Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$513

Unrealized P&L

-$340

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

5,207

Trades

14,298

lifetime

Volume

$211.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$4.93K

10 positions

First seen

2026-08-10

last 10-27 17:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 65% +$1,749

Other

28% 29% -$973

Politics

17% 19% -$280

Tech

0% 9% -$32

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 18% +$49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 1308 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+2,363	$2,171	92¢	$2.2K	+$0	10-27 16:51
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	+1,824	$1,641	92¢	$1.7K	+$27	10-26 20:12
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	+679	$674	58¢	$394	-$280	10-27 11:48
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+679	$264	42¢	$285	+$22	10-27 10:58
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	+2,363	$207	8¢	$193	-$14	10-27 16:51
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	+1,824	$253	8¢	$155	-$98	10-26 20:42
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	+62	$58	92¢	$57	$0	10-27 04:57
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	+62	$5	8¢	$5	$0	10-27 04:56
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+1	-$4	68¢	$1	+$4	10-22 02:37
Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	+9	$0	1¢	$0	$0	10-26 13:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	18	$2.9K	3,245	1,886	+1,359	open	—	10-27 11:48
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	3	$2.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	10-24 10:41
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	5	$2.6K	2,000	1,999	+1	open	—	10-22 02:37
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	3	$2.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	10-24 20:23
AI bubble burst in 2026?	4	$2.4K	4,768	41	+4,727	open	—	10-27 16:51
Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?	32	$2.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	10-22 09:01
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	5	$2.0K	3,987	2	+3,985	open	—	10-27 14:12
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	6	$1.9K	3,831	184	+3,647	open	—	10-26 20:42
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	2	$1.8K	964	964	+0	open	—	10-24 06:51
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?	15	$1.8K	2,010	2,010	+0	open	—	10-23 03:38
Will Morgan Wallen perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	25	$1.8K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	10-23 11:49
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	13	$1.7K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$110	10-25 19:43
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	5	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-21 23:40
Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?	4	$1.5K	779	779	+0	open	—	10-23 02:46
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?	2	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-21 12:47
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$1.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	10-24 13:36
Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	7	$1.4K	1,130	1,130	+0	open	—	10-21 03:51
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000?	17	$1.4K	931	931	+0	open	—	10-18 13:27
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	10-17 16:49
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?	7	$1.0K	812	812	+0	open	—	10-23 03:45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 20%-25%?	7	$1.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	10-16 12:00
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	2	$944	510	510	+0	open	—	10-25 13:21
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	9	$912	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-17 09:45
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?	20	$881	1,195	1,195	+0	open	—	10-22 06:59
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?	4	$737	600	600	+0	open	—	10-10 18:32
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	4	$720	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-21 14:26
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	15	$608	714	714	+0	open	—	10-26 20:12
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	4	$580	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-22 19:45
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	4	$527	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-22 19:36
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	2	$500	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-22 20:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:58:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x2d7819…
10-27 18:47:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xcebe30…
10-27 18:47:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x09affd…
10-27 18:47:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x345509…
10-27 18:47:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xca0c51…
10-27 18:47:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x694092…
10-27 18:47:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x6210de…
10-27 18:47:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5e8d11…
10-27 18:46:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf83aba…
10-27 18:46:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x274a8d…
10-27 18:46:00	Sestao River Club leading at halftime?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x64f9ec…
10-27 18:43:06	Elche CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xaaff63…
10-27 18:43:06	Elche CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xa71e1d…
10-27 18:32:06	SV Excelsior'31 vs. ADO Den Haag: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xbbb52d…
10-27 18:03:29	Counter-Strike: Wingman vs Revise (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Wingman	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xaf3a17…
10-27 18:03:29	Counter-Strike: Wingman vs Revise (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Wingman	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x24b39f…
10-27 17:51:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	23	80¢	$18	0x6d697c…
10-27 17:51:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xec0bc7…
10-27 17:51:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x8b4762…
10-27 17:51:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x9bcfa1…
10-27 17:51:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x49f1c5…
10-27 17:51:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xf11a25…
10-27 17:50:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	35	82¢	$29	0x675823…
10-27 17:50:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x85cb83…
10-27 17:43:03	Eintracht Frankfurt leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9acd02…
10-27 17:37:09	First Vienna FC 1894 leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x5cdf5a…
10-27 16:58:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xb2be85…
10-27 16:58:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xe54409…
10-27 16:55:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x2a56ce…
10-27 16:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xc79639…
10-27 16:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x744b05…
10-27 16:51:59	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	9¢	$4	0x5938f0…
10-27 16:51:32	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$14	0x220fdd…
10-27 16:51:29	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	2,363	92¢	$2,171	0xacc0aa…
10-27 16:51:27	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,254	9¢	$196	0xf16c4b…
10-27 16:45:23	Tartu JK Tammeka leading at halftime?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xe3c65f…
10-27 16:40:23	JK Narva Trans vs. FC Nomme United: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xe4c2ac…
10-27 16:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa64df6…
10-27 15:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x840a10…
10-27 14:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1be7d6…
10-27 14:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x290bee…
10-27 14:12:56	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x5df12b…
10-27 14:12:53	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,993	27¢	$537	0xfc94cf…
10-27 14:12:53	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$37	0x83969e…
10-27 14:12:53	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,790	75¢	$1,342	0x64965d…
10-27 14:12:53	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	155	77¢	$119	0x1386b7…
10-27 13:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x16f112…
10-27 12:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x12eb57…
10-27 12:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc8bdce…
10-27 11:52:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	23	81¢	$19	0x9a39b0…
10-27 11:52:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xf70026…
10-27 11:48:30	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	28	49¢	$14	0xe2fca4…
10-27 11:48:24	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	195	50¢	$98	0xc46fa8…
10-27 11:48:24	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	300	49¢	$147	0x3ac5f4…
10-27 11:40:36	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	313	50¢	$157	0x8a40d1…
10-27 11:40:27	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xf9ae88…
10-27 11:40:20	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x2935ee…
10-27 11:40:15	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	143	51¢	$73	0x965500…
10-27 11:40:15	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	7	52¢	$3	0x543974…
10-27 11:40:11	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	7	52¢	$3	0xe563a6…
10-27 11:40:09	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	153	51¢	$78	0xd66589…
10-27 11:40:05	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	111	53¢	$59	0x7a0130…
10-27 11:33:59	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0x824cea…
10-27 11:33:17	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	107	52¢	$55	0x08c604…
10-27 11:29:24	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	107	53¢	$57	0xc9b709…
10-27 11:28:39	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	370	54¢	$200	0x892361…
10-27 11:28:38	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x3c0f84…
10-27 11:22:14	Will South Africa win?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x6fffb1…
10-27 10:58:38	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	679	39¢	$264	0x498546…
10-27 10:58:36	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	2,566	64¢	$1,642	0x8c517a…
10-27 10:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x86a984…
10-27 10:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x424ab7…
10-27 09:48:56	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xe611d0…
10-27 09:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xfcd083…
10-27 09:40:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x12a825…
10-27 09:40:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x5461a4…
10-27 09:40:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xfd8edf…
10-27 09:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8e1fb1…
10-27 09:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	38	81¢	$31	0x9277f7…
10-27 09:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc9fbd6…
10-27 09:10:47	Borneo Samarinda leading at halftime?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xe60ed8…
10-27 09:10:42	PSS Sleman vs. Borneo Samarinda: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x7b1474…
10-27 08:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf3beff…
10-27 04:57:00	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xafe457…
10-27 04:56:59	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc85197…
10-27 04:56:59	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xa81a6c…
10-27 04:56:59	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0xa3568c…
10-27 04:41:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xa1657c…
10-27 04:41:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0xbbd307…
10-27 04:41:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x7b3011…
10-27 04:41:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x29ec13…
10-27 04:41:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x0da875…
10-27 03:58:45	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	No	SELL	2,858	3¢	$87	0xf1e491…
10-27 03:48:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x647ff0…
10-27 03:48:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x43d1f0…
10-27 03:28:26	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	No	BUY	2,858	14¢	$400	0x399225…
10-27 03:15:35	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 6% or more?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x1b2daf…
10-27 02:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x69e567…
10-27 02:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x55833b…
10-27 02:16:53	Pacers vs. Bucks	Pacers	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x19c539…