 10-25 05:29:38 | (anonymous) 0x88d9…35c7 | No | BUY | 200 | 35¢ | $70 | 0x2cc972… |
| 10-25 02:45:02 | (anonymous) 0xf085…02af | Yes | SELL | 0 | 65¢ | $0 | 0x1b17fb… |
| 10-25 02:45:02 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | SELL | 0 | 35¢ | $0 | 0x1b17fb… |
| 10-25 02:43:35 | (anonymous) 0xf085…02af | Yes | SELL | 29 | 66¢ | $19 | 0xbfd59d… |
| 10-25 02:43:35 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | No | SELL | 29 | 34¢ | $10 | 0xbfd59d… |
| 10-25 01:37:57 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | No | BUY | 30 | 36¢ | $11 | 0x8d7055… |