Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$130
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
2,991
lifetime
Volume
$467.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$156
Open exposure
$4.21K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-10 00:16
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
82%
—
—
Other
18%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk
• peak 250 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 53 | $30.5K | 20,906 | 20,044 | +862 | open | — | 02-27 16:46 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 88 | $23.7K | 19,788 | 15,815 | +3,973 | open | — | 01-24 12:26 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 174 | $23.3K | 33,468 | 22,285 | +11,183 | open | — | 02-28 07:53 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | 59 | $23.1K | 23,334 | 18,976 | +4,358 | open | — | 02-28 06:17 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 27 | $20.7K | 11,760 | 11,760 | -0 | open | — | 03-28 06:43 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 41 | $15.2K | 10,031 | 6,254 | +3,777 | open | — | 04-06 03:53 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 15 | 7 | $12.5K | 7,055 | 7,055 | +0 | open | — | 03-12 03:08 |
| will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026 | 67 | $12.2K | 11,336 | 6,932 | +4,404 | open | — | 03-08 16:13 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | 42 | $10.9K | 17,769 | 17,448 | +321 | open | — | 01-29 11:55 |
| will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314 | 76 | $10.8K | 9,417 | 8,154 | +1,263 | open | — | 01-29 11:56 |
| nothing ever happens khamenei | 13 | $10.1K | 5,755 | 5,755 | +0 | open | — | 03-01 02:26 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | 47 | $10.1K | 16,395 | 20,443 | -4,048 | open | — | 02-27 16:51 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026? | 26 | $8.9K | 12,539 | 4,117 | +8,422 | open | — | 02-28 06:17 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 6 | 4 | $8.8K | 4,720 | 4,720 | +0 | open | — | 03-04 07:23 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 11 | $8.7K | 7,555 | 3,778 | +3,777 | open | — | 04-06 02:46 |
| will the us next strike iran on january 16 2026 et 766 | 8 | $8.5K | 4,395 | 4,395 | +0 | open | — | 01-16 14:09 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 74 | $8.2K | 14,271 | 5,121 | +9,150 | open | — | 02-28 07:03 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: March | 25 | $7.3K | 5,670 | 5,465 | +205 | open | — | 04-01 03:05 |
| will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842 | 18 | $7.3K | 5,938 | 5,965 | -27 | open | — | 01-31 03:46 |
| will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531 | 21 | $6.7K | 8,842 | 725 | +8,117 | open | — | 03-02 10:25 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7 | 6 | $6.5K | 3,350 | 3,350 | +0 | open | — | 03-05 02:29 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | 19 | $6.2K | 4,384 | 4,384 | +0 | open | — | 04-14 02:33 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 2 | 4 | $6.0K | 2,913 | 3,333 | -420 | open | — | 03-02 02:21 |
| us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612 | 7 | $6.0K | 6,744 | 0 | +6,744 | open | — | 01-15 11:55 |
| will another country strike iran by march 31 833 | 22 | $5.9K | 3,773 | 3,773 | +0 | open | — | 03-03 14:18 |
| will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219 | 3 | $5.4K | 2,757 | 2,757 | +0 | open | — | 01-18 10:40 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 10 | $5.3K | 3,091 | 3,091 | +0 | open | — | 04-17 10:01 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31 | 6 | $5.2K | 2,847 | 2,847 | +0 | open | — | 03-29 03:42 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 33 | $5.0K | 4,765 | 4,707 | +58 | open | — | 01-31 03:39 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 21 | $4.7K | 6,416 | 186 | +6,230 | open | — | 01-16 14:09 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | 174 | $16.9M | 32,732 | 06-10 03:50 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | 173 | $983.0K | 18,813 | 06-10 03:02 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | 151 | $18.3K | 3,792 | 06-10 03:34 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | 139 | $395.5K | 31,605 | 06-01 03:49 |
| Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389 | 134 | $307.5K | 36,451 | 06-10 02:56 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | 133 | $314.2K | 19,906 | 06-10 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | 133 | $7.60K | 4,377 | 06-10 04:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2 | 130 | $186.3K | 17,590 | 03-28 16:56 |