Realized P&L
-$74.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$33.2K
Hit rate
29.1%
Resolved
8,849
Trades
75,792
lifetime
Volume
$5.15M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$486.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-27 11:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Other
62% 60% -$50,589
Politics
20% 27% -$8,952
Sports
15% 7% -$13,884
Tech
2% 2% -$318
Crypto
1% 37% -$387
Pop-Culture
0% 21% -$334
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 5624 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +47,034 $22,091 62¢ $28.9K +$6,835 10-26 11:01
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +25,909 $24,645 96¢ $24.8K +$202 10-19 13:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +25,403 $24,324 96¢ $24.4K +$76 10-19 16:02
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat? No +23,059 $22,368 96¢ $22.2K -$127 10-19 19:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +19,653 $18,114 100¢ $19.7K +$1,539 10-24 03:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +20,988 $16,800 93¢ $19.5K +$2,719 10-26 10:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +19,681 $19,086 98¢ $19.3K +$211 10-19 11:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +30,247 $18,016 63¢ $19.2K +$1,145 10-26 08:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +19,890 $16,126 94¢ $18.6K +$2,471 10-26 03:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +22,281 $18,630 82¢ $18.4K -$248 10-25 21:04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +47,034 $25,248 38¢ $18.1K -$7,140 10-26 11:01
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +18,412 $17,335 97¢ $17.8K +$442 10-16 17:51
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +21,921 $17,004 80¢ $17.4K +$423 10-25 09:13
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +16,407 $5,936 98¢ $16.1K +$10,135 10-24 22:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +16,773 $13,310 92¢ $15.5K +$2,205 10-25 22:01
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +15,929 $13,221 97¢ $15.5K +$2,230 10-17 13:03
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +26,599 $15,378 56¢ $14.8K -$602 10-16 01:42
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +14,717 $12,816 98¢ $14.4K +$1,607 10-23 18:05
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +17,326 $12,924 81¢ $14.1K +$1,145 10-26 16:00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +15,604 $11,497 86¢ $13.3K +$1,844 10-23 16:26
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +19,654 $8,268 66¢ $13.1K +$4,802 10-19 10:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +13,141 $12,395 94¢ $12.4K +$23 10-25 23:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +15,837 $11,967 78¢ $12.4K +$433 10-27 00:39
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +26,599 $11,363 44¢ $11.8K +$460 10-16 01:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +15,969 $10,616 72¢ $11.4K +$802 10-21 19:04
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +17,099 $10,792 66¢ $11.4K +$579 10-25 23:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +30,247 $12,501 37¢ $11.1K -$1,416 10-26 08:51
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat? Yes +10,543 $10,228 99¢ $10.4K +$194 10-18 04:40
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? Yes +10,484 $10,084 96¢ $10.1K +$33 10-17 01:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +10,125 $9,818 99¢ $10.0K +$176 10-20 23:29