Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$263

Unrealized P&L

-$590

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

5,271

Trades

14,408

lifetime

Volume

$217.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$6.59K

16 positions

First seen

2026-08-10

last 10-28 12:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 65% +$1,554

Other

29% 29% -$1,028

Politics

17% 20% -$280

Tech

0% 9% -$32

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 18% +$49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 1308 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+2,363	$2,171	92¢	$2.2K	+$7	10-27 16:51
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	+1,824	$1,641	92¢	$1.7K	+$27	10-26 20:12
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	+1,087	$687	56¢	$611	-$77	10-27 19:30
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+1,087	$436	44¢	$476	+$40	10-27 19:30
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	+679	$674	62¢	$425	-$249	10-27 11:48
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	+423	$188	64¢	$273	+$85	10-27 20:11
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+679	$264	38¢	$255	-$9	10-27 10:58
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	+2,363	$207	8¢	$186	-$21	10-27 16:51
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	+1,824	$253	8¢	$155	-$98	10-26 20:42
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	+423	$448	36¢	$150	-$298	10-27 20:41
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	+149	$120	83¢	$124	+$4	10-27 21:02
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	+62	$58	94¢	$58	+$1	10-27 04:57
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	+149	$30	17¢	$25	-$4	10-27 21:02
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	+62	$5	6¢	$4	-$1	10-27 04:56
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+1	-$4	68¢	$1	+$4	10-22 02:37
Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	+9	$0	0¢	$0	$0	10-26 13:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	18	$2.9K	3,245	1,886	+1,359	open	—	10-27 11:48
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	3	$2.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	10-24 10:41
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	5	$2.6K	2,000	1,999	+1	open	—	10-22 02:37
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	3	$2.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	10-24 20:23
AI bubble burst in 2026?	4	$2.4K	4,768	41	+4,727	open	—	10-27 16:51
Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?	32	$2.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	10-22 09:01
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	5	$2.0K	3,987	2	+3,985	open	—	10-27 14:12
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	5	$1.9K	2,258	1,411	+847	open	—	10-27 20:41
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	6	$1.9K	3,831	184	+3,647	open	—	10-26 20:42
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	2	$1.8K	964	964	+0	open	—	10-24 06:51
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?	15	$1.8K	2,010	2,010	+0	open	—	10-23 03:38
Will Morgan Wallen perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	25	$1.8K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	10-23 11:49
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	13	$1.7K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$110	10-25 19:43
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	5	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-21 23:40
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	4	$1.5K	3,007	7	+3,000	open	—	10-28 02:12
Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?	4	$1.5K	779	779	+0	open	—	10-23 02:46
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?	2	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-21 12:47
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$1.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	10-24 13:36
Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	7	$1.4K	1,130	1,130	+0	open	—	10-21 03:51
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000?	17	$1.4K	931	931	+0	open	—	10-18 13:27
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	4	$1.1K	2,175	2	+2,173	open	—	10-27 19:30
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	10-17 16:49
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?	7	$1.0K	812	812	+0	open	—	10-23 03:45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 20%-25%?	7	$1.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	10-16 12:00
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	2	$944	510	510	+0	open	—	10-25 13:21
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	9	$912	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-17 09:45
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?	20	$881	1,195	1,195	+0	open	—	10-22 06:59
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?	4	$737	600	600	+0	open	—	10-10 18:32
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	4	$720	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-21 14:26
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	15	$608	714	714	+0	open	—	10-26 20:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf404e5…
10-28 13:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3f929f…
10-28 13:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x7ae850…
10-28 12:55:20	Persib Bandung vs. Melbourne Victory FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x818431…
10-28 12:49:58	The Cong - Viettel FC vs. FC Seoul: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x89bb8b…
10-28 12:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xdc3f3b…
10-28 12:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd40fa3…
10-28 12:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa5440d…
10-28 12:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf94b67…
10-28 12:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6e1237…
10-28 12:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x2218cb…
10-28 12:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x43fbb1…
10-28 12:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe2f797…
10-28 11:44:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x69e015…
10-28 11:43:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x82c442…
10-28 11:43:31	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x3614b6…
10-28 11:23:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xd8286d…
10-28 10:40:44	Gamba Osaka vs. Buriram United: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xe0303f…
10-28 10:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x09f0de…
10-28 10:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x7172a5…
10-28 10:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd8ea1d…
10-28 10:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb03351…
10-28 09:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x582ff1…
10-28 09:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x0e2b94…
10-28 09:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5cde3f…
10-28 09:40:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xcdefce…
10-28 09:40:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x9da615…
10-28 09:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	39	80¢	$31	0xfe06f6…
10-28 09:03:26	Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	61	20¢	$12	0xabcfac…
10-28 08:32:46	Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x9e7aaf…
10-28 08:32:44	Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	81	23¢	$19	0xbedc37…
10-28 08:32:44	Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xbcdac0…
10-28 08:03:55	Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x5590ee…
10-28 08:03:55	Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	260	28¢	$72	0x1111bb…
10-28 08:03:53	Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	239	75¢	$180	0xbb3d8d…
10-28 04:59:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x038228…
10-28 03:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x08ed1f…
10-28 02:49:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xf97cf2…
10-28 02:49:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xaf869d…
10-28 02:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x663a92…
10-28 02:49:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0xb76f00…
10-28 02:12:36	Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x619465…
10-28 02:12:30	Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	BUY	147	75¢	$111	0xb80352…
10-28 02:12:30	Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	BUY	1,360	75¢	$1,022	0xb70e3b…
10-28 02:12:29	Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,500	26¢	$390	0xb37bd1…
10-28 00:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x94dd06…
10-28 00:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb146d0…
10-28 00:45:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xddc63b…
10-28 00:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x64cb6f…
10-28 00:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xdf9e7b…
10-28 00:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x0e9059…
10-28 00:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x5c7ead…
10-27 23:59:32	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x38b07a…
10-27 23:46:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xa315fb…
10-27 22:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xd1a0c0…
10-27 22:53:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xee4fea…
10-27 21:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xda3025…
10-27 21:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x896cbb…
10-27 21:24:26	Will Arosa SC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x9a7331…
10-27 21:02:45	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0xc68184…
10-27 21:02:45	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	149	20¢	$30	0x24ef81…
10-27 21:02:45	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x0fa86d…
10-27 21:02:44	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	BUY	83	80¢	$66	0x2dabcc…
10-27 21:02:44	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	BUY	36	80¢	$29	0x190724…
10-27 20:50:18	Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	45	29¢	$13	0x89a3fd…
10-27 20:48:27	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x695959…
10-27 20:46:30	Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0xbd7c43…
10-27 20:46:18	Málaga CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x810063…
10-27 20:41:06	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x5413fd…
10-27 20:41:05	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	SELL	355	47¢	$167	0xeb8b70…
10-27 20:41:05	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	SELL	1,056	46¢	$486	0xcc111d…
10-27 20:32:18	Go Ahead Eagles leading at halftime?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xc79543…
10-27 20:32:06	Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	80	40¢	$32	0x27867b…
10-27 20:11:02	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	423	44¢	$188	0x2dff69…
10-27 20:11:00	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,835	60¢	$1,101	0x01cc28…
10-27 20:09:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xf6fa23…
10-27 20:06:54	AS Roma leading at halftime?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x1a1c4b…
10-27 20:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x67e3db…
10-27 20:02:00	Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	136	42¢	$57	0x1eb84d…
10-27 19:58:23	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xb26cec…
10-27 19:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xc0a08c…
10-27 19:41:12	Calcio Padova vs. FC Südtirol: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x90d7ef…
10-27 19:40:38	Virtus Entella leading at halftime?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x303176…
10-27 19:32:15	FC Eindhoven leading at halftime?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc3e2b5…
10-27 19:31:05	CD Atlético Tordesillas leading at halftime?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8a0209…
10-27 19:31:03	CD Atlético Tordesillas leading at halftime?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x898c85…
10-27 19:30:14	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x0614de…
10-27 19:30:12	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	38¢	$11	0xe63801…
10-27 19:30:12	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1,087	63¢	$687	0x9ad911…
10-27 19:30:11	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,060	40¢	$426	0x9c67b4…
10-27 19:29:45	UD Almería leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x589317…
10-27 19:26:48	FC Den Bosch leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf43f9b…
10-27 19:18:47	CD Mirandés leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9fff18…
10-27 18:58:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x2d7819…
10-27 18:47:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xcebe30…
10-27 18:47:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x09affd…
10-27 18:47:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x345509…
10-27 18:47:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xca0c51…
10-27 18:47:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x694092…
10-27 18:47:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x6210de…