Realized P&L (90d)
+$367
Unrealized P&L
-$974
Hit rate
76.2%
Resolved (90d)
5,596
Trades (90d)
15,037
15,037 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$236.8K
$236.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$15.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-10
last 11-01 01:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Crypto
51% 64% +$1,768
Other
30% 29% -$1,108
Politics
18% 19% -$282
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$29
Tech
1% 12% -$32
Sports
0% 18% +$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 1308 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +2,363 $2,171 90¢ $2.1K -$40 10-27 16:51
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +1,824 $1,641 93¢ $1.7K +$55 10-26 20:12
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +1,577 $1,253 95¢ $1.5K +$249 10-28 22:40
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +1,993 $1,498 72¢ $1.4K -$53 10-27 14:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,578 $1,373 86¢ $1.3K -$24 10-29 17:53
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +1,500 $1,127 84¢ $1.3K +$140 10-28 02:12
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +1,220 $880 72¢ $884 +$5 10-30 01:13
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +1,087 $687 62¢ $670 -$17 10-27 19:30
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +1,993 $537 28¢ $548 +$11 10-27 14:12
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +679 $674 62¢ $425 -$249 10-27 11:48
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,087 $436 38¢ $417 -$20 10-27 19:30
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +368 $349 96¢ $355 +$5 10-31 04:42
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +437 $350 80¢ $352 +$2 10-30 11:17
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +458 $350 75¢ $342 -$8 10-30 10:18
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +1,220 $353 28¢ $335 -$17 10-30 01:13
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +423 $188 67¢ $284 +$96 10-27 20:11
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +679 $264 38¢ $255 -$9 10-27 10:58
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +2,363 $207 10¢ $233 +$26 10-27 16:51
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +1,500 $390 16¢ $232 -$158 10-28 02:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,578 $222 15¢ $229 +$6 10-29 17:53
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +165 $388 90¢ $150 -$239 10-29 19:19
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +423 $448 33¢ $140 -$308 10-27 20:41
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +1,824 $253 7¢ $128 -$125 10-26 20:42
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +149 $120 84¢ $124 +$5 10-27 21:02
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +458 $128 25¢ $116 -$13 10-30 10:18
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +437 $103 20¢ $85 -$18 10-30 11:17
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No +1,577 $346 5¢ $75 -$271 10-28 22:40
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +62 $58 94¢ $59 +$1 10-27 04:57
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +149 $30 16¢ $25 -$5 10-27 21:02
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +31 $23 70¢ $22 -$2 10-30 12:06