Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$102

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

709

Trades

2,012

lifetime

Volume

$7.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-13

last 10-29 23:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

42% 44% -$32

Politics

32% 32% -$51

Crypto

24% 77% -$20

Sports

1% 41% +$2

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 239 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+31	$10	16¢	$5	-$5	10-30 00:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	+65	$9	3¢	$2	-$7	10-30 00:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	60¢	$0	$0	09-06 22:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	26	$173	365	365	+0	open	—	10-26 05:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	18	$152	91	91	+0	open	—	09-10 08:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	32	$108	433	347	+85	Yes	-$9	09-14 20:58
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	50	$103	101	98	+3	Yes	-$2	09-14 17:53
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	6	$84	66	66	+0	open	—	10-27 15:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	19	$74	75	75	+0	open	—	09-10 16:04
Iran Nuke before 2027?	21	$72	38	38	+0	open	—	10-26 05:27
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	2	$67	40	40	+0	open	—	08-10 10:05
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	51	$66	122	121	+1	Yes	-$5	09-10 16:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	19	$65	82	82	+0	open	—	10-26 17:51
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	15	$63	73	53	+20	Yes	-$3	09-14 17:30
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	8	$61	58	58	+0	open	—	10-26 05:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-06 16:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-06 16:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	08-06 16:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	23	$58	142	142	+0	open	—	09-10 16:30
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	2	$55	32	32	+0	open	—	10-26 05:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	10	$54	64	64	+0	open	—	10-26 17:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	10	$54	35	35	+0	open	—	10-27 15:35
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	11	$53	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	09-13 11:29
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	12	$51	69	39	+30	No	+$5	09-12 14:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	7	$51	107	107	+0	open	—	10-26 05:31
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?	2	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	09-13 11:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	12	$46	70	35	+36	No	+$7	09-12 11:40
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	7	$45	46	46	+0	open	—	10-26 17:51
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	2	$43	56	56	+0	open	—	10-26 14:42
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	4	$42	26	26	+0	No	$0	09-12 14:41
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$42	42	42	+0	open	—	08-10 10:05
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	4	$42	77	77	+0	open	—	10-26 16:13
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	19	$42	75	75	+0	open	—	09-07 05:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:38:25	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on November 2?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0xfd515a…
10-30 00:38:25	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on November 2?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe7a9ee…
10-30 00:38:24	Democratic Senate odds <60% on November 2?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0xa4fdc0…
10-30 00:27:34	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e9fb9…
10-30 00:27:33	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x3e4456…
10-30 00:27:31	Democratic Senate odds <60% on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x1ebc84…
10-30 00:06:18	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x33caf5…
10-30 00:05:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	29	22¢	$6	0x7cde46…
10-30 00:05:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x73c46a…
10-30 00:04:22	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?	No	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x9711de…
10-29 23:33:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	60	28¢	$17	0xa35ca7…
10-29 23:32:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x6545de…
10-29 23:32:34	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?	No	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0xdddf7d…
10-27 15:35:14	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xf6fb76…
10-27 15:35:14	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?	No	SELL	22	86¢	$19	0xc548f8…
10-27 15:35:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	25	79¢	$20	0xb8e8e1…
10-27 15:35:12	Will Raphaël Glucksmann receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	22	74¢	$16	0x77c0fa…
10-27 15:35:12	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x24281d…
10-27 15:35:11	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	35¢	$12	0xf42ac7…
10-27 15:35:11	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x6018df…
10-27 15:35:11	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x5ea202…
10-27 15:35:09	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	82¢	$20	0xfb0807…
10-27 15:35:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	65¢	$18	0x6245ff…
10-27 15:35:09	Will Vox win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	21	73¢	$15	0x2a4ca6…
10-27 14:07:03	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x9e45e3…
10-27 14:06:51	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x87ec63…
10-27 13:59:08	Will Raphaël Glucksmann receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x306a7c…
10-27 13:58:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x15c893…
10-27 13:57:51	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x893545…
10-27 13:57:32	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xba16e0…
10-27 13:54:20	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4a9f37…
10-27 13:54:11	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	41¢	$14	0xe7ed9f…
10-27 13:53:45	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x3ee3dd…
10-27 13:53:30	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	76¢	$21	0x74df08…
10-27 13:52:53	Will Vox win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x84b8dd…
10-26 17:51:57	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?	Yes	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x3d955a…
10-26 17:51:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	59	37¢	$22	0xe69a4c…
10-26 17:51:56	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x8ee3d8…
10-26 17:51:56	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x70bb79…
10-26 17:51:54	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x667da2…
10-26 17:51:53	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc323ad…
10-26 17:45:44	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x4babe2…
10-26 17:37:26	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xcc21f1…
10-26 17:22:29	Will PP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	31	14¢	$4	0x61f07f…
10-26 17:10:45	Will PP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	31	25¢	$8	0xc5dcc3…
10-26 16:43:56	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0xbfcb80…
10-26 16:43:51	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x0c195c…
10-26 16:34:20	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	No	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x176f1c…
10-26 16:16:17	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x09ed25…
10-26 16:13:15	Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	26¢	$9	0xca2350…
10-26 16:01:32	Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	26¢	$9	0xc509a6…
10-26 16:01:32	Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x9489dd…
10-26 16:01:29	Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	29¢	$22	0x3cd204…
10-26 15:51:11	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x880579…
10-26 15:40:36	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x64771d…
10-26 15:18:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	59	38¢	$22	0xdf6e05…
10-26 15:04:14	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x6d5698…
10-26 14:45:18	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0x1d6d69…
10-26 14:45:17	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0xdf40be…
10-26 14:42:11	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	56	36¢	$20	0xbcad71…
10-26 14:40:09	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	No	SELL	33	48¢	$16	0x159544…
10-26 14:31:12	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	42¢	$23	0x07fc45…
10-26 14:28:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0x39e046…
10-26 14:27:03	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	44	53¢	$23	0x0d7ae7…
10-26 14:17:39	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x6d0ffa…
10-26 14:17:32	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0xeae366…
10-26 14:17:30	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	62¢	$24	0xec0fba…
10-26 14:10:09	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0x4b47cb…
10-26 14:08:09	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	No	SELL	48	10¢	$5	0xe13b3a…
10-26 13:58:51	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x24173e…
10-26 13:58:21	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1234ee…
10-26 13:58:06	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	No	SELL	48	11¢	$5	0x527d46…
10-26 13:58:05	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	No	BUY	95	17¢	$16	0xe50947…
10-26 05:31:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x4767a1…
10-26 05:31:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	35	9¢	$3	0x1d425a…
10-26 05:29:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xc4a8fd…
10-26 05:27:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x73bbbc…
10-26 05:27:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x2b7ad8…
10-26 05:27:39	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xfeb2d2…
10-26 05:27:39	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xfe64d2…
10-26 05:27:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0xbc733e…
10-26 05:27:39	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	32	88¢	$28	0x914b7f…
10-26 05:27:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0x65ddb0…
10-26 05:27:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?	No	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x3a8920…
10-26 05:27:36	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x73b510…
09-15 01:55:13	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x7a882e…
09-15 01:54:18	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	16	48¢	$8	0x55903d…
09-15 00:21:33	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0xa255c1…
09-14 23:28:18	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x380410…
09-14 23:28:16	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6,960	0¢	$14	0x709af2…
09-14 22:50:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	66	21¢	$14	0x03c9df…
09-14 21:55:09	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,102	0¢	$4	0x850c92…
09-14 21:49:46	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4841a0…
09-14 21:49:37	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9e8586…
09-14 20:58:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0xa1e5ba…
09-14 19:01:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x494472…
09-14 18:38:04	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xbbe788…
09-14 17:53:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0ccb2e…
09-14 17:33:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x328982…
09-14 17:30:01	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xe35f54…