Realized P&L (7d)
+$251
Unrealized P&L
-$986
Hit rate
52.6%
Resolved (7d)
704
Trades (7d)
1,883
14,946 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$53.6K
$232.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$15.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-10
last 10-30 15:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Crypto
51% 64% +$1,866
Other
30% 29% -$1,057
Politics
18% 19% -$280
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$1
Tech
0% 9% -$32
Sports
0% 18% +$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 1308 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +2,363 $2,171 91¢ $2.1K -$25 10-27 16:51
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +1,824 $1,641 92¢ $1.7K +$46 10-26 20:12
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +1,577 $1,253 96¢ $1.5K +$255 10-28 22:40
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +1,993 $1,498 72¢ $1.4K -$63 10-27 14:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,578 $1,373 86¢ $1.4K -$8 10-29 17:53
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +1,500 $1,127 80¢ $1.2K +$65 10-28 02:12
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +1,220 $880 73¢ $890 +$11 10-30 01:13
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +1,087 $687 64¢ $690 +$3 10-27 19:30
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +1,993 $537 28¢ $558 +$21 10-27 14:12
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +679 $674 62¢ $425 -$249 10-27 11:48
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,087 $436 36¢ $397 -$40 10-27 19:30
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +458 $350 76¢ $349 -$1 10-30 10:18
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +1,220 $353 27¢ $329 -$23 10-30 01:13
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +437 $350 75¢ $328 -$22 10-30 11:17
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +1,500 $390 20¢ $308 -$82 10-28 02:12
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +423 $188 64¢ $273 +$85 10-27 20:11
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +679 $264 38¢ $255 -$9 10-27 10:58
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +2,363 $207 9¢ $217 +$11 10-27 16:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,578 $222 14¢ $213 -$9 10-29 17:53
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +165 $388 92¢ $151 -$237 10-29 19:19
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +423 $448 36¢ $150 -$298 10-27 20:41
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +1,824 $253 8¢ $137 -$116 10-26 20:42
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +149 $120 84¢ $125 +$5 10-27 21:02
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +437 $103 25¢ $109 +$6 10-30 11:17
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +458 $128 24¢ $109 -$19 10-30 10:18
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No +1,577 $346 4¢ $69 -$278 10-28 22:40
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +62 $58 94¢ $59 +$1 10-27 04:57
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +149 $30 16¢ $24 -$6 10-27 21:02
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +31 $23 75¢ $23 $0 10-30 12:06
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +165 $24 8¢ $14 -$10 10-29 17:31