Realized P&L
+$367
Unrealized P&L
-$969
Hit rate
75.2%
Resolved
5,741
Trades
15,461
lifetime
Volume
$251.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$15.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-10
last 11-03 08:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Crypto
48% 63% +$1,684
Other
32% 29% -$1,015
Politics
17% 20% -$291
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$29
Sports
1% 18% +$49
Tech
1% 12% -$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 1308 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +2,363 $2,171 91¢ $2.1K -$28 10-27 16:51
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +1,824 $1,641 94¢ $1.7K +$64 10-26 20:12
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +1,577 $1,253 95¢ $1.5K +$242 10-28 22:40
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +1,500 $1,127 89¢ $1.3K +$208 10-28 02:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,578 $1,373 84¢ $1.3K -$55 10-29 17:53
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +1,993 $1,498 64¢ $1.3K -$212 10-27 14:12
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +1,220 $880 72¢ $884 +$5 10-30 01:13
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +1,993 $537 36¢ $707 +$170 10-27 14:12
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +1,087 $687 63¢ $680 -$8 10-27 19:30
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +679 $674 62¢ $425 -$249 10-27 11:48
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,087 $436 37¢ $407 -$29 10-27 19:30
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +368 $349 98¢ $361 +$11 10-31 04:42
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +437 $350 77¢ $336 -$13 10-30 11:17
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +1,220 $353 28¢ $335 -$17 10-30 01:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,578 $222 16¢ $260 +$38 10-29 17:53
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +423 $188 62¢ $260 +$72 10-27 20:11
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +679 $264 38¢ $255 -$9 10-27 10:58
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +458 $128 53¢ $245 +$117 10-30 10:18
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +2,363 $207 9¢ $221 +$14 10-27 16:51
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +458 $350 46¢ $213 -$137 10-30 10:18
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +1,500 $390 11¢ $165 -$225 10-28 02:12
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +423 $448 38¢ $163 -$285 10-27 20:41
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +165 $388 92¢ $151 -$237 10-29 19:19
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +149 $120 84¢ $125 +$5 10-27 21:02
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +1,824 $253 6¢ $119 -$135 10-26 20:42
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +437 $103 23¢ $101 -$3 10-30 11:17
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No +1,577 $346 5¢ $82 -$264 10-28 22:40
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +62 $58 95¢ $59 +$1 10-27 04:57
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +149 $30 16¢ $24 -$6 10-27 21:02
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +31 $23 62¢ $19 -$4 10-30 12:06