Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$721

Unrealized P&L

-$974

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved (30d)

3,504

Trades (30d)

7,727

15,129 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$130.4K

$237.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$15.9K

30 positions

First seen

2026-08-10

last 11-01 01:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 64% +$1,768

Other

30% 29% -$1,108

Politics

18% 19% -$282

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$29

Tech

1% 12% -$32

Sports

0% 18% +$49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 1308 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+2,363	$2,171	90¢	$2.1K	-$40	10-27 16:51
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	+1,824	$1,641	93¢	$1.7K	+$55	10-26 20:12
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Yes	+1,577	$1,253	95¢	$1.5K	+$249	10-28 22:40
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	No	+1,993	$1,498	72¢	$1.4K	-$53	10-27 14:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,578	$1,373	86¢	$1.3K	-$24	10-29 17:53
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	+1,500	$1,127	84¢	$1.3K	+$140	10-28 02:12
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	+1,220	$880	72¢	$884	+$5	10-30 01:13
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	+1,087	$687	62¢	$670	-$17	10-27 19:30
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+1,993	$537	28¢	$548	+$11	10-27 14:12
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	+679	$674	62¢	$425	-$249	10-27 11:48
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+1,087	$436	38¢	$416	-$20	10-27 19:30
Israeli Knesset election annulled?	No	+368	$349	96¢	$355	+$6	10-31 04:42
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	+437	$350	80¢	$352	+$2	10-30 11:17
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	+458	$350	74¢	$339	-$11	10-30 10:18
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	+1,220	$353	28¢	$335	-$17	10-30 01:13
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	+423	$188	67¢	$284	+$96	10-27 20:11
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+679	$264	38¢	$255	-$9	10-27 10:58
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	+2,363	$207	10¢	$233	+$26	10-27 16:51
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	+1,500	$390	16¢	$232	-$158	10-28 02:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,578	$222	15¢	$229	+$6	10-29 17:53
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	No	+165	$388	90¢	$150	-$239	10-29 19:19
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	+423	$448	33¢	$140	-$308	10-27 20:41
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	+1,824	$253	7¢	$128	-$125	10-26 20:42
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	+149	$120	84¢	$124	+$5	10-27 21:02
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+458	$128	26¢	$119	-$10	10-30 10:18
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	+437	$103	20¢	$85	-$18	10-30 11:17
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	No	+1,577	$346	5¢	$75	-$271	10-28 22:40
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	+62	$58	94¢	$59	+$1	10-27 04:57
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	+149	$30	16¢	$25	-$5	10-27 21:02
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	No	+31	$23	70¢	$22	-$2	10-30 12:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	18	$2.9K	3,245	1,886	+1,359	open	—	10-27 11:48
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	3	$2.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	10-24 10:41
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	5	$2.6K	2,000	1,999	+1	open	—	10-22 02:37
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	3	$2.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	10-24 20:23
AI bubble burst in 2026?	4	$2.4K	4,768	41	+4,727	open	—	10-27 16:51
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	9	$2.3K	1,665	1,335	+331	open	—	10-29 19:19
Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?	32	$2.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	10-22 09:01
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?	3	$2.2K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	10-30 03:57
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	5	$2.0K	3,987	2	+3,985	open	—	10-27 14:12
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	5	$1.9K	2,258	1,411	+847	open	—	10-27 20:41
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	6	$1.9K	3,831	184	+3,647	open	—	10-26 20:42
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	2	$1.8K	964	964	+0	open	—	10-24 06:51
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?	15	$1.8K	2,010	2,010	+0	open	—	10-23 03:38
Will Morgan Wallen perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	25	$1.8K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	10-23 11:49
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	13	$1.7K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$110	10-25 19:43
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	5	$1.6K	3,153	0	+3,153	open	—	10-28 22:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	5	$1.6K	3,157	0	+3,156	open	—	10-29 17:53
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	5	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-21 23:40
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?	4	$1.5K	3,007	7	+3,000	open	—	10-28 02:12
Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?	4	$1.5K	779	779	+0	open	—	10-23 02:46
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?	2	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-21 12:47
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$1.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	10-24 13:36
Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	7	$1.4K	1,130	1,130	+0	open	—	10-21 03:51
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000?	17	$1.4K	931	931	+0	open	—	10-18 13:27
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	5	$1.2K	2,440	1	+2,439	open	—	10-30 01:13
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	4	$1.1K	2,175	2	+2,173	open	—	10-27 19:30
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	10-17 16:49
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?	7	$1.0K	812	812	+0	open	—	10-23 03:45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 20%-25%?	7	$1.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	10-16 12:00
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	2	$944	510	510	+0	open	—	10-25 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 01:57:31	CF Monterrey vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0xda359e…
11-01 01:57:31	CF Monterrey vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x857218…
11-01 01:18:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x190293…
11-01 00:21:33	Caracas FC vs. Monagas SC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0xa9d3e7…
11-01 00:21:31	Caracas FC vs. Monagas SC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x58309e…
10-31 23:58:15	Caracas FC vs. Monagas SC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0xbda3b7…
10-31 23:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x461987…
10-31 23:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3ffe77…
10-31 23:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x05172a…
10-31 22:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x995838…
10-31 21:57:43	Counter-Strike: Ducks vs TTG Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs	TTG Esports	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x49ae16…
10-31 21:54:33	Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x29dfa0…
10-31 21:34:45	Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x0879e1…
10-31 21:29:51	San Jose Earthquakes leading at halftime?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x909191…
10-31 20:54:55	Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	89¢	$103	0x60bc62…
10-31 20:24:18	Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	93¢	$64	0x855e41…
10-31 20:24:16	Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	93¢	$56	0xb182c5…
10-31 20:09:22	Tusk out by December 31?	No	BUY	163	94¢	$153	0xee9ce3…
10-31 20:09:22	Tusk out by December 31?	No	BUY	77	94¢	$72	0x70de4d…
10-31 20:09:22	Tusk out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	240	8¢	$19	0x0f4f77…
10-31 19:53:12	1. FC Heidenheim leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x5b7f46…
10-31 18:08:18	PSV leading at halftime?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd52342…
10-31 18:05:06	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x92c9df…
10-31 17:40:30	Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	No	BUY	83	22¢	$18	0x9c8dc3…
10-31 17:40:28	Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x4dddfb…
10-31 17:40:28	Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x460451…
10-31 17:40:28	Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0x23ae8e…
10-31 17:18:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xa59843…
10-31 17:18:07	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xe2b274…
10-31 15:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9ad61e…
10-31 15:54:37	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xcdb6c0…
10-31 15:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xeb2f33…
10-31 15:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd09b36…
10-31 14:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x4a6f66…
10-31 13:13:22	Manchester United FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xbccba0…
10-31 12:04:06	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x5de709…
10-31 10:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xeeae36…
10-31 10:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xcd9743…
10-31 10:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2cc7e1…
10-31 10:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xac7cfb…
10-31 09:13:01	Arema FC vs. Bali United: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x79eec2…
10-31 09:08:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x5378bc…
10-31 07:14:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x4ee917…
10-31 06:42:58	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	16¢	$64	0xd6eda9…
10-31 06:42:58	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	84¢	$336	0x215ac3…
10-31 06:12:28	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	460	1¢	$2	0x741e4f…
10-31 06:12:21	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$0	0x3fcd63…
10-31 06:10:40	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xf37404…
10-31 06:09:33	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x7c7932…
10-31 05:55:42	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xc22301…
10-31 05:55:09	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x58920d…
10-31 05:54:55	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	205	12¢	$24	0x3e38a3…
10-31 05:54:45	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	46	13¢	$6	0x63357b…
10-31 05:54:31	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	129	14¢	$18	0x9f225f…
10-31 05:54:21	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	70	14¢	$10	0x9556f5…
10-31 05:33:22	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x356512…
10-31 05:24:25	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	530	66¢	$350	0xcbbaa0…
10-31 05:24:18	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	BUY	1,000	19¢	$188	0x37df36…
10-31 05:17:01	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	530	66¢	$350	0x5fe651…
10-31 04:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x48d430…
10-31 04:54:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x7bef0d…
10-31 04:42:00	Israeli Knesset election annulled?	Yes	BUY	368	6¢	$21	0xf52182…
10-31 04:42:00	Israeli Knesset election annulled?	No	BUY	368	95¢	$349	0x81f299…
10-31 01:44:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x81b9d5…
10-31 01:44:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x8cadf9…
10-31 01:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x990b18…
10-31 01:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	41	87¢	$36	0x865ecf…
10-31 01:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xf4aeaa…
10-31 01:43:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x7249ca…
10-31 01:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc22697…
10-31 01:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xeb98f3…
10-31 01:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x1f60dd…
10-31 01:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd50aa6…
10-31 00:40:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x6ee4eb…
10-31 00:40:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x6e5a3c…
10-31 00:40:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x497c45…
10-31 00:40:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x3fe582…
10-31 00:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x2b1e47…
10-31 00:40:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x3c13bd…
10-31 00:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xc75ff0…
10-31 00:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x18df07…
10-31 00:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xf25757…
10-31 00:24:28	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xcd01fc…
10-31 00:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xefea8a…
10-31 00:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xebca69…
10-31 00:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xd49d5c…
10-31 00:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x4cc7ef…
10-31 00:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x6a729c…
10-31 00:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x1852b8…
10-30 23:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0xb17c24…
10-30 23:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x58b4c2…
10-30 23:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x1c9865…
10-30 23:48:37	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	No	BUY	219	86¢	$188	0xc990c4…
10-30 23:48:37	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	Yes	BUY	219	15¢	$33	0x973eed…
10-30 23:23:18	Criciúma EC vs. AA Ponte Preta: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x5f068e…
10-30 22:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x989b45…
10-30 22:55:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xe7ddbf…
10-30 22:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xe5908a…
10-30 22:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x832e34…
10-30 21:57:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	61	80¢	$49	0xfce7f9…